Nuttall Running

He’ll be the favourite…

Farage Slams Evans For “Far Right” Attack

After Suzanne called Raheem “far right”, Nigel tells Peston: “I won’t be voting for her, not after that”. It’s war on UKIP Super Sunday…

Suzanne Announces Leadership Bid

As expected Suzanne Evans is in the race. She says Raheem Kassam is on the “far right” and says UKIP don’t need Arron Banks’ money. Punchy…

Nuttall set to declare later this morning…

Super Sunday: UKIP Leadership Declarations Coming

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Stand by for UKIP leadership contenders to make their minds up by Sunday. There are op-eds being lined up in the weekend papers, before Suzanne Evans and Paul Nuttall tour the Sunday morning politics programmes. Suzanne has been gathering signatures so she looks set to announce. All eyes on Nuttall, who some prominent Kippers think has plucked up the courage to run. Farage is also appearing on Peston. Raheem Kassam will be spending the weekend with the grassroots, trying to close the gap on the others who’ve done years on the rubber chicken circuit. We’ll have a better idea of who the next leader will be in 72 hours time…

UKIP Leadership State of Play

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With Steven Woolfe out and more candidates throwing their hats into the ring, Guido brings you an update on the UKIP leadership race:

Suzanne Evans: Quietly gathering signatures for her nomination. Her suspension has lapsed, she should be a member in good standing for 28 days (we think) and thus eligible. Bookies’ favourite. Will her closeness to the Farage-hating Carswell faction cost her with the grassroots?

Paul Nuttall: Other candidates fear Nuttall will win if he stands. This Telegraph article sounds like he wants it. Though there is no noticeable effort to gather signatures, he didn’t want to run last time and will be asking himself if it’s really worth it. Dithering or not bothering at all?

Raheem Kassam: Loudly gathering the necessary signatures. Has been campaigning hard online and thinks he has enough signatures to submit the paperwork on Sunday. If Nuttall doesn’t run there is a possibility Raheem could actually do it. His price to win is tighter than Trump’s!

Peter Whittle: UKIP’s London mayoral candidate is popular in the capital. While campaigning in Witney he appeared on one of Kassam’s campaign videos and even said his rival’s slogan: “Make UKIP Great Again”, though he tells Guido he is not on Team Raheem. Also quietly gathering signatures.

Bill Etheridge: Said he’d stand unless there was somebody he could back 100%. Accused of cheating by his fiancee. Has been round the rubber chicken circuit.

David Kurten: Lower profile, tried to be nominated as UKIP’s mayoral candidate with a false London address. When Breitbart asked him how he responded to allegations of racism in UKIP he replied: “UKIP isn’t racist, I love white people!”

Suzanne, Nuttall and Raheem are the frontrunners…

Suzanne Evans Bookies’ New Front Runner

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Above shows the latest odds from the bookies courtesy of Betdata.io. In a situation that is very fluid the betting markets are probably the best place to gain insight into the candidate’s support – real money rather than spin. Woolfe pulling out is good for Kassam, his chances have since shot up, with a lot of his Faragist support going to Raheem. He’s running a characteristically energetic campaign online.

Suzanne Evans is the bookies’ favourite and the truth of that position is bolstered by YouGov polling:

yougov-ukip-poll

This situation will change rapidly. The YouGov polling above was done before Woolfe had quit and Kassam had declared. It is still unclear if Nuttall is definitely running. Suzanne has not exactly been campaigning hard having only had it confirmed yesterday by the UKIP NEC that she could be a candidate. Nominations close on Halloween, the full horror show finishes on November 28…

Steven Woolfe Quits UKIP

Steven Woolfe has resigned from UKIP with immediate effect.

“Six years ago, I joined Ukip. Since then, I have campaigned with all my energy, time and determination to champion the party’s core beliefs and values. 
 
“I have been proud to stand in local, general, PCC and London assembly elections – and of course to be elected as a North West MEP. 
 
“I have been proud to be a part of the team led by Nigel Farage, one of Britain’s greatest ever politicians. He brought me into the party and helped us win the referendum – a moment I will always treasure. Without Nigel, the donors, the team members and the activists, the UK would not be free today.
 
“It was because of the support from party members that I put my name forward to lead the party in the Summer, and again two weeks ago following Diane’s resignation. However, I could not have foreseen the events that would follow. 
 
“The events at the meeting in Strasbourg led to me later being treated by doctors for two seizures, partial paralysis and loss of feeling in my face and body.  
 
“I would like to thank all of the medical staff in Strasbourg for their impressive and swift treatment. I owe them my life. I would also like to thank my family and friends for their love and support – and also all of the people in politics who have sent me their best wishes. 
 
“Since then, I have spent some time considering my personal and political future.
 
“It is with deep sorrow and regret that I am aborting my leadership campaign and announcing my resignation from Ukip with immediate effect.
 
“I believe that a strong Ukip would hold this government’s feet to the fire and make sure it delivers a clean Brexit. However, I have come to the conclusion that Ukip is ungovernable without Nigel Farage leading it and the referendum cause to unite it.
 
“The way I was treated by members of my own party during the Summer’s leadership campaign and the events that have led up to today have all contributed to me coming to this conclusion. The party is riddled with infighting, proxy wars between rival camps and is run by an NEC that is not fit for purpose.
 
“Once my recovery is complete, it is my intention to sit as an independent MEP in the European Parliament. 
 
“I will continue to represent my constituents in the European Parliament until the UK’s exit from the EU in 2019. I will champion the values I hold dear – those of freedom, democracy and an independent United Kingdom.
 
“With regards to the highly regrettable events in Strasbourg, I will reiterate my position that I received a blow from Mr Hookem that knocked me back into the meeting room and caused my subsequent injuries. Contrary to reports, I have made a police complaint.
 
“I am now seeking legal advice in respect of the investigations and will not be commenting further on the matter until the completion of those investigations.”

Developing…

UKIP NEC Rules Kassam and Evans Can Run

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UKIP’s NEC has ditched the requirement for leadership candidates to have been members for two years, reducing the minimum membership period to 28 days. Candidates will now need 75 signatures to put their name forward, an increase of 25. What does this all mean? Raheem Kassam and Suzanne Evans WILL be eligible to stand…

The timetable is as follows:

“Applications will close at 12pm GMT (noon) on Monday October 31st 2016. Ballots will be sent to members shortly after 11th November and we will be announcing who will be our new Leader on Monday 28th November.”

Nuttall and Kassam are the frontrunners in online polls

UKIP Consider Censuring Farage Over Trump Support

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Anti-Faragist elements in UKIP are seeking to censure their leader over his support for Donald Trump. The party’s beleaguered NEC is meeting today to discuss the punishment for Steven Woolfe and Mike Hookem, as well as the rules on whether Woolfe, Raheem Kassam and Suzanne Evans are allowed to stand in the leadership election.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

UKIP Leader Runners & Riders

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After the surprise resignation of new UKIP leader Diane James, Guido brings you the latest runners and riders in UKIP’s leadership battle (odds from Betfair):

Paul Nuttall – Evens

Forever in Farage’s shadow, Nuttall has been deputy leader of UKIP for the last six years.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Hookem: Case For the Defence

In scenes reminiscent of the OJ trial, Mike Hookem has shown the world his hands as he tries to prove his innocence over the Steven Woolfe bust up. He asks: “Can you see any bruising or abrasions?” The case for the defence in UKIP’s internal inquiry…[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Mike Hookem: I Didn’t Right Hook Him!

“There was no punches thrown, there was no face slapping, there was no digs, there was nothing… a bit of a scuffle”

Woolfe claims Hookem “landed a blow“.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Steven Woolfe Speaks

“The CT scan has shown that there is no blood clot in the brain. At the moment I am feeling brighter, happier and smiling as ever. As a precaution I am being kept in overnight awaiting secondary tests to make sure everything is fine.

[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Neil Hamilton: Woolfe “Picked a Fight”

UKIP’s party chairman is facing calls from prominent Kippers to suspend Neil Hamilton after he told the BBC Steven Woolfe had “picked a fight and came off worse”. Hamilton handled the issue with his customary charm as Woolfe’s condition remained unknown.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

PICTURE: Steven Woolfe Altercation

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Via ITV

UPDATE: ITV release a second picture of Woolfe being treated by paramedics:

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UPDATE: UKIP MEP Nathan Gill says Woolfe is “conscious and recovering”.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Hookem Unavailable for Comment

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Plain speaking Mike Hookem, UKIP’s defence spokesman who served 9 years in the Royal Engineers, latterly as a Commando Engineer, is unavailable for comment. Sources say he was very angry about reports that Steven Woolfe was on the verge of joining the Tories last week.  […] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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