Important snap poll from YouGov. Top lines:
With an election looming, this should be a huge wake-up call to MPs…
New YouGov polling for The Times has shown Boris’s Tories soar higher to a 15 point lead, making up more than the Labour and Brexit Party vote shares combined. The ‘Classic Dom’ strategy seems to be working…
Interestingly, the poll found that since July, the Brexit Party vote has fallen by almost two thirds among 2017 Tories, yet only by just 1% among 2017 Labour voters. Now the Brexit Party vote is almost evenly made up of voters who in 2017 went for the Tory (13%) and Labour (8%) parties, meaning it could be an electoral boost to the Tories in the next election, eating away at Labour voters who would never vote Tory. Jack Brereton, the new Tory MP for Stoke-on-Trent South is convinced he would not have won his seat in 2017 if UKIP had not stood against him, taking Labour votes. Meanwhile MPs like Stewart Jackson who UKIP did not stand against lost out by tiny margins…
Boris’s personal ratings have climbed higher too, being twice as popular as Corbyn in the Best Prime Minister question, with 43% to Corbyn’s 21%. And for the first time ever, Boris has overtaken Corbyn in all age brackets. Among those aged 18-24, Boris leads by 32 to 29.
Among the over 65s, Boris leads by 62 to 8…
The biggest poll since the referendum itself, conducted for ITN by ComRes with 26,000 Britons, conclusively shows the public want Brexit sorted, with 54% of respondents saying we should support abiding by the referendum result and leave the EU. Even greater than the original 52:48 split…
When ‘don’t knows’ are included, leaving still has a majority, with 50% wanting to leave (30% with a deal and 20% with no deal) versus only 42% wanting to remain. The Brexit train rolls on…
Boris has taken a lead in the Labour heartlands of Wales according to a new YouGov poll, which would see the Tories picking up 17 constituencies – in comparison to their current eight…
The poll finds Brexit will dominate the hypothetical election, with 56% of Welsh voters calling Brexit the most important election issue, and 89% of prospective Tory voters favouring no-deal.
Presuming an equal swing, the new poll would see the party gain back Brecon & Radnorshire – which the Lib Dems won in the August by-election – as well as Clwyd South – the seat Boris first contested in 1997…
A new ComRes poll has seen the Tories leap up 6 points since prorogation. Looks like Downing Street are getting their messaging to cut through (actual classic Dom)…
The Tories still have a lot of votes to take from the Brexit party before they could be sure of a big majority, however, as Farage still commands 28% support amongst 2016 leave voters. The poll is the first time this year ComRes have predicted a Tory majority…
A new poll by YouGov has revealed that less than a quarter of Brits think it is relevant for them to know if Boris and Jennifer Arcuri had a romantic relationship. 62% think it isn’t…
Majorities in every region, country, age group, gender, and social grade of the UK say it is not relevant, which makes Morgan’s constant focus on it this morning seem a waste of time. Interestingly, fewer women are likely to say it is relevant than men…
The same poll found that 53% of the public oppose Extinction Rebellion’s fortnight-long shut down of Westminster, compared to just 37% who support it. Things look even bleaker for the extremist group when the poll is broken down to strongly oppose vs strongly support; with just 12% strongly support the group, vs 33% who strongly oppose them. Looks like the true extinction might be their climate communist cabal…
YouGov has now released their second poll in a fortnight that shows the Lib Dems to be the second most popular party in Britain; with a 2% rise in their fortunes compared with 27th September, and Labour falling 1% to a mere 21% – Despite all the supposed outrage over prorogation…
The polling – conducted after Boris’s prorogation was overturned by the Supreme Court and the confected row over the PM’s language in Parliament – sees the Tories increasing by 1%, to a lead of 11% over the Lib Dems and 13% over Labour. And this is all before Dianne Abbott takes to the dispatch box for PMQs this afternoon…
More Labour voters want an early election than Tories. Yet Corbyn won’t give them one…
The public know the recall of parliament won’t solve anything. 
Survation did the polling yesterday. The public are not fooled by all the showboating by politicians…
A ComRes poll for the Telegraph asked people their view on the statement “Parliament has had plenty of time to debate Brexit and we should just get on with leaving the EU”. 60% just want parliament to get on with it…
47% think there should be a General Election as soon as possible after the 31st October 2019, 41% think it should be before. Suspect now it will be after…
Ian Austin’s Mainstream commissioned polling from YouGov of Labour Party members and found a party that has moved on a long way from being Blair’s “political wing of the British people”. Corbyn’s Marxist Labour Party is very different and so are the members. Of course we knew they would nationalise and tax everything that moves and seek to muzzle the opposition press – there are however a whole raft of sentiments that are shocking.
YouGov’s poll of over 1,100 members shows how out of touch with Labour voters the middle-class lefties really are:
Astounding difference with popular opinion shows how out of touch with the working classes Labour is nowadays:
Expect the Brexit Party to use the findings to appeal to patriotic former Labour voters who despise terrorists, respect the Queen and love their country…
Download full polling data here.
Top lines from the latest Opinium poll:
Opinium’s latest poll reveals that Boris continues to consolidate their first-place position in the Tories have hit a 15-point lead over Labour. The Tories hold steady on 37%, Labour has lost three points and is down to 22%. This would give the Tories a triple-figure majority…
Amber Rudd was the least satisfactory member of the Cabinet in the eyes of Conservatives, according to the latest ConservativeHome polling. Pundits claiming Amber resigning will be a “huge loss for the Conservative Party” don’t understand the party or the reboot that is underway to align the party more closely with Brexit voters. Take their forecasts with a pinch of salt…
Snap polling by YouGov has found that – by whopping majorities – Tory and Leave voters want anti-No Deal rebels to be deselected by the Conservative Party if they vote with Jeremy Corbyn tonight.
YouGov asked, “Do you think Conservative members of parliament who vote to block a No Deal Brexit, should or should not be allowed to stand as Conservatives at the next general election?” Predictably, Labour and the Lib Dems are in favour of the anti-No Deal MPs continuing…
Among the country as a whole, 40% of people believe they should be allowed to stand as Conservatives, while the other 60% think they either should be deselected (34%) or don’t know (26%).
You can see why Corbyn, 12 points behind in yesterday’s YouGov poll, isn’t keen on triggering a vote of no confidence that might lead to an early general election. Boris would crush him…
Boris has taken a lead of 14 points over Labour in a new Kantar TNS poll, with the party jumping by 17% since May. Talk about a Boris Bounce…
The astonishing upturn in the party’s polling fortunes appears to be at the expense of both Labour and the Brexit Party, who are down 6% and 5% respectively, with the Brexit Party collapsing to a mere 5% in the poll.
The poll will give a huge boost to the Tories’ morale as Boris flies to Europe to meet with Merkel and Macron today and tomorrow, both of whom enjoy much lower public approval ratings in their respective countries. The poll of polls has the Tories on a clear 5% lead over Labour…
A majority (54%) of the public agree that Boris Johnson needs to deliver Brexit by any means, even if that meant suspending Parliament, according to the latest ComRes poll for The Telegraph. Including ‘don’t knows’ there is still a clear 44% in favour to 37% against, this is backed up by another question that finds 40% of people who think Boris is more in tune with the public than Parliament. Only 25% agree that Parliament is more in tune with the public than Boris…
Naturally Remoaners are hitting the roof over the fact ‘don’t knows’ have been excluded from the headline, and that the poll used the word “Boris”. Funnily enough Guido can’t remember them making such a fuss at the endless series of highly loaded “Final Say” polling questions pumped out by the People’s Vote campaign…
Boris bounces 10 points ahead with Ipsos Mori. Reinforcing yesterday’s 10 point lead with YouGov…
For months Corbyn and May were behind or on a par with “Don’t Know” as the public’s preferred choice for PM. Boris is now the clearly preferred choice of twice as many voters compared to Corbyn. When he became Tory Party leader, YouGov put Boris in second place behind ‘Don’t Know’. In just his first week as Prime Minister, Boris has soared eight points into first place. The more people see of Prime Minister Boris, the more they like him…
All the government now has to do is Brexit to smash Corbyn in a general election. Simples…
According to the Britain Elects website the rolling average of recent polls has Labour ahead on on 24.4% and the Tories on 22.6%. Can Boris give the Tories a bounce next week?
YouGov have conducted some remarkably speedy polling of the public’s attitude towards the Kim Darroch affair, although the fieldwork was conducted before his resignation. Over half the public thought it was wrong for the comments to have been leaked, 37% went further and said it was also wrong for the press to have published them.[…] Read the rest
Peter Mandelson tells Emma Barnett…
“I think that Jeremy Corbyn himself should search his conscience and ask himself whether he’s the best person to lead the Labour Party into the general election with the best chance of success for the party.”
