Mad Professor Wants to Prosecute Vote Leave Boss

mad-professor

Professor bob Watt, an expert in electoral law from the University of Buckingham, has made a complaint about “undue influence” to the Director of Public Prosecutions. Under electoral law “undue influence” includes the use of “a fraudulent device or contrivance” to “impede or prevent or intend to impede or prevent the free exercise of the franchise”. The eccentric Professor “bob” – he insists on the lower case ‘b’ –  claims there were “instances where the leave campaigns continued to make assertions of fact that were knowingly misleading”. In particular the famous £350 million claim.

He says his “primary aim in seeking prosecution is to try to restore some integrity to our democratic processes.” Good luck with that…

This is beyond quixotic, Vote Leave CEO Matthew Ellliott will simply explain that £350 million is equivalent to the gross weekly payment, not the net weekly payment once the rebate and other transfers are taken into account. Therefore the headline figure is true before those qualifications. Any reasonable person examining the claim – which was widely contested – would understand how the figure was arrived at. In the debates Michael Gove and others conceded that the net figure was less.

Professor “bob” has had success before – he was one of the people behind the election petition against Lutfur Rahman cronies. In that case there was out and out political corruption. Are we seriously expecting judges to rule on the phrasing of political slogans?

UPDATE:

High Court Rules Parliament WILL Vote on Article 50

rcj

No news as yet as to if the government will appeal. Ironically this presents a big problem for Corbyn. Many on his backbenches will vote against triggering Article 50. Against the will of the voters…

UPDATE: Read the full ruling here.

UPDATE II: Government statement:

“The Government is disappointed by the Court’s judgment. The country voted to leave the European Union in a referendum approved by Act of Parliament. And the Government is determined to respect the result of the referendum. We will appeal this judgment.”

Bet Against Banks Leaving

bank-of-guido-cheque

Anthony Browne of the British Bankers Association is a deservedly well paid lobbyist on behalf the industry. He earned his crust this weekend by getting the Observer’s front page splash:

observer-brexit

The lurid claim made in the first line is that

“Britain’s biggest banks are preparing to relocate out of the UK in the first few months of 2017 amid growing fears over the impending Brexit negotiations, while smaller banks are making plans to get out before Christmas.”

This echoes the claims made during the referendum campaign – claims which included that Britain will go into immediate recession this year if we dared to vote to leave the EU. Guido tried to bet anyone of the 71% of City economists who made that claim £1,000 that there would be no recession in 2016. Not one economist him up on the wager. So Guido’s new offer is to Anthony: £1000 says that not one leading bank will give up its UK banking licence next year to relocate to the EU.

Winnings to charity. Well Anthony, do we have a bet?

Remoaners Trying to “Invalidate” Referendum Result

eu-court

Remoaner lawyers seeking to force a parliamentary vote on triggering Article 50 are trying to “invalidate” the referendum result, the high court has heard. Attorney General Jeremy Wright told the court that giving MPs another vote on Brexit is “not required”, explaining that using the royal prerogative is part of a “proper and well established” principle:

“The other parties in this case have sought to say they are defending the sovereignty of parliament. We say that parliament can retain its sovereignty as much by choosing not to do something as by doing something. It chose not to restrict the way royal prerogative powers work on multiple opportunities. The prerogative powers are available to use, we say, to give clear effect to the wishes of the people of the UK that we should begin the process of leaving the EU.”

Decision tomorrow. It shouldn’t be a difficult one.

Referendum Battle Bus Challenge

buses

Above are the real life buses that Vote Leave, Britain Stronger In Europe, UKIP and Labour In used for the EU referendum campaign. But can you guess which one is which? Answers in the comments..

Brexit Always Meant Leaving the Single Market

The Remoaners are claiming that Leave voters didn’t know they were voting to leave the single market – which incidentally means leaving the regulatory oversight of the European Commission – not abandoning exporting to the European market. This clip shows they can’t say Leavers didn’t know for what they were voting…

About Alan Duncan’s Boris Thesis

Theresa May’s sense of humour was on display when she appointed Alan Duncan as BoJo’s deputy at the Foreign Office, he had after all just a week before described him as “Borisconi”. In comments recorded before the referendum and broadcast last night onBrexit: A Very British Coup Duncan said:

“I’ve always thought that Boris’s wish was to lose by one so that he could be the heir apparent without having to have all the… you know, s-h-1-t of clearing up all the mess, that’s always been my view of Boris.”

A lot of the commentariat and political class suspected that this was his calculation. To be fair many on the Leave side suspected this of him as well. That was until the campaign got into full swing. Boris led from the front, he put his heart into it, he energised the campaign. If it wasn’t for him the campaign would have been totally dominated by Nigel Farage, who even he would admit, does not appeal to everyone. Boris was the ace card that won the TV debate.

Guido’s gut feel is Boris’ heart was entirely for Brexit, his head was less sure, in the end he went with his heart. That is enough for most Tories, three quarters of whom backed Brexit. For that reason, when the ball comes loose from the scrum, Osborne won’t have a chance of getting sight of it…

Farron: “The People Have Spoken, As a Democrat I Accept the Result”

TIM FARRON

Tim Farron, (remember him?), is giving a speech at the IPPR think tank today. He’ll be making the case that the referendum result should be ignored and that Britain should stay in the EU regardless. With a straight face, Farron will say: “we are in danger of letting malevolent forces hijack the result”. Quite.

Farron used to be much so better at accepting defeat. After the 2011 AV referendum, he accepted the result and vowed that “as a democrat” he would always listen to the will of the people. He said it was important not to come across as a “sore loser”.

“The people have spoken. I am very proud that we have given people the opportunity to have a say about the way they elect their MPs. It’s the first time in British history that we, the people, have been able to make such a decision. And, as I said, the people have spoken. As a democrat, I fully accept and respect that result; accept that we failed to bring the country with us on this issue. I could now engage in petty recriminations and try to assert the blame on someone: to paraphrase the Canadian Liberal party leader Michael Ignatieff, the only thing Britons like less than a loser is a sore loser.”

Perhaps 2016 Tim Farron should listen to 2011 Tim Farron…

Stronger No Longer

stronger-no-longer

The Stronger In campaign has finally thrown in the towel, all those corporate millions, Roland Rudd’s spin, Cameron and Osborne’s careers and all they have to show for it is a Commander of the British Empire for Will Straw. Will says the “Stronger In” organisation is no longer.

Which is amateurism until the end. The database built up at great expense cannot therefore legally be used by another organisation. Just don’t let the ever litigous Arron Banks hear about it… 

Watchdog Slams IMF’s Complacency, Lack of Transparency and EU Groupthink

lagarde-trial

A damning report by IMF watchdog the Independent Evaluation Office has slammed a “culture of complacency” in Christine Lagarde’s organisation. Focusing on the IMF’s response to the Eurozone crisis, the report claims that the Fund was riven with “issues of accountability and transparency”, claiming Lagarde and senior management established “small, ad hoc staff task forces” to plan for the possibility of bailouts, rather than holding executive board meetings. The report slams the “lack of board involvement”, with management failing to discuss – sometimes despite direct requests – issues around the unfolding crisis. Preparations made by management lacked “analytical depth, rigor, or specificity”. Most damning of all, however, is the IMF’s “groupthink” and unquestioning links to European policy – particularly their irrational fervour for the Euro. The report concludes:

“At the euro area level, IMF staff’s position was often too close to the official line of European officials, and the IMF lost effectiveness as an independent assessor.”

So much for that independent report, eh Remainers?

Matthew Elliott on Why Leave Won

Referendum-winning Vote Leave boss Matthew Elliott recounts how the campaign was won on today’s Daily Politics“At 10pm on the 23 of June, the consensus was that Vote Leave had lost. A contact of mine at Number 10 texted me to say, ‘You’re toast'”. And the rest is history…

Top Economist: Vote Owen Smith to Block Brexit

ANATOLE KALTESKY

Anatole Kaletsky, one of the first economists to point out the severity of the Northern Rock crisis, has been emailing round telling people to sign up to Labour to get Owen Smith elected so he can block Brexit. Smith’s support for a second EU referendum has inspired the Europhile economist to send this email to friends:

“If a Second Referendum becomes official policy of the Labour Party, SNP, Liberals, Greens etc will join in and this demand will prove very hard to resist for the Tories, even if Theresa May survives as Prime Minister (which I think is no more than a 50% probability).”

He has also been tweeting his 10,000 followers the same:

Alternatively, Vote Corbyn, save Brexit…

Which Remainer are you? Post-Brexit Edition

You can take the pre-referendum quiz here

Fallon Welches on £1,000 Piers Morgan Bet

Both Michael Fallon and John Whittingdale made pre-referendum bets that, should Cameron lose the vote, he wouldn’t resign. Now Piers is calling in his bets, promising to donate the winnings to charity. Pay up, Fallon…

People occasionally ask Guido, with a sense of foreboding, when will the pundit and polling analyst Dan Hodges do his naked Brexit run? Guido will be negotiating the time and location with the sagacious streaker this week. Stay tuned…

UPDATE: Piers wants Guido to remind Whitto as well:

Farage Hasn’t Collected His Winnings

Having waited 23 years to win independence Nigel Farage may not be in much of a rush to collect on his bet on Brexit from Ladbrokes. He has won £2,500 on his £1,000 at 5/2 bet on Leave.

The bookies are bemused that he hasn’t collected.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

1,000 Bad Loser Barristers Sign ‘Block Brexit’ Letter

KOLVIN

Last week Guido reported that lap dancing lawyer Philip Kolvin QC is coordinating a letter from barristers to the Prime Minister trying to block Brexit. This morning City AM reveals over 1,000 bad loser barristers are putting their names to the hilariously pompous letter, which includes such cringeworthy pearls of £500-an-hour wisdom as:

Our legal opinion is that the referendum is advisory.

[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Chuka Sets up Vote Leave Watch

chuka-leave-watch

Chuka Umunna has set up Vote Leave Watch, a “grassroots campaign dedicated to holding the Vote Leave campaign and their allies to account”. The aim of the group is to pressure Leave campaigners into carrying out the pledges made during the campaign.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Lap Dancing Lawyer Tries to Block Brexit

KOLVIN

It’s not just Mishcon who want to block Brexit through the courts – now city silks are writing to the PM to demand Article 50 is not triggered. The pompous letter complains the “referendum did not set a threshold necessary to leave the EU”, whinges “the result of the referendum result was influenced by misrepresentations of fact” and moans “the outcome of the exit process will affect a generation of people who were not old enough to vote”.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Zoopla CEO Behind Mishcon De Reya Anti-Brexit Legal Action

ALEX CHESTERMAN

City law firm Mishcon de Reya are launching a legal challenge to Brexit with the backing of a number of businesses who for some reason haven’t been named publicly. Guido can reveal one of the CEOs behind the action is CEO of the property website Zoopla.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

John Howard: Brexit Right for Britain

Thrice elected Australian Prime Minister, John Howard says Brexit is right for Britain. Too right, mate.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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