Observant readers will have noticed Guido recently moved John Whittingdale up into the group of four Cabinet members who look the most certain to back Leave. Today Whitto has tested Cameron’s gag on Eurosceptic ministers – asked by House magazine if he would rule out campaigning to Leave, he replied: “I wouldn’t”. 

Boris has been flirting all week, though it appears a guarantee of parliamentary sovereignty would convince him to Remain. May inched towards Remain with her caveated statement supporting Dave’s deal, though she is still not a certainty. Gove is genuinely torn between his principles and his personal loyalty to the PM – Sam Coates’ story in yesterday’s Times is on the money. Expect most of those wavering ministers in the middle of Guido’s guide to break for Remain…