A new poll from PeoplePolling presents a bleak picture of the challenges facing Rishi Sunak. In addition to putting the Conservatives on a meagre 22%, the pollster asked about Britons’ confidence in the government’s ability to deal with small boat crossings. A staggering 57% of voters are “not at all confident” the government can solve the crisis. This lack of confidence is even shared by 2019 Conservative voters: 52% have no confidence…
The pollster then asked a question of EU membership, with the results raising questions of some recent pro-remain punditry. When asked for simple join/stay out preferences, voters opted to rejoin by a margin of 8%. When this was contextualised with the implications of joining (single-market membership, free movement and the application of EU laws) this lead shrunk to just 3%. Well within the margin of error. Context is key…
A new MRP poll from Savanta, based on a 20-point lead over the Tories, shows Labour on course for a mind-blowing 314-seat majority. MRP polls have proved historically accurate in 2017 and 2019. The poll shows the Tories holding no seats more northerly than South Holland and The Deepings in Lincolnshire, with Rishi losing his seat and 27,000 majority. Ironically Liz Truss keeps her seat…
The poll shows an absolute wipe-out for the Tories. They would be left with just 69 seats (no sniggering).
Based on a scan of the hexagonal map provided by Savanta, big-name Tories who might cling on include Suella Braverman, James Cleverly, Kemi Badenoch, Michael Gove, Kit Malthouse and Tom Tugendhat. Boris would lose his seat, along with all Tory seats in the capital. The captain of the Titanic would look at this poll and think, “Biggest iceberg ever!”…
As Mick Lynch has pulled the emergency brake on his pledge that rail strikes would not disrupt Christmas journeys, public support has shifted markedly away from the RMT’s industrial action. A majority of voters – 51% – now oppose the Christmas strikes, with just 37% supporting them. This is an eight-point shift since YouGov last asked. Who could have foreseen that people might not like their Christmas plans being upended…
Hardly unsurprisingly, public trust in politicians to tell the truth has fallen to its lowest level ever, according to the latest Ipsos poll. Just 12% of the public now trusts politicians to tell the truth, lower than advertising executives (14%) and government ministers (16%).
Unfortunately for journalists they don’t fare much better, at just 29% – one percent above estate agents…
In some of the first polling conducted since Rishi took over as Prime Minister, the Conservatives have been able to close their polling deficit. New polling from YouGov and The Times saw Labour’s lead shrunk by 9 points. Before any Tories get carried away, that still leaves their lead at 28%…
Add to that the impending storm of budget cuts, Rishi certainly faces an uphill battle.
The poll also strengthens Reform UK’s claims of a resurgence, with their support at 6% and growing representing a relatively strong showing. The Conservatives face challenges from all sides…
The Tory polling position is the worst Guido can remember. The only way is up…
