Leanne’s Wild Stab in the Dark

Guido is struggling to work out what the former leader of Plaid Cymru is trying to say here. Does she think women should always carry a knife? Is she saying women carrying a knife is justified? Does she always carry a knife herself? She’s now clarified, sort of:


Either way, not the sharpest knife in the draw…

Guardian Smacks of Spin

The hot topic in Welsh politics at the moment is a new Bill from the Welsh Government seeking to ban parents from smacking their children. On Friday the Guardian carried a report on how Welsh society is supposedly falling into line under the headline “Police and teachers back Welsh anti-smacking bill”, while going into extensive detail over how “frontline professionals” are in favour of the legislation. They even discussed the need to inform “English tourists” that smacking children would not be acceptable in Wales. For a bit of balance they got a quote from a “church in Wrexham”…

ONS smacking bill
Funny how the Guardian forgot to mention the fact that we don’t need to rely on hearsay as the Welsh Government actually commissioned the ONS to conduct a quantitative consultation on the Bill. The ONS survey in fact found that 67.8% of the 562 individuals polled, and 60% when including professionals and organisations, do not support the Bill. Fewer than 30% of people actually supported the Bill, not that you’d be aware of those highly pertinent facts from the Guardian’s gushing writeup…

Cleverly Responds to Brecon By-Election Defeat

Cleverly’s message after the Brecon by-election is essentially “Vote Farage, Get Swinson”. The Tories won’t have to worry about as long as they deliver on 31st October…

Tories Narrowly Slip to Second in Brecon By-Election

The Tories were left wondering what might have been after learning that they had lost the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election in the early hours of this morning by a narrow margin of just 1,425 votes. This was despite the Lib Dems being runaway favourites to win the seat by a landslide after other pro-Remain parties pulled out to give them a clear run, and the Tories re-standing a candidate whose conviction for fraud triggered the by-election in the first place. The May government’s decision to allow Chris Davies to re-stand for the seat looks more than a little foolish now, to say the least…

The Brexit Party vote eclipsed the size of the majority by almost 3:1, a clear warning sign for the Tories ahead of any general election. Interestingly, the Brexit Party’s tally was just seven votes different from UKIP’s in 2015 when Cameron did manage to scrape a majority…

Lib Dem: 13,826 (43%)

Conservative: 12,401 (39%)

Brexit Party: 3,331 (10%)

Labour: 1,680 (5%)

Monster Raving Loony Party: 334 (1%)

UKIP: 242 (0.8%)

At the other end of the table, Labour just managed to hold on to their deposit with a measly 5.28% of the vote. The party that won almost 50% of the vote in Wales last General Election now fighting it out with the Monster Raving Loony Party…

Boris Boost Puts Tories Ahead in Wales

The Boris bounce has not just been felt in England, a YouGov poll taken between Tuesday and Friday last week has found that the Tories have now moved into top spot in Wales. This is where Labour took 49% of the vote in 2017, with the Tories behind by double digits…

Compared to the last YouGov poll, the Tory vote has risen by seven points, whist the Labour vote has fallen by three and Brexit Party fallen by five. Boris will also have an eye on that chunky 18% for the Brexit Party which could be coming his way if he delivers on Brexit…

Four Welsh AMs Including Mark Reckless Defect to Brexit Party

Mark Reckless and three other Welsh AMs have formally confirmed that they are joining to the Brexit Party, after Guido revealed their imminent defections 24 hours ago. You’re either in front of Guido…

The four AMs have now given official notice to the Welsh Assembly that they are forming a Brexit Party Group in the assembly, with independents Caroline and Mandy Jones joining David Rowlands, who’s quitting UKIP, and Reckless who’s leaving the Tories again. It’s the third time he’s switched party in just five years, will it be third time lucky for Mark?

Welsh Labour Reinstate AM Suspended for Anti-Semitism After Barely a Month

Jenny Rathbone, the Corbynista Welsh Assembly Member who was suspended in November over anti-Semitism has now been reinstated by the party with no further action taken against her. Rathbone suggested that Jewish people’s security fears could be “in their own heads” and accused Jewish Communities of having a “siege mentality”, while claiming that Israel “drives people to be hostile to British Jews”.

The Welsh Tories are furious, saying Rathbone “was suspended from the Group so her comments and the extent of her prejudices could be investigated thoroughly and diligently. This has not happened.”

Rathbone is close to the new hard left leader of Welsh Labour, Mark Drakeford, and even joined him to celebrate his victory last month while she was supposed to be suspended. The decision to re-admit her to the party was made before Christmas, barely a month after she was suspended. Labour once again struggling to show it is taking anti-Semitism seriously…

Moderates Purged as Corbynistas Take Control of Welsh Labour

There’s been a rapid and brutal turn of events inside the UK’s newly-created Corbynista oblast, formally known as Wales. Momentum’s new First Minister, Mark Drakeford, has wasted no time in purging his tainted predecessor’s closest aides. Guido hears Carwyn Jones’ SpAds, Matt Greenough and Huw Price – both of whom are deeply mired in the murky controversy that led to the death of former minister Carl Sargeant in 2017 have already been sacked. Within hours of Drakeford’s coronation as new Welsh Labour leader, their passes were cancelled, desks cleared and personal effects unceremoniously shipped out in boxes…

Greenough, seen out celebrating the night Sargeant was sacked from government, is being recalled to the Inquest in New Year for a fourth time due to apparent inconsistencies in his previous evidence. Price – also seen partying in the photo – briefed media against Sargeant and ramped pressure up on him in the days leading to his suicide.

Another likely victim of Drakeford’s purge will be Welsh Labour General Secretary Louise Magee – a key figure in Sargeant’s sacking. Hapless Magee admitted gross incompetence in her evidence to the Inquest – confessing that no duty of care was extended to Sargeant before his death. Guido understands Magee is viewed with total suspicion by Drakeford’s inner circle – with her close friends believed to have been behind vicious attacks on him during the recent leadership campaign. Thankfully for Magee, she’s just gone on maternity leave – that will at least buy her some respite before she’s purged by the hard-left in the not-too-distant future…

On the ministerial front, a reshuffle is also under way with moderates like ex-MP Huw Irranca Davies and NEC member Alun Davies having already been purged to make way for Drakeford’s Momentum cronies. The ideological purification of the Politburo is well underway…

New Leader, Old Problems for Welsh Labour

As expected, Wales’ decline was further cemented this afternoon with the election of self-proclaimed Corbyn-groupie, Mark Drakeford, as new Welsh Labour leader. As the result shows, the Momentum machine mercilessly crushed his also-ran opponents.

However, there’ll be no ‘honeymoon’ period for Comrade Drakeford when he’s crowned Wales’ First Minister next week. The increasingly murky conspiracy surrounding the suicide of Labour Minister Carl Sargeant a year ago, still completely dominates Welsh politics.

Sargeant was sacked as Minister following supposed “allegations” of inappropriate behaviour towards women – allegations he denied right up to his death.

Drakeford’s predecessor, the ineffectual Carwyn Jones, remains mired and under pressure for sacking Sargeant without giving him any details of the complaints or letting him offer his side of the story.

As reported previously by Guido, Labour’s problem in Wales is rooted in the very dodgy relationship between the party and Cardiff lobbying firm, Deryn Consulting.

With the Inquest into Carl Sargeant’s death under way, more details are emerging about the web of intrigue that places Deryn at the heart of the conspiracy that was ‘out to get’ Sargeant:

The main conspirators are:

  • Cathy Owens: Head of Deryn who took to the BBC in the days before Sargeant’s death to allege sexual harassment from an unnamed politician. Owens pointedly did not rule out Sargeant from her unsupported allegations as part of a concerted campaign to try and humiliate and discredit him.
  • Jo Kiernan: Deryn employee and named at last week’s Inquest as co-ordinating a bullying campaign against Sargeant when she worked as Carwyn Jones’ chief SpAd.

  • Helen Antoniazzi: Works for a charity called Chwarae Teg – a prominent Deryn client. A former senior Plaid Cymru staffer and believed to be one of the ‘complainants’.
  • Dave Hagendyk: Head of the Learning and Work Institute in Wales – another prominent Deryn client. Former Welsh Labour General Secretary and at the Inquest named as the co-ordinator of complaints against Sargeant.

The big question facing new First Minister Drakeford will be – will he allow his first 100 days as leader to be bogged down in the same conspiracy that toppled Carwyn Jones or will he be savvy enough to cut the conspirators adrift..?

Mark Drakeford New First Minister of Wales

Mark Drakeford is set to become the next First Minister of Wales after winning the Welsh Labour Leadership Election. Drakeford beat Vaughan Gething and Eluned Morgan in the race to replace the outgoing Carwyn Jones, securing 53.9% of the vote after second preferences were included. Llongyfarchiadau…

Wales may be about to get a first-hand taste of Corbynomics – 64-year-old Drakeford is firmly on the left of the Party – he was the only sitting Cabinet member in any part of the UK to back Jeremy Corbyn for Labour leader in 2015 and had Momentum’s support for his own leadership election. Will Wales become the Venezuela of the UK under his stewardship?

Davies: Davies Beats Davies to Replace Davies

Absolute scenes in Wales today after Chairman of the Welsh Conservatives Byron Davies announced to members that Paul Davies had beaten Suzy Davies to replace Andrew RT Davies.

Davies had already served as interim leader since Davies’ unceremonious ousting back in June, and today Davies revealed that Davies had secured 68% of the vote to see off the challenge from Davies and secure his position as Davies’ permanent replacement. And people say that Westminster politics is too incestuous…

Andrew RT Davies Resigns as Welsh Tory Leader

Andrew RT Davies has resigned as leader of the Welsh Conservatives. He said in a statement:

“It is with deep regret that I announce that I have today tendered my resignation as leader of the Welsh Conservatives in the National Assembly. This was done in a letter to our Group Chairman following a meeting this morning of all group members.  “It has been a huge privilege to serve in this position since 2011, after securing the mandate of the party in a ballot of the membership. It is my firm belief that any Leader of the Assembly Group should secure the same mandate in a full ballot of the grassroots, and I hope that my successor will emerge in that manner.”

Davies hasn’t said why he has quit. He was caught up in the Airbus row earlier this week…

Corbyn: Welsh Labour Government Shows Socialism in Practice

Corbyn speaking to Labour’s Welsh conference today:

“Here in Wales Labour is in Government showing the rest of us how our values, Labour’s socialist values can be put into practice… an endorsement of our radical programme for the government but also a positive change that a Labour government and devolution has brought about.”

Guido usually thinks the Tories banging on about the NHS in Wales is tired whataboutery. Though if Corbyn insists on giving them ammo like this…

Bullying Lobbyists at Centre of Carl Sargeant Investigation

Tory Welsh Assembly Member Darren Millar has revealed it was Carl Sargeant himself who asked for questions to be tabled about bullying in the Welsh Government back in 2014. Sargeant was a Cabinet member at the time and asked the Tory AM to help him tackle bullying coming from the First Minister’s office.[…] Read the rest

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Welsh Government SpAd Under Pressure this Morning

The family of Carl Sargeant – who is understood to have killed himself after being accused of sexual misconduct – say advisers to the Welsh First Minister Carwyn Jones may have manipulated evidence against him. They also failed to detail the charges against Sargaent despite pleas from his solicitors, meaning he had no opportunity to defend himself against unknown allegations.[…] Read the rest

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Welsh Government’s £1.8 Million Credit Card Splurge

The eye-watering £1.8 million credit card bill run up by the Welsh Labour government is exposed today, revealing how jet-setting civil servants are travelling the globe in 5*luxury while taxpayers pick up the tab. In total, £1,838,679 was spent on Welsh Government credit cards in 2016-17, up from £1.4 million last year.[…] Read the rest

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Taxpayers Spend Millions Funding Welsh Trade Union Pilgrims

Welsh trade union ‘pilgrims’ are costing the taxpayer more than £2 million per year, an investigation reveals today. Public sector workers on ‘facilities time’ (paid time-off taken by trade union officers to carry out union duties) are employed by almost every one of the 38 public bodies in Wales.[…] Read the rest

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Welsh Labour’s Stunning Tuition Fees Hypocrisy

The Welsh Labour government has announced a hike in tuition fees just weeks after pledging to scrap them during the election. Welsh Labour’s manifesto stated that “Welsh Labour has always been clear that education should be free and if funding allowed, there should be no tuition fees”. […] Read the rest

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CCHQ Rows With Associations Over Female Candidates

CCHQ is embroiled in a number of nasty spats with Tory associations after imposing female candidates on seats across Wales. The Tories do not have a single female Welsh MP, something party chairman Patrick McLoughlin and Welsh Secretary Alun Cairns are determined to change.[…] Read the rest

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Tories 10 Points Ahead in Wales

In Wales.[…] Read the rest

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