The new Ipsos poll will do little for the few hopeful Tories left, as the party hits an all-time low of 19% – the lowest in 45 years. The Tories won’t seek comfort in Rishi’s personal ratings either, as he drops to a record low -59 points. The same level as Jezza Corbyn…

Meanwhile, Labour stayed relatively stable at 44% and Reform hit 13%, their highest score yet in an Ipsos poll. A whopping 37% of people think the Tories should change leader before the election, compared to 33% who don’t. Still, at least the ‘grown ups’ are back in charge…

Another week, another dire poll for the Tories. The Country Land and Business Association has a Survation poll which shows more than half of the 100 most rural seats in England will swing to Labour at the next election. 51 of these traditionally Tory heartlands. That’s a big loss considering they currently hold 96 of them. From breaking through the Red Wall to losing the Blue Wall in 5 years is quite an achievement…

Among those polled to lose their seat include:

• Jeremy Hunt
• Jacob Rees-Mogg
• Lucy Frazer
• Mark Harper
• Mel Stride
• Richard Holden
• Anne-Marie Trevelyan
• Andrea Leadsom
• Mark Spencer
• Graham Stuart
• Andrew Griffith
• Liam Fox
• Thérèse Coffey
• Julian Smith
• Karen Bradley
• Jeremy Wright
• Brendan Clarke-Smith
• Bernard Jenkin
• Bill Cash

With by-elections this week expected to bring more losses for the Tories, and GDP stats potentially showing the UK is in a recession, this is just the start of another hard week for Rishi…

The week hasn’t got off to the best start for the Tories, as turmoil within the left and right of the party over Sunak’s new Rwanda bill grows. One Nation Tories are telling whips they will be voting with Labour in a bid to kill the bill, while those on the right (namely Braverman and, err, Jenrick) are also set to reject it. Growing discontent in the party has been reflected in the polls in a major way…

The last time to the Tories managed to garner 30% in the polls was late-September 2022. Since then, there have been 62 consecutive polls, with 60 of them giving the Tories a measly score in the 20’s and two of them 19% – the worst extended run of poll ratings in the party’s history. CCHQ is hoping that there will be a bump in the polls before the next election. Though if their ratings continue to plummet as they have been, they might want a rethink before things get even worse…

Traditionally, the Tories’ USP has always been that the public trusted them with the economy, though latest polls fielded on Sunday from Redfield & Wilton will make glum reading for Rishi and his Chancellor. Labour is up by 7 points in terms of building a better economy, with the public giving them 40% compared to Rishi’s 33%. As the cost-of-living crisis fuels the equivalent of a 3p income tax rise on average workers, it’s no surprise. Guido doubts tomorrow’s Autumn Statement will garner any more trust from the public on the government’s handling of the economy… 

Pollsters will be looking forward to working out what people make of Rishi’s reshuffle. In the meantime, YouGov polled Brits on a potential Cameron return as Foreign Secretary back in 2018 when hacks brought up the potential move. 53% opposed the move, 39% were strongly opposed. 22% thought it would be a good idea. Probably no sea change since then…

This year 47% of people said Cameron was a bad PM compared to 22% who thought he was good. When asked in October, 36% said Sunak is worse than Cameron was – 16% said he’s been better. We will have to wait to see whether this shifts Labour’s 21-point lead…

The vast majority of British voters think the behaviour of the environmental extremists who scaled Rishi’s Richmond mansion was “unacceptable”. Is the roof finally caving in on the eco mob?

According to Omnisis, 60% of voters condemned the protest, with this number climbing to 69% if “don’t know” responses are removed. Just 27% of voters thought the protest was justified. No wonder CCHQ is so keen on linking Labour to the eco-clowns…