Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Gordon Lives – CCHQ Celebrates Prematurely

Guido has been telling anyone who would listen over lunch that the media are ready for a change in the Westminster narrative. Guido would point to the Tatler photo-shoot and the Andy Coulson midwifed Cameron on Cameron hagiography by Dylan Jones as the spin tops. The pendulum of the Lobby is ready, eager even, to turn against the too smooth, too cool Cameroons.

CCHQ will be pleased that Gordon has shored up his position, other fresher faces would knock 10 points off their poll lead, Brown is at least that much of a drag on the polls for Labour. The Conservatives are heading to Brum confident that they are on their way to government. The media, in particular the BBC, will be more than willing to throw a spanner in the works. As Dave said, “the deal is far from sealed”. The narrative is ready to shift. One thing Guido noticed about Gordon’s speech was that it borrowed more from McCain-Palin than from Obama. Experience versus change is the only viable line of attack for Gordon, they will use it. Will the media buy in to it?

UPDATE : Dave has just delivered a speech at the Carlton Political Dinner. According to a seasoned co-conspirator it was a good one and went down well with a friendly business crowd.

He started off by mocking Brown – said he was surprised that Sam Cameron hadn’t introduced him, then said she was “my wife, not a prop”. Dave joked about how the shadow cabinet were great because “they come up with loads of ideas and I take all the credit”. He also pushed the ‘no complacency’ ‘mountain to climb’ line quite hard. Last year’s Carlton speech was effectively a rehearsal for Dave’s conference speech. According to Guido’s source, the business crowd were in love with him.

Boulton Lost

‘Gordon Brown’s party conference speech was well-crafted, well-delivered and pleased his Labour audience here in Blackpool’.

Adam Boulton, Sky News

Via a co-conspirator.

Did Miliband Do the DJing?

As Sarah Brown came on “Beautiful Day’ by U2 was playing in the background, you could hear the lyrics:

You’re out of luck
And the reason that you had to care
The traffic is stuck
And you’re not moving anywhere

Hmmm.

Thought it was a nice touch that Sarah introduced him. It was also nice that he shook her hand after the speech. Like loving husbands do.

Stockwell Shocker

The jury has been off to retrace Menezes’ last moments at Stockwell station. Did they notice this inappropriate film poster?

From an email going viral.

Gordon Live Chat


Post Match Live Blog Statistics:
Email Reminders Set Up: 28
Total Blog Page Hits: 2545
Total Unique Viewers: 1279
Avg. Unique Viewer Duration on Blog: 11 min.

Chat Text
Viewer Chat Messages Sent: 4046
Viewer Chat Messages Published: 3509

Miliband is Gr8

Miliband’s PPS Dan Norris sent the following text to selected sympathetic* Labour MP’s last night:

If you’re at conference pls make a point of speaking to lobby correspondents who are trying to distort party unity, to help them u’stand David’s speech was a unifying one which is why it went down so well in the hall. Thanks.

That spin line didn’t exactly work…

*Not all are as sympathetic as they think, obviously.

Thieving Parasitical Journalists

Remember this?Well the Evening Standard stole the picture for that afternoon’s late edition:

Click to enlarge.

No picture credit, no payment. Associated Newspapers made £83m last year. For some reason employees of Associated Newspapers seem to be the the most common thieving parasites – lifting stories without credit or payment. Guido has had a few run-ins with diarists, most of which have been settled amicably over a bottle or two. Not Sebastian Shakespeare however, he is the editor of the Londoner’s Diary in the Standard and he is a thieving ****ing magpie. Latest examples: Exhibit A, Exhibit B. He makes no bones about it, in a heated row last year Sebastian admitted he steals Guido’s work and “so what?” Harry Phibbs who freelances for Londoner’s Diary subsequently had lunch with Guido and said that it should be taken as a compliment. Like a burglar being caught and saying to his victim “never mind, we both have great taste in old masterpieces”. F*** off you thief.

Over the last five years the number of stories lifted is reaching triple figures, Peter MacKay’s Ephraim Hardcastle in the Daily Mail is another thieving f***ing magpie.

After yet another round of story thieving by the Telegraph’s Andrew Pierce, a hack who has built his career on nicking other people’s stories, he denied lifting the story from Guido on the technicality that he had copied it from Private Eye, who had lifted it verbatim from Guido.

Guido always tries to credit the source of a story with a link. It is not just honest and good manners, it pays dividends in traffic terms. Here is the difference in understanding between online writers and dead tree writers. Bloggers understand that if you increase the usefulness of your site with useful links, you get more traffic. Something that the dead tree press has only just realised – see here, here and here to learn why linking is a good strategy for dead-tree mediasaurs online. Pierce, Shakespeare and the rest take note. A case of Margaux is better than a link mind you.

If you rob someone else’s work, continuously, and pass it off as your own, you will be named and shamed. Meantime an invoice is in the post for the stolen picture.

Labour Not Gr8

Labour introduced a text and remind feature for their corporate fringe advertisers. It wasn’t working yesterday. MessageSpace offers an alternative, fully functioning free text and remind service to LibDem, Labour and Conservative conference goers…

By popular request Guido will be live blogging the Brown speech from 2 pm this afternoon and you will all be able to join in the fun in the Cover It Live chatroom. Don’t forget by using this reminder thingy. It should be a barrel of laughs.

Will anyone give Guido odds on the Prime Mentalist saying “Getting on with the job”? Please?

Flashback : Brown 2005 Speech on "Light Touch Regulation"

Today’s speech will no doubt include a section about how he for many years had, with great insight, been calling for global financial regulation. His speech in 2005 to the CBI however was pure New Labour neo-liberalism, praising enterprise, free markets and globalisation. He promised the corporate class deregulation, a “new risk based model of regulation” for financial services
“no inspection without justification, no form filling without justification, and no information requirements without justification, not just a light touch but a limited touch.”

So there was no risk-based reason to clamp down on Northern Rock?

Osborne in the Indy catches Balls at it as well

“But the real prize for memory loss must go to Ed Balls. On Monday he said that those who had advocated “light touch regulation” had been, in his words, “routed”. This is the same Ed Balls who as Chief Economic Adviser to the Treasury for eight years boasted about the “light touch” regime of City regulation he had designed. This is also the same Ed Balls who then as City Minister called for “a light touch approach at the global and EU level”. The star player of Labour’s football team has scored a spectacular own-goal.”

Do they really think that Labour supporters are too stupid to notice the about turn?

UPDATE : Maybe not, LabourHome is mocking Balls’ conversion.

Monday, September 22, 2008

Market Mayhem Watch : Day 1

Gold jumped some $30 on the back of fear. If the U.S. government is going to bail out the banks people realised it was time to bail out of U.S. dollars, bonds and stocks. Guido took profit on the spike, probably far too soon. You don’t go broke taking profits too soon though. Gold carried on through $900 without Guido for the ride.

The euro jumped nearly 2.5% or some 300 pips, biggest move ever. Took profit on that and switched to shorting the dollar against sterling on the possibly irrational idea that other speculators will start to eye a $2 pound and the move against the dollar was not as violent as it was vis-a-vis the euro. The position is a little underwater.

Just to prove what an evil speculator Guido is he shorted the FTSE hard. Am still running the short and marked to market am up some 21.5% overall on the day. A profit or loss of that magnitude in a day signals too much leverage in too volatile a market. Strangely traders never mind violent P&L swings when they are to the plus side. Friday’s broad stock market gains evaporated, oil hit $125 a barrel. Tomorrow can’t be this volatile, can it?

The FT’s Alphaville blog (“The Site That Supports our Shorts”) highlights a Downing Street petition to criminalise consenting behaviour between capitalists. They want to criminalise short selling. Some trade union boss told the Labour Party conference he wants to tax us into extinction. Tax us to the Bahamas more likely.


Seen Elsewhere

How the Carswell Story Unfolded | Sky News
How to Defect | Telegraph
Carswell Defection Will Dismay Thoughtful Tories | ConservativeHome
Carswell: Darling of the Tories, Labour and Now UKIP | Speccie
Where is the Love? | Tom Watson
Tory Eurosceptics Weakened | Speccie
Thacker Played Down Scandal | Times
How Clegg Lost the Women of Britain | Sophy Ridge
Multiculturalism: At What Price? | Allison Pearson
Labour Failed Those Victims | Labour Uncut
We Cannot Ignore the Race Issue Here | Dan Hodges


VOTER-RECALL
Get the book Find out more about PLMR


Douglas Carswell’s side-kick Dan Hannan MEP pours water on the obvious question:

“I won’t be joining UKIP, though I wish Douglas Carswell all the best. He has been a superb MP, and it’s honourable to stand for re-election.”



Owen Jones says:

We also need Zil lanes.


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