Thursday, September 18, 2014

SCOTLAND DECIDES: Declaration Times

Staying up for the long haul tonight? Below are the times we can expect each region to declare their results:

Western Isles: 2.00am
Perth and Kinross: 2.00am
Orkney Islands: 2.00am
North Lanarkshire: 2.00am
Moray: 2.00am
Inverclyde: 2.00am
East Lothian: 2.00am
Clackmannanshire: 2.30am
West Dubartonshire: 3.00am
Stirling: 3.00am
South Lanarkshire: 3.00am
Renfrewshire: 3.00am
Falkirk: 3.00am
East Renfrewshire: 3.00am
East Ayshire: 3.00am
Dundee: 3.00am
Dumfries and Galloway: 3.00am
Angus: 3.00am
Aberdeenshire: 3.00am
West Lothian: 3.30am
South Ayrshire: 3.30am
Shetland Islands: 3.30am
Midlothian: 3.30am
East Dunbartonshire: 3.30am
Argyll and Bute: 3.30am
Highland: 4.00am
Fife: 4.00am
North Ayrshire: 4.30am
Scottish Borders: 5.00am
Glasgow: 5.00am
Edinburgh: 5.00am
Aberdeen: 6.00am

If you’re planning on a few hours shut eye but want to be up for the excitement at the end, set your alarm clock for about 4:30am…

FINAL YOUGOV POLL: No 54%, Yes 46%

Based on recontacting voters today after they voted. Rumour is turnout topped 90%…

Lammy Accidentally Plugs London Mayor Rival’s Campaign

Poor old David Lammy. Tottenham’s political mastermind is busy drumming up support for his London mayoral run, having been the first Labour candidate to formally declare. Lammy tried to tweet a link to his snazzy new website on how he would tackle housing problems in London: LondonHousingReport.com. Instead, he tweeted a link to the similarly-named LondonHousingCrisis.com, a campaign website which features prominently his rival for the mayoralty, Sadiq Khan. Doh!

Top Tories Vow to Fight Cash for Scots

Rail minister Claire Perry has become the highest profile Tory to threaten to scrap the £1,500-a-head subsidy English taxpayers pay to Scots in the event of a No vote. Perry says:

“Cool, calm analysis, not promises of financial party bags to appease Mr Salmond, are what is needed from tomorrow and onwards. [A No vote must not result in] a whole raft of goodies on offer for Scotland that will be paid for by us south of the border to try to appease the Yes voters.”

John Whittingdale agrees:

“I for one would be very concerned at the idea that my electorate would continue to subsidise the Scots even after they have been given all these powers to raise even more money.”

As does backbencher James Gray, who writes in his local paper:

“I do not agree with the ‘Devo Max’ proposals which the three party leaders seem to be offering. Talk about feeding an addiction. The more you give them, the more they want.. The Barnett Formula, under which every Scottish citizen gets £1,500 per year more spent on him/her than their English counterpart must be swept away with no delay. We want greater powers for the long-suffering people of England.”

The PM will be eternally grateful to them for airing their views on polling day…

Not Like MPs to Turn Down a Freebie

Such is the generosity of News UK, successor to News International, that they have kindly delivered life-saving mobile phone battery packs to MPs free of charge. All you have to do to recharge while on the go is plug the pack into your phone:

How cynical of some MPs too paranoid to plug the device into their own mobiles, that they let aides try them out first…

FINAL POLL: Ipsos Mori Says No 53%, Yes 47%

Full details in the Standard.

Within the margin of error…

Another LibDem Contribution to Statistical Excellence

Guido can only doff his cap to the LibDems for this piece of statistical brilliance. The unrivalled data wizards over at Great George Street, for whom any budding student of stats should take inspiration, have produced the following masterpiece on their membership numbers:

With no axes or numbers whatsoever, it really is a quite beautiful example of how to make a 5% increase in members over five quarters look like a 300% rise. Guido would never want to help a rival, but he would not begrudge the LibDems entering this effort at next year’s Royal Statistical Society awardsThe Guy Newsroom salutes you…

Meanwhile, in Clacton…

UKIP’s by-election headquarters have come up with a novel way to motivate their men and women on the ground. Awarded to “the most heroic volunteers” at the end of each day is:

The arch-voice of the Tory left providing Carswell’s troops with their ammo and their inspiration…

Björk Backs Yes

yes-bjork

The lyrics call for a new flag, new currency and protection of indigenous languages and to ignore the patronising.

Funking for freedom…

Andy Murray Endorses Yes During Media Blackout

am-yes

Andy Murray has declared he’s for Yes just hours before the polls open. Crucially though by tweeting his support in the middle of the night, his comments cannot be reported by the broadcasters due to the midnight imposed restrictions of the Representation of the People Act. They also came too late for the dead tree press. 24 hours earlier and this would have been a massive coup for Salmond, though Guido suspects for commercial reasons this was a deliberate move on Murray’s part. 

Meanwhile, the leader of the ‘free’ world is against freedom for Scotland. Guido hasn’t seen independence doing America much harm. Perhaps George III should have deployed the ‘what currency are you going to use’ line instead of sending in the Redcoats. 


Seen Elsewhere

Why Newmark Story Was Not Fishing Expedition | David Banks
Longlist to Succeed Hague | ConHome
Newmark Nonsense An Excuse to Bash Tabloids | Spiked
Kay Burley’s Top Twitter Zingers | Buzzfeed
Why Tory Tax Cut Pledge is Good News | Allister Heath
ONS Admits Economy Stronger Than It Thought | Speccie
Cameron’s Concessions to UKIP | Nick Wood
#TM4PM: It’s On | Speccie
Path to Defeat Obvious for Both Labour and Tories | Rafael Behr
It’s Boris v May | Sun
Farage is Outflanking the Tories | Guardian


VOTER-RECALL
Find out more about PLMR


David Cameron on political promiscuity…

“On May 7 you could go to bed with Nigel Farage and wake up with Ed Miliband. Not one bit of that works for me.”



cynic says:

Can anyone help me? I went on holiday a week ago and returned to find someone has pulled out the stake and Gordon Brown is back and acting as Prime Minister. What did I miss? Has there been a snap election?


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