Quite conversely to 2017, as the UK enters the final week of this December election the Tories’ poll lead is in fact growing – and Labour is falling back.

According to the Britain Elects poll tracker, after a previously shrinking lead, the Tories start the week on 42.9% – +0.4% on last week; and Labour stalling with a fall of -0.1% to 33%.

Famously, online Corbynistas declare they only trust Survation polls, as they were the most accurate pollsters in 2017. Obviously most other pollsters are mere Tory stooges…

Unfortunately for Corbyn’s true believers, they waited only to see their favourite polling company declare a last-minute Tory surge of 3% up to a 14% lead over Labour, with Corbyn dropping by 2% on the last poll.

Even more infuriatingly for Labour was yesterday’s YouGov poll confirming the Tories now lead among working-class voters by 17% – in comparison to the 7% lead Labour enjoyed just four years ago. The Corbynistas are already making their excuses…

A new Kantar poll has shown the public’s preference for Boris as PM has risen by 4% since their last poll on the 25th November – up to 41%; with Corbyn falling by 2% over the same period to 22%. It seems not even Richard Burgon’s increased campaign presence can turn around Corbyn’s fortunes…

This morning the FT reported that Tory strategists are anxiously watching for signs that Corbyn is catching up with Johnson in ‘best PM polls’, as this was one of the warning signs of May’s impending doom in 2017. This might steady the nerves of CCHQ somewhat then…

A landmark election poll of British Indians has found a 12-point decline in the community’s support for the Labour party since 2017. Is there any community Corbyn can’t offend with his foreign policy?…

The abandoning of the Labour Party by British Indians comes after Corbyn sparked a diplomatic incident with the country, after claiming he had discussed the ongoing incident in Kashmir during a meeting with the Congress Party, before being slapped down by the party’s leader who said that was purely an internal affair in which Corbyn had no right to interfere.

The poll also found most British Indians believe UK-India relations will deteriorate more with Corbyn as PM, than Boris. Although third in the poll, the Lib Dems, support has more than doubled since the last election. Undecideds are much higher than average too. Lots of Indian voters are looking for anyone but Corbyn…

The Tories have surged to an eighteen point lead in Kantar’s latest poll, largely as a result of the Brexit Party crashing down to just 2% – a fall of seven points. The Lib Dems are also down one, contributing to the Tories’ eight-point rise. Nothing is in the bag about this election but this will make for reassuring reading for CCHQ ahead of tonight’s debate…

Boris has taken an even more commanding lead in Survation’s preferred Prime Minister polling. The PM is up six points on last month, with the Lib Dems crashing down to place Swinson behind Corbyn, who himself has fallen by two points.

This mirrors Deltapoll’s findings over the weekend that saw the Lib Dems tumble five points to just 11%. Ironically the Tories are worried that if Swinson’s party continues to plummet, the Remain vote won’t be split enough to win back key targets in metropolitan places like London…

New polling from YouGov shows a twenty point lead for the Conservatives amongst C2DE (working-class) voters. Amongst the middle classes, this lead drops to nine points. The polling has found that the Labour, Lib Dem, and Green parties are all more popular with middle-class than working-class voters. The ‘Labour’ party again showing it’s anything but…

UPDATE: Chris Curtis from YouGov raises another interesting point from this polling – the Tory lead with working-class voters is growing…

Since the start of the campaign, amongst working class voters:
Cons – up 10
Lab – up 4
Lib Dem – down 3
Brexit party – down 11 https://t.co/vdc0xLCtuR

— Chris Curtis (@chriscurtis94) November 14, 2019

A huge new YouGov poll of over 11,500 voters shows the Tories leading Labour by 14%, with the Lib Dems only 3% behind Corbyn – a result that, if repeated in the election, could see Boris win a three-figure majority.

The poll also shows the SNP are on course for a big win in Scotland, taking 42% of the vote and all but three of the Tories seats. YouGov also sees the Lib Dems beating Labour in their former Scottish heartlands.

In even more dire reading for Corbyn, YouGov polled personality traits for him and Boris, and found the PM’s likeability is 25% higher than Corbyn’s; with the Labour leader ahead in only authenticity, being in touch and honesty.

The enormous start-of-election poll also breaks down regional voting intention, with Labour ahead only in the North East (by 6%), London (by 10%) and Wales (by 1%).

The Brexit Party’s strongest showing remains the North East where they poll 19% – a big problem for the Tories hoping to pick up seats around Middlesbrough. All psephology fans are keeping their eyes peeled for another YouGov seat-by-seat predictor, like that which predicted the 2017 election so accurately…

A new YouGov poll shows the public see this forthcoming December election as even more about Brexit than the 2017 election. Good news for the Tories…

When asked what the most important issue facing the country at this election is, ‘Britain leaving the EU’ has increased to 69%, with health down in prominence in comparison to 2017.

Crime and the environment have also seen huge jumps in public focus, but the worst news for Labour is the NHS has fallen by a large amount. Labour will be desperate to see this change…

The first polls of the election campaign are now coming in thick and fast – and they make positive reading for the

A new Ipsos MORI poll for the Evening Standard today shows the Tories rocketing up to 8% to 41% – where they were in the 2017 election.[…] Read the rest

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