A new poll from the Belfast Telegraph reveals that post-Brexit, Northern Ireland remains opposed to a united Ireland by the golden percentage of 52%, support for a united Ireland stands at just 29%. Mary Lou McDonald look away now…

There’s bad news for the anti-UK Welsh cabal as well, as a poll last month showed support for completely abolishing the Welsh Assembly outstripping support for independence. When given a full slate of options, the preferences were:

Scotland, as ever, remains the more difficult family member…

Opinium has the Tory lead down to a mere 15 points. Will a Starmer-led Labour Party enjoy a honeymoon? Will he narrow the gap? Or will the Labour left just spend the next few years undermining him as he seeks to move the party towards the voters? We’ll find out in 2024…

Following the rejection of Salma Yaqoob as their West Midlands Mayoral candidate, it’s beginning to look like Labour are becoming more electorally savvy. A new poll from the Evening Standard shows both Labour voters and the general public are united in thinking Rebecca Long-Bailey is unsuitable to be PM – even ranking her behind Emily Thornberry. Will Labour members see sense at any point?…

The order of preference between Labour voters and the general voters is surprisingly the same, with Starmer in first, followed by Lisa Nandy. Unfortunately for Labour, all four candidates fail to receive support from 1/3 or more of the public when asked who has what it takes to be PM. Long-Bailey takes the biscuit with just 14% support from the general public…

On the eve of Brexit the CEBR/YouGov consumer confidence index has jumped 2.9 points to 107.7 – a surge in optimism, pushing consumer confidence to a 16-month high. So much for the “immediate economic aftershock” we were told to expect by George Osborne…

Voters are more confident about their finances and job security than they were a year ago. They are even more optimistic than they were a month ago. The Boris bounce is strong…

After a decade of Conservative Prime Ministers, the Tories have stormed ahead to take a stonking 49% share of the vote in YouGov’s latest survey – 5 points up on their general election win, and nearly as good as the last time the Tories achieved more than 50% in a poll – 52% under Thatcher in May 1983. At some point the Government is going to need to stop trying to build ever more dominant poll leads, and actually spend their political capital on governing…

New YouGov polling has found that one third of Rebecca Long-Bailey’s supporters are “completely unwilling to compromise any Labour values, even if this means the party is unelectable.” Only 5% of Keir Starmer’s supporters refuse to compromise with the voters and just 4% of Lisa Nandy’s supporters prefer purity in opposition. Emily Thornberry did not have enough supporters to be polled…

Conversely, just 1% of RLB’s supporters are “willing to see large compromises on some Labour values if this makes the party more electable.” This compares to 16% of Starmer’s supporters and 19% of Nandy’s. See the full results here…