August 9th, 2013

Has Tory Membership Dipped Below 100,000?

Paul Goodman has been chipping away at CCHQ and Downing Street over Tory membership numbers all month. They are hiding behind spurious reasons like the Party Board not signing off the release. ConservativeHome put their estimate at 130,000, yet it could be much worse? Douglas Carswell now suspects the reason that they are stalling is because membership has dropped below 100,000 for the first time in modern history. Nearly a quarter of a million members voted for Dave. What is the point of bringing in Obama’s field genius when you haven’t got anyone in the field?

UPDATE: Jon Ashworth has written a moderately amusing letter to Jim Messina pointing this out. Another happy reader…


  1. 1
    Loony Cameroon Watch says:

    And who would join a party that supports homosexual marriage, the Nigerian Space project and the EUSSR?

  2. 2
    Voter says:

    I’m not a member, but then I’d never consider joining any political party. I regard pretty much all politicians with contempt.

  3. 3
    The Lizzud Returns says:

    I suspect that the percentage of the population that is affiliated to any particular party via membership has dropped sharply over the years.

    The point of bringing in Messina is to appeal to swing voters, not to appease one’s core. Getting Conservative membership up by a few hundred thousand votes is pointless if, in the process, you fail to connect with millions of other voters.

  4. 4
    Wee Tam fae Falkirk says:

    I’ve got boxes of unused Party membership cards here in bonny Falkirk.

    I’ll just scribble-out Labour and write Conservative and jobs a good ‘un.

    Ya bas.

  5. 5
    Dillygaff says:

    With the mess that the Merlin software has wrought, how could they tell? Sub 100,000 membership is probable. The irony is that if the Conservative party were a trade union balloting forindustrial action rather than Eurocandidates thenthe entire selection process would have been declared invalid.

    Without voting figures in the public domain the suspicion remains that Cameron and Shapps have slipped in their preferred candidates.

  6. 6
    Anonymous says:

    You may find it’s even worse than Carswell thinks.Dave has a boundless ability to destroy membership.Someone has knocked up a 190 plus score over on CHome. membership blog.

  7. 7
    Tachybaptus says:

    It’s mostly the core that has seen the biggest losses. Dave was all about appealing to swing voters and neglected the faithful ones.

  8. 8
    Dillygaff says:

    UKIP up to 31,000 from 2/3 of that just two years ago.

  9. 9
    Huwbutts says:

    UKIP aren’t politicians – they’re just people who happen to be in politics out of principle.

  10. 10
    Traditional Britain says:


  11. 11
    Dillygaff says:

    Dave was elected as leader when the membership stood at about 250,000. He’s done well, hasn’t he? If there are no footsloggers to deliver leaflets etc. how will he mobilise the swing voters he has so assiduously sought?

  12. 12
    Taking Conservatism out of the Conservatives says:

    If Scotland is anything to go by even if the membership fell to zero Cameron wouldn’t stop re enforcing failure.

  13. 13
    Vote UKIP get Hard Labour says:

    I wouldn’t describe the coalition as a homosexual marriage.

  14. 14
    The UK Public says:

    We’re all fucking broke FFS!!!

  15. 15
    Anonymous says:

    Put it in perspective: they could all fit into the remaining telephone boxes in this country.

  16. 16
    Lynton and Co says:

    The ‘foot-sloggers’ are 1950s stuff. It’s just TV and the internet that count in moving the plebs’ opinions.

  17. 17
    Cameron is a Loony Lefty says:

    Cameron couldn’t even beat Gordon Brown outright.

    That’s call anyone needs to know.

  18. 18
    Dave should resign now says:

    Foreign aid funding of space programs is indirect funding of ballistic missile programs.

    Has a plan to establish N!geria as Afr!ca’s first nuclear armed state with the means to project those weapons just been leaked ?

    The bomb material is available from Niger / Gabon, and the !slamists down there certainly know those who have the know how.

  19. 19
    Raptor says:

    Cameron and the rest of the Notting Hill Noddies have set out to appeal to “swing voters” by antagonizing their own core members and traditional Tory voters, and adopting policies designed to pander to the BBC/Guardian mentality.

    The latter types merely pocket the concessions and carry on voting Labour or Lib Dem. Hence the rise of UKIP, and the collapse in Conservative Party local membership.

    Well done, Dave !

  20. 20
    The Conservative Party says:


    £25 (standard membership)

  21. 21
    I use the term 'other side of the political argument' advisedly says:

    Meanwhile evryone he is trying to appease on the otherside of the political argument, continue to attack him as before.

  22. 22
    G'day cobbers, it's Lynton Crosby says:

    Oh dear, seems no-one heard my dog whistle :(

  23. 23
    Dave's new pet dog: Spunker ! says:

    Woof !

  24. 24
    Den's point is? says:

  25. 25
    Jimmy says:

    And if not, why not?

  26. 26
    Lessons from history says:

    Appeasement is for pussies, and a policy born of failure.

    And it doesn’t work.

    cf. Chamberlain.

  27. 27
    b says:

    Exactly. Abbott is claiming poofs weddings are her victory.

  28. 28
    Lessons from history says:

    Appeasement is for the weak, and a policy born of failure.

    And it doesn’t work.

    cf. Chamberlain.

  29. 29
    Socialism = Starvation says:

    Do prison ships have rudders?

  30. 30
    NASA says:

    What is the Nigerian space agency called? Niger S

  31. 31
    Ripping the arse out of the public purse says:

    Falkirk ? I used to think that was somewhere north of the Arctic circle. To be fair I was basing that on a perusal of Eric Joyces travelling expense claims mind you.

  32. 32
    Freedom Pass says:

    Why do under 23s get a special price but not OAPs.

  33. 33
    Ministry of Magick says:

    And at least 6,000 live in Chipping Norton.

  34. 34
    Me for PM says:

    Oh right, so does that mean anyone can co ordinate an election victory from the comfort of their armchair ?

  35. 35
    Marine Le Pen says:

    Is Zanzibar part of Bongo-Bongo Land?

  36. 36
    Camistoast says:

    Many of those who flocked to the party under Maggie will now either be leaving in utter disillusionment or falling off the perch.

  37. 37
    The Foreign Legion says:


  38. 38

    The way of all politics, business, banks and others in the last two decades.

    Customer loyalty is only there to spit upon. No wonder we all get cynical and arsey.

  39. 39
    Eric Cantona says:

    When the seagulls follow the trawler, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea.

  40. 40

    If it increased MPs’ expenses accounts, then no doubt garages would also have rudders.

  41. 41
    The British People says:

    Political parties these days seem to be gathering points for criminal conspirators, hell-bent on subverting our democracy and selling us out.

  42. 42
    Anonymous says:

    As the political tide swings, we all know past membership is used against a person.

    As most fear the eventual need for a job in the council, quango etc. it just is not worth joining any party. The list will be leaked. Even voting for a party puts your future in their hands. Why risk losing your children?

    We do not know who will be in command in 2015 or even if we will have an effective command after that. Why risk your future?

    Now think how those people with that fear would vote. The fear is a necessary tool for their success. Numbers do not matter.

  43. 43
    The Conservative Party says:

    Because that would reduce our subcription intake by 95%.

  44. 44
    The British People says:

    We would be less broke if the government stopped wasting our money and sending it abroad

  45. 45
    The Hackney Hippo says:


  46. 46
    Owen Jones says:

    The tories should use postal voting like we do in the labour party and they would have 10 million members.

  47. 47
    Jizzlam says:

    Is it just me or does the latest gallery of tax evaders seem to have a rather high number of followers of the religion of peace?

  48. 48
    Anonymous says:

    Extract from Swindon Advertiser “reporting” a local council election result:-

    “The new Tory councillor for the ward stole 1,376 of votes compared to Labour’s Maura Clarke who received 887.”

    Tories now STEAL their votes, but Labour graciously receive them!

  49. 49
    Blue says:

    Suspicion? Its a racing certainty.

  50. 50
    Dave the Cunning Kuunt says:

    I am targeting the gay muslim vote

  51. 51

    Throwing wads of cash at foreigners who don’t like you very much doesn’t work either. See Gibbon’s,”Decline and Fall”

  52. 52
    VoteLibLabCon get LibLabCon says:

    Wind farms, gay marriage, foreign aid

  53. 53
    Crime Reporter says:

    ‘Receiving’ is one of the terms used for he crimes which come under fencing stolen goods

  54. 54
    A Sardine says:

    That comment I find deeply hurtful.

  55. 55
    and says:

    I noticed that too.

  56. 56
    Greek scholar says:

    And state benificence doesn’t work either. See the Athenians.

  57. 57
    The Racist Van says:

    I’ve been put on a zero hours contract.

  58. 58
    Lynton and Co says:

    Yes. If you have the right connections in the media and/or lots of money

  59. 59
    Jizzlam says:

    I have a feeling Owen Jones and Polly Toynbee won’t be making any comment about THESE tax evaders.

  60. 60
    Voter says:


  61. 61
    Jizzlam says:

    It’s a muzee shithole.

  62. 62
    how about this one? says:

    Prof.Richard Dawkins has said Muslims haven’t contributed anything since the Dark Ages.

  63. 63
    Jeremy Zeid says:

    What’s the betting that very soon the spectre of Taxpayer/State funding of political parties will raise its ugly head again. And what are the odds that it will be stacked against smaller parties while bolstering failure. 

    Sent from Samsung Mobile

  64. 64
    Out of Africa says:

    Long history of ballistic missile development in Africa usually under the cover of ‘space programme’ OTRAG in the 70s worked in Libya and Zaire. Nothing came of it mainly because the technology was not up to it and the South African/Israeli security services kept a close watch. Only a matter of time before someone has them in Africa and puts a Nuke on top. Given the quality of most African leaders I’m sure they’d use them pretty quick most likely on the local tribe across the road.

  65. 65
    Owen Jones says:

    Yes I will:

    This is racism and islamaphobia

  66. 66
    David Cameron was my fag at Eton says:

    What about mass murder?

  67. 67
    Moussa Koussa's pet meerkat says:

    “Traveller leader accuses politicians of ‘open season on ethnic minorities’

    Eric Pickles is accused of reinforcing negative stereotypes about Travellers following Home Office’s ‘go home’ campaign”

    Is no one safe from Eric Pickles?

  68. 68

    Whereas LibLabCon are in politics without a principle.

  69. 69

    The Stalinist NHS is doing all it can to help the golden agers on their way.

  70. 70
    dai laughing says:

    then along comes mr galloway offering to return london to the caliphate

    that’s about as funny as the london jury finding derek bentley guilty of murder

    wakey wakey electorate!

  71. 71

    No-one’s safe from travellers.

  72. 72

    Same Sex Marriage — Dave’s personal responsibility — it wasn’t in the 2010 manifesto — goodbye to 50,000 or so members and activists that were conned into campaigning for the Conservatives by the deceitful lying Conman.

    Oh yes. By the way, that manifesto did state that the Tories would get rid of the bulk of the Deficit by 2015. DAVE’S FAILING TO DO THAT — incompetent bastard.

    Not giving circa £60 billion to Bongoville during this Parliament would have helped.

  73. 73
    Alex Salmonds says:

    We will lower the voting age for pandas.

  74. 74
    Mike Portaloo says:

    It used to be donation of your choice to join. Has that changed?

  75. 75
    Fan with studmarked face says:

    Is that because Ed Millionaireband is the captain?

  76. 76
    Owen Jones's boyfriend says:

    If you’ve had ten million, how come you squealed and cried the first time we did it?

    BTW not long before conker season!

  77. 77
    but says:

    Stereotypes are stereotypes because they’re true.

  78. 78
    maggie the dog says:


  79. 79
    Call Me Dave says:

    Gay Marriage, Wind Turbines, Foreign Aid and lots and lots more immigration – that’s what I stand for!

  80. 80
    Patriot says:

    I reckon a lot of these are just people who have not got round to cancelling yet. I can’t believe there are 100,000 of my fellow countrymen who are still so fooled by Cameron.

  81. 81
    broderick crawford says:

    dave looks as though he has just had a herpes diagnosis.

  82. 82
    broderick crawford says:

    has it come to this ?

    being deprived of your progeny for the crime of joining ANY political party !!!

  83. 83
    viagra bimb says:

    Bet He hasn’t seen it for years.

  84. 84
    Eloc yrrah says:

    Even Liebore in their dire poll position have more than 100,000. Dave cannot be the problem in spite of gay rights and all that sort of thing, Dave is far more popular than his party, so it must be the ones he has around him, Dave seems to be in the position in reverse of Brown where his party was more popular than him.

  85. 85
    Eloc yrrah says:

    Well you know what to do at the next general election, write on the ballot paper “None of the above”. It is one of the reasons the percentage of voters registered to vote the turnout has consistently fallen, they have always regarded with a jaundiced eye, the standard of politician has fallen over the years, too many parachuted placemen into “safe seats” jobbies for life, one way to cure that vote for a contender to the place man, get rid of the jobbies for life.

  86. 86
    Jimmy says:

    And receiving caries a higher penalty, so clear anti Labour bias there.

  87. 87
    Vote liblabcon = vote EU says:

    Don’t forget your spiritual home, the EU

  88. 88
    Vote liblabcon = vote EU says:

    I wouldn’t describe the coalition as a homosexual marriage, more of a gay fcuk buddy thing…

  89. 89
    Common Sense says:

    No, gay voting, windmill loving, UK hating, immigration fan and EU quisling Dave CaMoron is your problem.

  90. 90
    Jim says:

    It looks like David is leading our party into the wilderness.
    It was never a good idea to allow ex members of the thuggish Bullingdon Club to lead the party.
    Nigel must be salivating.

  91. 91
    Vote liblabcon = vote EU says:

    A workman never blames his tools.

    And dave is the biggest tool in the box.

  92. 92
    Village Idiot says:

    …We were not even asked about many of these things,just had it all foisted upon us in this wonderful(sarcasm) democracy,envy of the world,we live in!!! In fact it is democracy in the same vein as the Irish EU referendums,or Egypts democracy,if the powers that be do not like “IT”, do it again!!!

  93. 93
    Common Sense says:

    LibLabCon are principally involved in keeping their snouts in the trough and making as much money as possible and to hell with democracy and UK sovereignty.

  94. 94
    Dave/Tony Cameron/Blair says:

    Look chaps, its goodbye nasty party, and hello caring tory party with a tree to hug for a logo.

  95. 95
    Village Idiot says:

    …..Gabon???? Bongo?????? Sounds familiar!

  96. 96
    Common Sense says:

    Analysis paralysis…

    The simple fact is the Conservative party no longer have “conservative” policies.

    No amount of Aussie or American political spinners is going to change that very simple fact.

    The tories are left of centre liberal socialists now. The lack of ANY idealogical political debate between the LibLabCon and their cosy Westminster love in is all the evidence you need.

    You want conservative votes, adopt conservative policies. End off.

    If you don’t, other parties including UKIP will fill that space.

  97. 97
    Common Sense says:

    If you want to vote for Conservative policies, you wouldn’t vote for Dave would you….

  98. 98
    jrkslinky says:

    The party does not actually know how many members they actually have because of their crappy membership system. Individual branches are struggling to know who their members are as the lists are often out of date, or just plain wrong.

    Like Labour individual membership does not matter as long as you have big donors in the background, for the tories its business, for labour its the unions. UKIP is picking up disaffected members from the Tories, but most of them are older and not up to the hard work of running a campaign.

    The real story is what’s happening with the Lib Dems. Their strength has always been their grassroots. If they lose that then they have nowhere to go.

  99. 99
    Annoyed about foregn aid says:

    …..They are good at job creation though,GCHQ,MI5,MI6,Police,DHSS,Social Services,Experts on genital mutilation,Illegal shagging,the military is also kept busy,Machette manufacturers,Undertakers,Emergency services,bomb disposal,Legal profession and the Home office,so be thankful for the contribution to society muslims selflessly make,thank you!!!!

  100. 100
    Common Sense says:

    You mean good by conservatives and hello democratic socialists / liberals ?

  101. 101
    Big farm in Ireland says:

    …They could always go to Ireland and do a bit of travelling?

  102. 102
    Mark Wouters says:


  103. 103
    Jim says:

    Hear Hear.

  104. 104
    Statistician says:

    “Nearly a quarter of a million members voted for Dave.”

    Er, no. 134,446 members voted for Dave and 64,398 voted for David Davis.

  105. 105
    JohnS says:

    No-one. Who exactly was supposed to fill the Tory coffers by enacting these marvellous, progressively fabulous CamSham Marriages? Elton John and that boyfriend whose name only the Males on Sunday and BBC remembers? Lord Browne of Madabout-the-boyley? Stephen “Arse-dribble” Fry?

  106. 106
    Stating the Obvious says:


  107. 107
    NE Frontiersman says:

    What on earth does Jon Ashworth think ‘insurgent’ means? He uses it three times. Even if he meant ‘resurgent’, it’s wrongly used. And how do MP’s ‘book’ trends?
    Was he using one of those awful Speak-‘n-Type programmes, then not even bothering to read what came out of the bottom end? If he can’t be bothered to read his copy, why should we?

    And did he not forget to tell us what the current membership of the Labour Party is? A strange oversight, since obviously the comparison would benefit his own party.

  108. 108
    Taxfodder says:

    Empty seats at the Theater = Rubbish Show

    Empty seats in the Restaurant = Rubbish Food

    People vote with their feet…a turd is still a turd even if wrapped in a pretty ribbon and no amount of spin will make it otherwise…

  109. 109
    leftrightcentrist says:

    one party, one policy uber alles

  110. 110
    You're crazy if you think politics even matters anyway says:

    Numbers falling because nobody believes in the importance of politics any more, which is the same reason we end up not even with a majority for one party, party leaders all being the same bland visionless clones (or nutters), a global crisis that reveals the utter impotence of national governments, global communication tools that daily demonstrate how starkly politician’s can’t meaningfully influence them. We’re heading towards idiocracy. We should turn government over to scientists and get shut of the whole vacuous, thieving, useless lot of the rest of them.

  111. 111
    Anonymous says:

    Cameron gives 500 million to A+E over 2 years
    Cameron gives1Biilion of YOUR mony to forign aid each month

    Unhappy, well vote UKIP

  112. 112
    mad, swivel-eyed loon says:

    I did, and I will next time.

  113. 113
    vera says:

    How right you are. Tories need new leader. Dave ‘heir to Bliar’ is the problem.
    Pity because with another mind set, he could be a good PM.

  114. 114
    vera says:

    Dave was a better option than Gordon, that’s all. He did poorly considering what a disaster Gordon was, couldn’t even get a majority. Now he alienates his core voters who couldn’t care less about gay marriage, but care a lot about useless wind turbines and EUSSR.

  115. 115
    vera says:

    I agree, why aren’t they listening?

  116. 116
    Me says:

    Actually yes that is. That was the point of his post. Unless you’re serious going to claim that the n word isn’t a racial slur.

  117. 117
    Tom Catesby says:

    Cameroon should be volunteered to test fly the Nigerian rocket.
    Vote UKIP.

  118. 118
    Tom Catesby says:

    Sounds like a lot of this is coming out of Ashworth’s bottom end.

  119. 119
    Stop your tickling Jock says:

    Salmon is just trying to pander to the electorate!

  120. 120
    Tom Catesby says:

    The way things are going, by the next G.E. The entire Tory membership will be able to fit comfortably inside the capsule of’Bongo 1′ the new Nigerian rocket.

Seen Elsewhere

Users of Gay Hook-Up App Grindr Infected | TechnoGuido
ISIS Raising Funds Online Using Bitcoin | TechnoGuido
UKIP’s Youth Challenge | BBC
ISIS Operative: This Is How We Send Jihadis To Europe | BuzzFeed
Shapps Defends Bashir Defection | Seb Payne
Tory Leadership Contenders Jostle Over Europe | Alex Wickham
Cutting Taxes is Good For You | Art Laffer
Suspects Will Now Have to Prove Innocence | Laura Perrins
Labour Cllr: Cops Shouldn’t Stop Petrol Thieves | HandF Forum
Creeping Cultural Acceptance of Anti-Semitism | Eric Pickles
Time For Greece to Leave Eurozone | Allister Heath

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