As Guido pointed out yesterday Ed Miliband appears to have lost the support of the Guardian’s political writers, today the paper splashes on the loss of faith within the shadow cabinet. This is despite, or perhaps because, he recently came to the Guardian’s offices to do a Q & A session with the editorial team…
Labour spin-doctors have always feared the “Tory press”, they should take a look at the headlines in their own hinterland, the above are from Yesterday’s Guardian. They dwell on the “Ed Problem“. If the core Labour luvvie vote is lost what hope is their for Ed as the polls narrow. The UK Polling Report rolling average has Labour now on 35% and the Tories on 32% with the trend showing Labour declining. 45 weeks to go…
Ed Miliband has just been clusterf**ked by a local radio DJ on BBC Radio Wiltshire. Listen to the Labour leader try to cover up the fact he has absolutely no clue about the politics of Swindon, where he was campaigning:
Presenter: What do you make of Jim Grant?
EM: I beg your pardon?
Presenter: Jim Grant, do you think he has done a good job?
EM: I think that lots of Labour representatives are doing a good job right across the country and I…
Presenter: You do know who Jim Grant is Mr Miliband?
EM: You will enlighten me I am sure.
Presenter: Swindon Labour leader.
EM: Yeah I think he is doing a good job.
Presenter: Will he feel like you support him enough if you don’t even know his name?
EM: Well he is doing a good job as leader of the council Jim is and I think that is the case.
Presenter: I mean it’s Swindon Labour leader. Do you think by your comments now people might be a bit perplexed by why you wouldn’t know who Jim Grant is?
EM: No, I know that Jim is doing a good job for Swindon and I think he is doing a good job as leader of the council.
Presenter: But he is not leader of the council is he Mr Miliband? It’s a Conservative led council.
EM: I think he is doing a good job for Labour on the council. I think he is doing a good job for Labour on the council.
Presenter: So let’s be clear. Who runs Swindon council?
EM: It’s a Conservative controlled council.
Out of touch with his own candidates…
UPDATE: 15 minutes of fame
Last September after Assad used chemical weapons, Axelrod wrote
After Iraq, folks are justifiably weary and leery. But this isn’t Iraq. In plain sight, Assad’s committed mass murder with hideous weapons. No response would be a green light to Assad, Iran, Hezbollah and others that the U.S. and world will look the other way. Grave mistake. A targeted strike on their delivery systems is right, just and proportionate. Failure to act would be another tragic legacy of Iraq war.
If as reports suggest he was hired by Shadow Foreign Secretary Dougie Alexander, that will have made foreign policy position discussions interesting…
UPDATE: He has just tweeted:
Only snag is US unemployment rate is basically unchanged since when Obama was elected.
Something’s happened to change Ed’s mind about having Nigel Farage join the TV debate. Only a few weeks ago he thought it would be a good wheeze to have Cameron haemorrhage votes to UKIP on immigration and Europe live on TV. After seeing Nick Clegg get slaughtered twice in the TV debates with Nigel Farage he seems to have changed his mind. Scared?
If you read the pundits, for example Jonathan Freedland and Polly Toynbee, the budget was aimed at older voters to counteract UKIP’s attraction to older more traditional small ‘c’ conservative voters. This is the pundit’s explanation for the poll lead collapse by Labour – now down to just 1%. Pundits claim Osborne has cunningly found granny’s political g-spot.
Has he really? Here is the move post budget in Tory support:
Younger voters up 5%, middle years up 3%, grey-haired support unchanged for the Tories. Whereas for Ed Miliband:
Labour has actually gained older voters perhaps nostalgic for the Kinnock type socialism now offered by Miliband. Weird Ed has lost 6% support from young voters, slightly less from middle age voters and gained 2% more support from aging lefties. Don’t think this is a random poll error – the YouGov results above are based on combining 8 polls to give some good sample sizes. Pundits will no doubt mull this over and recalibrate their musings. Guido has a working hypothesis, backed up by some data: Ed just isn’t cool. He’s an uncool weirdo that younger voters don’t want to be associated with, he has loser written all over him. 51 per cent of 18-24 year olds describe Ed Miliband as weird, the percentage of the Shadow Cabinet that agrees is even higher…
Ed Miliband is due at Guardian HQ shortly to give the Hugo Young Lecture, and what happens?
The internet goes down…
From: Sheila Fitzsimons
Dear all, In order to try and resolve the internet connectivity issue in Kings Place we will make a network change at about 3pm. It would help if those of you who don’t need to use the internet could limit your use for the rest of the day. Thanks for your patience today – everyone is trying as hard as possible to resolve the problems. Sheila
Have they tried switching it on and off?
Ed’s proposals are being briefed out. At first glance they seem a sensible attempt to reduce control of the Labour Party by union vested interests. As always the key factor is money. Here it doesn’t look so good. The unions seem to keep control of the purse strings:
“…for too long we have operated with structures which were laid down in a different era which did not anticipate the new forms of communication and community activism available for a modern political party.
And, in a 21st Century political party, it is no longer acceptable or fair for people to give money to it without having made an active choice as individuals to do so.
So every individual member of an affiliated trade union will be given a straight “Yes or No” choice about whether they want to pay a small sum to ensure their union’s voice is heard within the party.
Trade unions will continue to affiliate collectively to Labour but, for the first time, the payment of affiliation fees will become a wholly transparent process based on individual positive consent.
These reforms will be introduced during 2014 and will apply to new members of affiliated organisations first. It will be fully implemented for existing members of such organisations within five years – which is the time frame recommended by successive reports into the future of political funding by Sir Gerald Hayden Phillips and Sir Christopher Kelly.
During this period, affiliated organisations will be encouraged to help the party maximise the number of people who agree to pay an affiliation fee.
At the end of this period, the affiliation of each organisation will be determined by the number of members who have consented to the payment of affiliation fees. Only those who have made a positive choice to pay affiliation fees will be counted.”
These reforms are a good start, unfortunately it is still the case that he who pays the piper calls the tune…
UPDATE: Source says “it’s a five-year plan. And anything political phased in over five years is unlikely to come to pass.”
The economic numbers coming out of France are horrific, the Wall Street Journal is reporting that new investments by foreign businesses in France fell sharply in 2013 by 77%. A collapse of international confidence in France…
By contrast, foreign investment in Angela Merkel’s Germany almost quadrupled, even in Spain, Italy and Ireland foreign investment rose. The explanation is that France has a left-wing socialist government. Hollande’s great admirer Ed Miliband is likewise promising to bring back socialism to Britain:
“What President Hollande is seeking to do in France and what he is seeking to do in leading the debate in Europe is find that different way forward. We are in agreement in seeking that new way that needs to be found and I think can be found.”
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New Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond has big ambitions in his first meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu today:
“I came to bring this conflict to an end.”
Christie Malry @fcablog
Ed Miliband does photo oops, not photo ops