Sajid Fails to Rule Out Brexit Party Election Pact

Sajid: Rudd is Wrong, Boris is Negotiating

Jihadi Jack’s Dad Sad Son Can’t Come Home

The former British citizen known as Jihadi Jack after he jumped ship to fight for ISIS, had his citizenship revoked yesterday for obvious reasons. He won’t be coming back into the UK now.

Whilst most Britons think good riddance, his father has given an interview to Channel 4 News saying the move by then Home Secretary Sajid Javid was “cowardly” (unlike the actions of his brave hero son) and the news “felt like a kick in the stomach”. Unlike the news that his son had left the country to fight for ISIS…

The parents of Jihadi Jack, who sent money to the Middle East to fund their terrorist son, described the actions of the UK state as “quite a blow”. Much like Jack’s explosives…

Tories Overwhelmingly Happier With New Boris Cabinet

The first ConHome Cabinet League Table of the Boris era is out and net satisfaction ratings are through the roof. New Chancellor Sajid steals into top spot with +80.5% net satisfaction, just ahead of the new PM on +77.2%. May’s final rating was a full 138% lower on -61.2%…

The entire Cabinet is in positive territory for the first time in a long time, even Amber Rudd in bottom spot has bounced from up -25.2% to a healthy +21.3%. The shock faller is Ruth Davidson, who drops a hefty 28% from last month. Davidson may feel she has to distance herself from Boris to preserve her image in Scotland. Evidently it’s not going down so well with Tory members at large…

Saj: I Applaud Nigel Farage

Interesting intervention from Sajid Javid this morning who went out of his way to defend the Brexit Party against spurious charges of extremism and even “applaud Nigel Farage” for leaving UKIP and denouncing it as “thugs and extremists” after it was hijacked by Batten and Tommy Robinson. Olive branch from Team Boris with a general election looking ever more likely…?

Runners & Riders: Who Will Be the Next Chancellor?

The reward for Cabinet ministers backing one of the two candidates is much hoped for preferment. What they would prefer most of all is to become Chancellor. The bookies’ three leading contenders are Liz Truss, Sajid Javid and Matt Hancock.

Sajid Javid is the bookies’ favourite at 5/6, Boris has noticeably referenced the Saj a few times at hustings, perhaps more than any other. Saj clearly wants the job. He has Treasury and financial markets experience so his qualifications are clear. He also is a tax cutter and the expectations are that Boris will return to the traditional Tory vote winning strategy of cutting taxes. Guido has to agree with the punters that Saj looks likely except…

Liz Truss (4/1) really wants to be the first woman Chancellor.* In line for a promotion as the first Cabinet minister to come out for Boris, and a tireless defender of him in the media. After listening to her job application / speech at a recent Taxpayers’ Alliance event, Guido really wants her to be Chancellor too. She is the darling of Westminster wonks and free market think tanks. Boris could appoint her, she would definitely make headlines. When Guido teased her recently by addressing her as “Madam Chancellor” she seemed to have difficulty suppressing a frisson. Expectations are that she will actually get BEIS. #Liz4Biz

Matt Hancock (11/2) did work in the Treasury for Osborne, understands it, would be popular choice with Treasury mandarins – which is possibly a good reason not to give it to him. Given he is doing a good job at Health he should perhaps spend some more time doing that. His ambition is unlimited and unhidden. Since the NHS is on target to be the biggest spending department, there is an argument that if power is his thing he should stay where he is…

And if Hunt wins? Guido hasn’t really given that much thought…

*Maggie wanted the job too, she had to settle for PM.

Tory Leadership: Decision Day

It’s crunch time in the Tory leadership race – by the end of the day we will know who the final two are, however many votes it takes. After last night’s results, Saj is trailing Hunt and Gove by several votes, however he was quick to insist that he wouldn’t be withdrawing. This means there will be at least two votes today:

  • 10 a.m.-Midday: MPs vote in fourth ballot
  • 1 p.m.: Fourth round result – three candidates left
  • 3.30-5.30 p.m.: MPs vote in fifth ballot
  • 6 p.m.: Fifth round result – two candidates left

In the unlikely event that there’s a tie, there will be an extra round of voting into the night from 7.30-9.30pm, with the final result as soon as possible after that. With many MPs going back to their constituencies on Thursday afternoon, as many as 25% of votes today are expected to be by proxy. One person who will definitely be voting by proxy is Theresa May who’s heading off to Brussels for another EU summit. 1922 Committee Vice-Chair Charles Walker has been entrusted with her vote…

With the unpredictable factor of Rory Stewart now out of the race, the talk this morning is that Team Boris is now on maneouvres to take out Gove by pushing the Saj through at his expense. Gove’s 2016 betrayal has still not been forgotten by many Boris supporters, they are out for revenge by dumping him out this time…

Raab Backs Boris

Dominic Raab’s exit from the leadership race yesterday has seen a large number of his supporters flock over to the Boris camp – now Raab has given him a birthday gift of himself. Raab backs Boris as the “only candidate” who can deliver Brexit by October 31…

Boris now has a clear majority of public declarations. Despite Rory pulling ahead of Saj last round his supporters are still unwilling to out themselves – after Rory’s poor performance in the debate last night it’ll be a close call as to who gets the chop. Team Boris have been putting pressure on Saj to drop out to leave Rory in last place and therefore face automatic exclusion although Saj isn’t playing ball. Will they try lending Saj votes instead to knock Rory out directly?

Tory Leadership Second Round Results in Full

Here’s how the results broke down for round two of the Tory leadership contest (round one results in brackets):

  • Boris: 126 (114)
  • Hunt: 46 (43)
  • Gove: 41 (37)
  • Rory: 37 (19)
  • Saj: 33 (23)
  • Raab: 30 (27) ELIMINATED

Boris still has more votes than 2nd, 3rd and 4th combined…

Raab Comes Out Fighting, Saj Cries Foul Over Stewart

Despite ConHome’s latest survey showing Dominic Raab beating everyone but Boris in runoffs with the Tory membership, Raab is one of the candidates who’ll be sitting least comfortably when the second round votes come in tonight. He’s come out fighting with a new video showcasing his karate skills and other parts of his backstory. Team Raab say they are quietly confident but the Boris bandwagon has left Raab struggling to get the numbers…

The issue for Brexiteers is that if Raab gets knocked out, the further the debate will get pulled towards the Remain side of the argument. Boris will be fending off Remain-framed attacks on the merits or otherwise of no deal, rather than debating how best to deliver Brexit by October 31st in any circumstances…

Sajid Javid is the other candidate glancing most nervously over his shoulder, his campaign supremo Nick King has taken the unusual step of publicly calling out Rory Stewart’s campaign for trying to poach his supporters. Can Stewart succeed in stuffing Saj or will his media-friendly antics flop among the one audience that actually matters right now, Tory MPs…

Saj on Rory

Saj on Rory…

“Rory has done well, but he’s spending too much time appealing to Labour voters not the Conservative party membership”

30 Second Pitches: Gove, Hunt, Stewart, Javid, Raab

  • Gove – I’m a serious candidate for serious times
  • Hunt – I can be trusted to deliver
  • Stewart – I’m an honest and trustworthy outsider
  • Javid – I’m an outsider who looks like modern Britain
  • Raab – I’m the only one here committed to Brexiting on October 31

Boris tells them all, see you next Tuesday…

Rory Stewart Jumps to Second Place With Tory Members

Looks like Rory Stewart’s ‘unique’ style of campaigning hasn’t done him too much harm, he’s managed an improbable jump into second place in the latest ConHome leadership survey. He’s still going to need at least another eight votes if the fun is going to continue. He tells The Sun he is still “one or two votes short”…

Raab and Gove have both been pushed down a place and fall under 10% for the first time in months, Hunt has closed the gap slightly while the Saj has managed to put a bit of distance between himself and the remaining candidates. Hancock looks to have cleared the 16-vote bar with George Freeman’s switch from Gove yesterday, the other three all have work to do. The membership won’t be too distraught either way, it’s just 2% for McVey and Leadsom while Hancock and Harper don’t even muster 1%…

It’s all a bit academic anyway, these are all molehills compared to Boris Johnson’s towering peak – breaking the 50% mark for the first time. His smooth launch yesterday failed to offer any kind of gamechanging gaffe his rivals need to dent his imposing lead. It’s increasingly starting to look like a race for second place…

Saj Releases Life Story Campaign Video

Saj has released his campaign video this morning, heavily focusing on his impressive life story. He still has to prove he has the charisma to take the fight to Corbyn…

Saj: I Have Not Done Drugs

Saj: I Will Renegotiate the Backstop

Indy Complains Too Many “White Men” in Tory Leadership Race

Dominated by white men? Errr, who is going to tell them….

Saj Finds His Social Media Funny Bone

Not to be out done by japes from Cleverly at Rory’s expense, Sajid Javid’s campaign has scheduled some fun on the grid at Raab’s expense. They are finding social media mojo interacting with other users and making self deprecating jokes (and a slight hit at competitor Raab). This comes on the day that Cleverly delivered a comedy video and Matt Hancock has been bouncing up stairs to deliver a Hashtag Hancock Hug. The social media success from Rory Stewart has clearly made everyone else up their game…

Saj Spiked ‘Clean Campaign Pledge’ Stitch-Up

It turns out Raab and Hancock’s disingenuous Tory Leadership ‘Clean Campaign Pledge‘ was never originally meant to have three signatures on it at all. Guido understands that Team Saj only got tipped-off about the pledge a matter of minutes before it was published and was able to quickly tweet his support immediately after the story was published. Team Saj say they rang round the other campaigns to tip them off too, not one campaign that Guido has spoken to was contacted directly before the pledge went live. You know your stitch-up’s going well when the only other signatory is now trying to distance themselves from it…

Boris Only Contender Winning Brexiteers Back to the Tories

With the Tory leadership race finally starting to hot up, a new Hanbury Strategy poll has looked at how the potential candidates fare with different sets of voters. Boris is the only contender to make 2017 Tory voters more likely to vote Tory next time round.[…] Read the rest

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