ConHome Poll: Buy Boris, Sell Osborne

Boris is well out in front in the latest ConHome Tory leadership survey, taking a 13 point lead on his closest rival. Second and third place go to Gove and Fox, two of the most vocal Eurosceptics, while Osborne slumps to fourth place on a dire 11%. According to this snapshot May and Saj are out of it. The Leavers are on the up, the Remainers are on the slide. Boris’ gamble looks to be paying off…

Boris Ahead of Osborne with Association Chairmen and Members

Yesterday the Telegraph polled 50 Tory association heads about their choice for next leader. Of those who’ve made up their minds, Boris is backed by 46% and Osborne 31%. Today’s Times has a Yougov poll of 1005 Tory members, Boris is on 43%, well ahead of Osborne on 22%. Again, May and Sajid have slipped well of the pace after choosing to back Remain. Boris is almost twice as popular as George with members, No. 10 is slowly slipping away from the Chancellor…

Tory Grassroots Poll: Boris Beats Osborne, Remainers Sink

If it’s a straight fight between Boris and Osborne on the Tory leadership ballot paper there is only one winner. The Telegraph have polled the heads of 50 Conservative associations and Boris is the preferred choice, though almost half are undecided. May is down on four after she backed Remain, and Sajid Javid languishes with just one association head supporter after his flip flop. Tory associations back Leave over Remain by 12 points, so Boris’ bravery is paying off and the Remainers are paying the price…

Osborne’s Ratings Hit Three Year Low

Osborne Poll

These numbers from Ipsos MORI and the Standard confirm Osborne is on the wane. His public satisfaction rating has dropped from his highest ever score of 47% in April 2014 to a three year low of 40%. His dissatisfaction rating has meanwhile risen to 46%, meaning Osborne is now more unpopular than Alistair Darling in 2008. That is quite a downturn

Gap Closing in Referendum Phone Polls

Perceived polling wisdom – or what is left of it – says that referendum polls conducted by phone should be considerably more accurate than those done online. Tonight’s ComRes phone poll has Remain’s lead cut significantly since Cameron’s renegotiation deal. The trend across all polls is that Remain are falling and Leave are in the ascendancy… 

Leave Ahead With ICM

For the first time since 2013, Leave are ahead with ICM. They are still the gold standard pollster according to Political Betting polling guru Mike Smithson…

Leave 9 Points Ahead Since Dave’s Deal

EU REFORM

The key numbers from this morning’s YouGov referendum poll, the first since Dave’s deal:

  • Leave: 45% (+3)
  • Remain: 36% (-2)

The PM’s deal:

  • Goes too far: 4%
  • Is about right: 17%
  • Doesn’t go far enough: 56%

It is:

  • A good deal: 22%
  • A bad deal: 46%

The biggest lead for Leave since the question was announced last summer…

Via @britainelects

Corbyn Surges Ahead of Foot

Great success! Corbyn is not the worst performing Labour leader after the first four months in the job. Jez has surged ahead of Michael Foot, he’s on minus 18 points with Ipsos Mori. Onwards, comrades…

Just 16% Back Corbyn, Worst Rating Since 80s

poll

Yet more brutal numbers for Labour in the latest Mori / Standard poll. Cue tweets from deluded Corbynistas about “right wing polls”…

Corbyn Approval Rating Minus 39

Latest figures from YouGov via Britain ElectsRemember, pollsters say it’s possible they are still overestimating Labour support…

Corbyn Approval Rating Minus 32 With YouGov

With impeccable timing, some new YouGov numbers this afternoon via Britain Elects. Wonder if Corbyn’s aides paused the reshuffle discussions to tell the boss…

Labour Membership’s Present to the Tories

corbyn-polling

As we end the political season and focus on the festivities one last look at the polls for Comrade Corbyn. YouGov shows him with a net minus of 41% on the question “Is he doing well?” Opinium find the public has a net favourable rating of minus 28%, ComRes has him at negative 21% in the “Good leader?” stakes and on balance net satisfaction with Jezza is only minus 17%. Happy Christmas!

Hat-tip: @liamjlhill

Leave Leads By 2 Points in 10,000 Person Survation Mega-Poll

Two more polls on the referendum today. Leave has a 2 point lead in this 10,000 person mega-poll from Survation:

Survation poll

While Remain is ahead by just one point with ICM:

ICM

When undecided voters aren’t included ICM has both Remain and Leave on 50%. It’s all to play for…

Feldman’s Record Breaking Disapproval Swing

Beleagured Lord Feldman’s Tory bullying troubles have not gone unnoticed among party members. The Tory chairman has suffered a record-breaking 53 point drop in his net satisfaction rating among ConHome readers, the largest one month fall ever recorded. He is also the first to have a negative approval rating this parliament. ‘Red Hot’ Rob Halfon also took a battering and is down to second from bottom. How’s that whole buck-stopping-with-Shapps thing working out for ya?

Labour Members Back Corbyn

Labour members have delivered a resounding vote of confidence in Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership in a YouGov poll for the Times. 66% of Labour members say Corbyn is doing well, 86% of those who voted for Corbyn agree, and 57% of Labour members say he should lead the party in 2020. A warning to moderates that a coup will not reflect the popular will of the party grassroots. Just don’t mention the 11 point Tory lead with ComRes…

Corbyn Poll Surge Continues

corbyn poll

Corbynmania is sweeping the nation! So much so that Scottish Labour are now a whopping two points ahead of the Tories with Ipsos Mori. Meanwhile this morning’s YouGov poll puts Corbyn’s net personal rating at -22, which is a whole 14 points better than what Nick Clegg used to score. Worse than Miliband though…

Labour Surge to 24% in Scotland

Labour are up a massive three points in Scotland with TNS today, with the Corbyn surge meaning the gap with the SNP is a mere 34 points. A whopping 15% of Scots say they like Jezza, and more dislike him than they do the Scottish Tory leader. Onwards, comrades…

YouGov Poll: Remain 40%, Leave 40%

This is the latest from YouGov, out this afternoon:

Neck and neck…

Meanwhile, Norway, which the PM claimed was bad example of what would happen if you’re not part of the EU, are very happy outside:

Game on…

Britain Most Patriotic Nation in Europe

natcen2

Only 15% of Brits feel “European” and 64% identify only as “British“, making us the most patriotic nation in Europe. Note that Greece and Ireland – countries that have suffered greatly at the hands of the European Central Bank – are also highly patriotic. If the remainers campaign by trying to foist a sense of European identity on the voters they will lose in Britain…  

Source: NatCen Social Research

Corbyn Net Satisfaction Rating Surges to -2%

The Tories are down 3 points on last month with Ipsos Mori, while Corbyn’s net satisfaction rating surges to a personal best of -2%. He’s also doing better than Ed: fewer voters think Labour should ditch Corbyn than thought Miliband should be axed.[…] Read the rest

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