Friday, October 10, 2014

If the Tories Lose in 2015, Blame Cooper Not Farage

andrew-cooper

Matthew D’Ancona once quoted a “Cameron ally” dismissing the long-term threat posed by UKIP. D’Ancona’s soothsaying source predicted Farage’s party “should reach its peak in the European elections on May 22″, leading the Telegraph columnist to urge Dave to “forget UKIP”, warn “too much time is still devoted to soothing those who might jump ship” and profess “UKIP will not be Cameron’s biggest problem”. 

The ill-fated “peak UKIP” analysis adopted by Downing Street up until recently was based on the fatally flawed insight of Cameron’s über-modernising gay-marriage architect and pollster Andrew Cooper, who told the Prime Minister two years ago that UKIP would just be a “flash in the pan”. He once argued via Powerpoint slides in a presentation to Tory MPs that UKIP’s rise was down to “mid-term grumbles” rather than anything more serious. Since then UKIP have stubbornly maintained their position in the polls, two Tory MPs have defected, thousands of true blue activists have joined the purple army and they have just taken a formerly safe Tory seat in a by-election. If the Tories lose in 2015, Cooper is the man most to blame – he may well go down in British political history as the worst adviser/pollster of the modern era…

Monday, October 6, 2014

Third Post-Conference Poll Puts Tories Ahead

Dave’s post-conference bounce continues this afternoon, with a national poll from Lord Ashcroft putting the Tories two points ahead of Labour. That’s the third poll since the PM’s speech to give the Tories a lead, following YouGov in the Sun on Friday and then in the Sunday Times. Still pointing toward a Labour victory…

Thursday, October 2, 2014

CON 35 / LAB 34: Tories Take Poll Lead for First Time Since 2012

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

LISTEN: Michael Gove Declares His Love for Dave

Via @JuliaHB1

Sam Cam’s £99 Austerity Busting Conference Dress

Sod the tax cuts, as ever Guido brings you the important leader’s speech news. Sam Cam was wearing a new frock from Hobbs.

‘The Penrose Wrap’ retails at a austerity-approved £149, though if she bought it online she could have picked it up for just £99!

The dress is both serene and versatile, with the crossover detailing at the waist creating a slender silhouette, complimented nicely by the sleeveless and knee-length structure.

Sam accompanied it with an old pair of LK Bennett shoes. 

Tax Rabbit Saves Dave’s Conference

Guido has never seen a tax cut that he does not like so Cameron’s speech today was certainly lively. The hall loved it and Dave hit their sweet spots in a way he has not since before the last election. Personal allowance up, the threshold for 40% rate up from £41,000 to £50,000. More money kept in the pockets of millions of voters, but… 

Having said that, whatever happened to that last tax rabbit that the Tories plucked from a hat when in a tight spot? Inheritance tax threshold up to a million? 2007? Ring any bells? Guido will believe it when he sees it… 

It may unravel and billions in cuts will have to be found to pay for it all, but in terms of strategy it’s exactly what the Tories needed to do. After last week’s eighty minute snoozefest from Ed Miliband, it’s tough to see how Labour can avoid responding to these pledges directly. UKIP and the LibDems will moan that their ideas have been lifted, which will further please the blues. Over to you Ed…

 

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Cameron Caught on Camera
Queen “Purred” at No Vote, “I Want to Sue” Polling Companies

The PM’s unguarded comments to Michael Bloomberg about the Scottish referendum have been caught on tape by Sky News:

“The definition of relief is being Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and calling the Queen and saying ‘It’s alright, it’s okay’. That was something. She purred down the line… But it should never have been that close, it wasn’t in the end. There was a time in the middle of the campaign when it felt… I’ve said I want to find these polling companies and I want to sue them for my stomach ulcers because of what they put me through. It was very nervous moments.”

Yikes!

Friday, September 19, 2014

Labour Cynically Attack English Votes as “Politically Driven”

“We have heard the voice of Scotland and now the millions of voices of England must also be heard,” said David Cameron this morning, strongly suggesting that he will press for English votes for English laws and finally answer the West Lothian question. Within five minutes Labour had come out against the idea:

Very amusing of Wee Dougie to attack the plan as being “driven by politics”. Of course Labour’s opposition to English votes for English laws definitely isn’t driven by their cynical, anti-democratic need for Scottish MPs to pass legislation in England. Normal politics resumes…

Vid via @liarpoliticians.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Quote of the Day

Tory MPs Sharpen Knives Ahead of Tomorrow’s Vote

24 hours before the polls open and we have the first MP to call for Dave to resign should Scotland vote Yes. Andrew Rosindell tells the FT, “if it goes wrong… the prime minister will have to decide what the honourable thing is to do”, while another Tory MP adds, “Everyone I speak to thinks his position would be untenable”. No.10 are so concerned that, the Times reports, Michael Gove did a ring-round of Tory MPs to gauge the mood, with one backbencher warning Dave faces a “rebellion on a scale not seen before”. The Sun says the PM faces a “dangerous revolt” even if Scotland votes No, with Tory MPs set to defy Cameron over his £1,300-a-head bribe for Scots under the Barnett formula. The Mail say he will face a “bloodbath” even in the event of a No vote, one Tory MP telling them the “panicked offer” means Salmond has won whatever happens. Tory conference is just two weeks away…


Seen Elsewhere

Cam Can Sell Euroscepticism to Europe | Peter Oborne
Treasury’s Laws There to Be Broken | Jill Kirby
Dave’s Pro-Free Markets Speech | ASI
Forget the Nimbys, Bring on the Bimbys | ConHome
Emily is No Snob | Islington Tribune
Cam’s Red Line | Sun
Politicians Must Examine Their Extincts | Laura K
Immigration Lies | Nigel Farage
Take That Mr Speaker | Quentin Letts
How Avoidable Scandals Destroy Stupid Politicians | Alex Wickham
UKIP Mosque Confusion | The Week


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UKIP’s Patrick O’Flynn:

“I think Mail online comments are a telling indication of public opinion.”



Left on Left says:

The lefties are attacking because the panellist is a millionaire and lives in a London home worth upwards of two million. Someone had best tell them he’s called Ed Miliband.


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