Tory MPs Split Down the Middle

Conservatives for Reform, the Europhile Tory group, have announced the names of two dozen or so more Tory MP supporters who were previously undeclared. As expected, there has been a big leap in the number of Tory Remainers in the last 48 hours. Click here to view the entire spreadsheet of MPs.

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There are still over 50 Tory MPs yet to declare, and the party is split right down the middle as things stand. Guido understands a group of MPs from the Fresh Start group will declare for Leave tonight. And then there is Boris…




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Quote of the Day

The FT’s Wolfgang Munchau on the “fake maths” of economic forecasts:

“The truth is that our ability to forecast the future beyond the current quarter is limited… The curse of our time is fake maths. Think of it as fake news for numerically literate intellectuals: it is the abuse of statistics and economic models to peddle one’s own political prejudice… The fakeness of the maths lies in an exaggerated inference. Economic models have their uses, as do opinion polls. They provide information to policymakers and markets. But nobody can see through the fog of the future.”

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