The Tories’ hopes that the polls will bounce back before the election are ever fading. Latest polling by Helm/Deltapoll show that the majority (51%) of 2019 Tory voters won’t vote for the party, a five-point drop since the budget, and the lowest level recorded by the pollsters. And Tories say things won’t get worse before the election…

Meanwhile, YouGov has a bombshell poll showing that Reform UK have more support from men than the Tories, with 19% of men backing Tice’s party compared to 17% supporting the Tories. Lee Anderson’s new party are also ahead of the Conservatives in the Red Wall by 18% to 17%. And that’s without Nigel Farage joining Reform, which according to YouGov’s Anthony Wells, would boost the party by two points. All eyes on his movements after the local elections…

It’s back to school and back to more terrible polling for Sunak. Deltapoll’s latest poll puts Rishi at -43%, a drop by 8 percentage points in the last week. Starmer has managed to climb back up by 5 percentage points to -2%, despite Labour’s tumultuous last week. This latest poll is the widest gap between the two leaders they’ve ever seen…

In terms of voting intention, the gap between Labour and the Tories now stand at 21 percentage points, with Labour at 48% and Conservatives 27%. Meanwhile, Judith McAlpine, a prominent Tory donor, has come out saying she’ll have “real trouble” voting for the party. No doubt Tory plotters will be jumping on this to argue they need a new unifying leader…

The latest figures from Deltapoll will make for frightening halloween reading for Number 10 and LOTO: Starmer’s approvals have dipped into the red, dropping from 12% to – 5%. Rishi’s, meanwhile, are knocking on death’s door – he’s now down to a whopping -30%, falling by 5% from previous figures. Talk about a zombie government…

New figures will make glum reading for Tories at conference, as Rishi Sunak’s net approval ratings have fallen to a new low in Deltapoll’s books of -33 points, widening the gap to Starmer to a historic 25 points. Refusing to take a line over HS2 in Manchester won’t have helped Rishi’s numbers…

Labour’s lead has grown to 18 points, with voting intention now 26% for the Tories and 44% for Labour, a downturn from last week’s figures which gave Rishi a boost in the polls. That will certainly put a spring in Labour’s step heading into conference next week.

It’s not all bad news for the Tories however, as they’ve managed to close the gap on perceived economic competence to a mere 11 points. Hunt finally admitting taxes are “too high” might have played a role…

Deltapoll’s new figures will certainly put a spring in the Tories’ step heading into conference: they’ve closed the gap with Labour by eight points, with the Tories now on 28% and Labour on 44%. This follows Rishi’s big Net Zero rollback last week which, despite some uproar from the likes of Zac Goldsmith and Chris Skidmore, was broadly well-received by Tory MPs – and now seemingly the public. Starmer’s comments on Brexit last week will be on voters’ minds too. Claiming “we don’t want to diverge” from EU rules hasn’t gone unnoticed…

The Tories have also narrowed the gap on economic competence, climbing to 30% (+1) compared to Labour’s 42% (-2). Usual caveats, it is only one poll, still a mountain to climb; last week Rishi’s personal net favourability dropped to its lowest level since he became Prime Minister…

Britain’s schools aren’t the only things crumbling under the ongoing RAAC crisis – Rishi Sunak’s personal approval ratings have also caved in. In the past week, every published poll has shown the Prime Minister’s popularity in free fall – with his net approval now ranging from -21 to -39. According to both Redfield & Wilton and YouGov, his net approvals are down 9 points. Although Deltapoll puts this figure at -4, this polling was conducted at the very start of the month – before the crisis peaked. Meanwhile, Omnisis has the Prime Minister’s net approval plummeting by a stonking 12 points. Maths lessons won’t be enough to help Rishi deal with these numbers…