Rishi has fallen from hot favourite to his chances being third rated, with Penny as favourite and an overnight re-evaluation by punters seeing Liz move into the second favourite spot.
In the last month the implied probability of Keir Starmer resigning as Labour leader this year has risen from under 10% to over 30% as gamblers increasingly believe the Durham Police investigation could go badly for Starmer. We are due to hear from Durham Police this week as to if he has received a Fixed Penalty Notice.
Yesterday Starmer reconfirmed to Robert Peston that he would resign if that happens…
The betting markets were thrown into chaos yesterday afternoon as Jon Sopel announced he was quitting the BBC to launch a new Global podcast with Emily Maitlis. Sopel had been in the lead ever since Vicky Young formally ruled herself out as a contender back in January – despite Guido’s top advice that a punt on Alex Forsyth would be a good move.
Forsyth has now taken a big lead in the race, with a 27% chance of nabbing the job versus Faisal Islam’s 9%. Amol Rajan and Sam Coates trail way behind on 4.4% and 1.3% respectively. Guido wonders if a surprise outsider could be on the cards? Applications closed on the 10th – can’t be long to wait now…
If it feels like things have come to a halt in Westminster as we await Sue Gray’s report, Guido has bad news. Punters on Smarkets are betting that we won’t see the report this week. The implied probability that it will be next week is some 70%. “Gray Ja Vu.”
To help pass the time amuse yourself with the wit of the trending #SueGrayDay. For the record, Guido is betting it will be Monday…
Vicki Young has this evening confirmed the rumour that she has not applied to replace Laura Kuenssberg as the BBC’s Political Editor.
Been getting lots of nice messages about #BBC Political Editor job so wanted to let you all know that for personal reasons I won’t be applying. But look forward to supporting whoever gets this incredible role.— Vicki Young (@BBCVickiYoung) January 16, 2022
Despite being favourite and tipped by Andrew Marr no less – “I think Vicki Young, the current deputy political editor should get it, I think she would be brilliant, she is a real talent and it would be great to see her in the job” – she has decided not to go for one of the highest pressure jobs in political reporting.
Guido has put a few quid on Alex Forsyth, currently the BBC’s Political Correspondent. She’s the front running woman at 10/1 at the bookies. Worth a flutter…
Online sports betting has grown dramatically in popularity in recent times, and it does not look like this trend will stop increasing any time soon, but why is such a rapid increase in sports betting happening?
There is no getting away from Coronavirus, every time you turn on the TV or radio you will hear about it. There is no doubt that it has changed a lot of things in society over the last couple of years. Where and when we go out, how we celebrate Christmas, and even who we can invite into our homes.
At some point during the last two years, we have all been sitting at home, alone, trying to find some way of entertaining ourselves. Many people have turned to online sports betting as a way of relieving the boredom and bringing some excitement back into their lives in an otherwise bleak period.
Not being able to go out to the betting shop or have a day at the races has meant that people have had to stay in to bet, and many people have found that they quite enjoy this. Whether they fancy a last-minute flutter on the 3.30 pm from Kempton Park or they like the look of the new Arsenal lineup, people have been enjoying not having to leave the house to place a bet and this has become the usual way of doing things. This rise in online sports betting looks as if it is here to stay just for the convenience it brings.
A lot of people have more time on their hands than they have in the past. The rise of the work-from-home culture does not look as if it will diminish any time soon with many people now stating that they would not be prepared to take a new job if they didn’t get this flexibility. This has meant the end to the long commute to work and back and people have more time to look at form and place bets. Studying form is an important part of the betting process for online sports as it can allow you to work out the likely outcome. You need more time to do this than you would to play an online casino for example. Hence, the rise of online sports betting.