Oily’s Confused Advice to Corbyn for PMQs

confused

Oily Smith has helpfully written to Jezza with some advice on tactics at PMQs:

“Of course, with six questions, you could cover more than one topic … although you know from your own experience that covering too many topics in one session can make the scrutiny less effective.”

Oily as always faces both ways and then splits the difference. Yeah but no but don’t stick to one subject but don’t do too many…

UPDATE: Treated with disdain…

City Boys Staying in London

surprise

Mark Carney is up in front of the Treasury Select Committee this afternoon where he is going to have to explain why he cut rates and re-started QE prematurely to Jacob Rees Mogg, who thinks “He acted too early in my view. There was not sufficient evidence at that point that further monetary stimulus was needed and there are adverse consequences of abnormally low interest rates as well as beneficial consequences.” As the Citigroup surprise index (above) shows, most City expert economists got it wrong on a Brexit recession. In the last week alone Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan and Credit Suisse have reverse-ferreted on their Brexit recession predictions. None have accepted Guido’s £1,000 wager offer…

fundmanagers-staying

On a similar theme it is worth reading the Centre for Policy Studies analysis out today on the pros and cons of Brexit for the financial services. Just as the consensus on a Brexit recession was misplaced (even Remain campaign financing investment bank JP Morgan has now conceded they were wrong) so too will the “City will lose out to Paris / Frankfurt / Dublin” consensus soon dissolve.  The above chart from Prequin shows that not many Masters of the Universe are keen to enjoy the Frankfurt nightlife…

What the City does want is “passporting”, assurance that the Square Mile’s firms will still be able to trade across the EU. The majority of the City’s exports in financial services (60%) go to countries outside the EU – not surprising when not one of the top 10 financial centres is in the EU. China and India are already choosing to do their capital market transactions in London, these are the growth markets of the future. In reality it is likely that if “passporting” obstacles were to be deliberately constructed, they could if necessary be circumvented by booking trades through EU based subsidaries. Zurich is the biggest financial centre on mainland Europe, it has bilateral deals with the EU, the City will want the same…  

Vaz Didn’t Declare Hotels Used For Encounters With Young Men

hotel

Tuesday’s Sun reported that between September 2013 and December 2014 Keith Vaz “often” stayed at the Washington Mayfair hotel, and “sometimes there were other young men with him”. The paper says Vaz does not appear to have been charged for the bookings. Receipts were signed off “As per Mr J. Sanger”, suggesting they were freebies from the hotel’s mega-rich Indian owner Joginder Sanger. MPs are required to declare all hospitality over the threshold in the Register of Interests:

“Over £660 for the total of benefits of whatever size from the same source in a calendar year”

Vaz made no declaration of free hotel stays in 2013 or 2014…

Just three stays plus a few drinks bills would have put Vaz over the threshold. Hotel workers suggest it was more regular than that:

“Keith Vaz would often arrive at very short notice. Sometimes there were other young men with him. There were a number of times when he didn’t stay the whole night. He would stay for just a few hours before checking out.”

If Vaz stayed there often and for free, the hotel rooms used for liaisons with young men should have been declared to the Commons authorities. All this seems so far removed from Vaz’s promise when he was first elected that he would only accept a workers’ wage and donate his parliamentary salary to his constituency Labour Party:

vaz-worker

Somehow he has managed to make millions and the mystery source of his wealth is unexplained, least of all to his local Labour Party…

Vacancy for Trainee Scuttlebutt

Closing Date: 17 September 2016

Job Title: Trainee Reporter

Working For: Guido Fawkes

Location: London

Salary: Competitive

Job Details

The Guido Fawkes website is looking for a full-time reporter to work in our Westminster bureau. They will be a political obsessive who either has previous experience of working in parliament, or a spectator with an unhealthy knowledge of the minutiae of politics. They will have a sense of humour and be happy to spend weekday evenings building contacts in SW1. They will have a sense of what makes a story, and an unquenchable thirst… to break news.

Responsibilities:

  • Video editing, recording, photoshopping and sharing content on social media.
  • Writing stories across the various news streams of our website, on politics, the media, energy and green issues, as well tech and Europe.
  • Breaking news.

Requirements:

  • Some basic video editing ability desirable
  • Fast learner
  • Hard-working, able to produce under deadline pressure
  • Drive to bring in stories
  • Sense of humour
  • Share our ethical values and worldview

Guido Fawkes is Westminster’s number one news and gossip website established in 2004.

Closing Date: 17 September 2016

Interview/Start Dates

Interviews ASAP.  The successful candidate will ideally start work at the end of September.

Application Details

Send a covering letter and CV, and examples of your previous work. Please also send an example topical story, written in Guido’s style, including the pithy red pay off line, to team@order-order.com.

May Hires 23 SpAds So Far

SPADS

By Guido’s count Theresa May now has 23 SpAds, spinners and policy wonks at Number 10, still a little way off Dave’s chumocracy. The PM has hired former Foreign Office SpAd Denzil Davidson, Centrica’s Georgia Berry and Alex Burghart from the Centre for Social Justice. War hero Chris Brannigan joins as a business adviser. David Davis, Liam Fox, Alun Cairns, David Lidington, Karen Bradley and Ben Gummer are still hiring. Patrick McLoughlin’s CCHQ chief of staff is also up for grabs.

Send any updates to team@order-order.com.

New Green Leader Says UKIP are Fascists

New Green co-leader Jonathan Bartley is a complete non-entity, so it was important for him to make a good first impression on today’s Daily Politics. Would the smug former Tory take a more moderate, sensible tone? Nope, he said UKIP are “fascist” and compared them to the Nazis. Now the left is in control of the Labour Party, what is the point of the Greens?

Keith Vaz Resignation Statement

It is in the best interest of the home affairs select committee that its important work can be conducted without any distractions whatsoever. I am genuinely sorry that recent events make it impossible for this to happen if I remain chair. I have always been passionate about select committees, having served as either chair or member for half of my time in parliament. The integrity of the select committee system matters to me. Those who hold others to account, must themselves be accountable.

I am immeasurably proud of the work the committee has undertaken over the last 9 years, and I am privileged to have been the longest serving chair of this committee. This work has included the publication of 120 reports, hearing evidence from ministers 113 times, and hearing from a total of 1379 witnesses. I am very pleased that so many members of the committee have gone onto high office and ministerial positions.

I told the committee today of my decision to stand aside immediately from committee business, and my intention to resign. This is my decision, and mine alone, and my first consideration has been the effect of recent events on my family. I have recommended that in the interim, Tim Loughton MP, the senior Conservative member, should Chair proceedings.After speaking to the House authorities, I will formally tender my resignation to Mr Speaker so that it coincides with the timetable for the election of other committee chairs, such as the Brexit Committee, Culture, Media and Sport, and Science and Technology, so that the elections can take place together.

I would like to thank my fellow members of the committee, past and present, for their tremendous support. I would also like to thank the clerks of the House for the amazing work they have done to strengthen the Select committee system, we are not quite on par with the United States, but we are getting there. They are a vital body for the scrutiny of government. I would like to particularly thank my two Clerks, Tom Healey and Carol Oxborough.

Tories: “Lawmakers Cannot Be Lawbreakers”, Vaz Must Go

Leicester Tory councillor Ross Grant has told the Daily Politics that Keith Vaz must resign as an MP because “lawmakers cannot be lawbreakers”. Grant says it is nonsense to argue this is a private matter because Vaz broke the law by offering to supply a Class A drug. Another happy reader.

Sky and the Sun are reporting Vaz will step down from his select committee role. That won’t make the pressure go away…

Ken Goes on TV to Talk Vaz, Ends Up Discussing Hitler

Ken Livingstone went on the BBC News channel this morning to discuss Keith Vaz. Naturally, he ended up talking about Hitler. He says he has “so much evidence” to prove he’s right and adds: “Adolf Eichmann negotiated a deal with the Zionist movement to give them guns”. Incidentally, he also says Vaz should be forgiven… 

Video via @liarpoliticians

Vaz Charity Retains Carter Ruck

Keith Vaz’s diabetes charity Silver Star made the front page of the Telegraph yesterday and was covered extensively in the Mail and the Sun. The allegation – fiercely denied – is that the rent boys at Keith/Jim’s flat received money from a man linked to the charity. Silver Star deny this and have retained Carter Ruck, firing off letters to several newspapers complaining how unfair it is to have their name linked to this sordid affair. Carter Ruck usually charge £500 an hour. That’s a very expensive law firm for a relatively small charity…

1922 Committee Nominations

1922

Brady, Walker, Gillan, Clifton-Brown, Blackman and Nigel Evans have all been returned unopposed, but there’s plenty still to play for. 12 committee places up for grabs, 14 nominations received:

1.   Steve Baker

2.  Sir Simon Burns

3.   David Burrowes

4.   Rehman Chishti

5.   James Cleverley

6.   Dr James Davies

7.   Bernard Jenkin

8.   Jason McCartney

9.   Karl McCartney

10. Antoinette Sandbach

11. Alec Shelbrooke

12. Andrew Turner

13. Bill Wiggin

14. William Wragg

Lot of keen new 2015 intake running.

Vaz Broke “Intent to Supply” Law

moda

Lawmakers cannot be law breakers. This is even more crucial when it comes to being chairman of the Home Affairs Select Committee which influences the drafting of criminal laws.

Jeremy Corbyn said on Sunday that he didn’t believe that Keith Vaz had broken the law so it was a “private matter”.

The CPS prosecutors guidance for the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971 is relevant here

Evidence of intent to supply

An intention to supply may be proved by direct evidence in the form of admissions or witness testimony, for example, surveillance evidence …

Offering/being concerned

In addition to the supply of a controlled drug, section 4(3)(a)-(c) of the Act creates offences of offering to supply, being concerned in the supply and being concerned in the making of an offer to supply.

An offence of offering to supply can be prosecuted simply by proving the existence of an offer. The prosecution does not have to prove either that the defendant intended to produce the drugs or that the drugs were in his possession. The offer may be by words or conduct (R v Showers [1995] Crim. LR 400).

Vaz, in offering to buy cocaine for the rent boy, has broken laws which he helped to draft. Even if you take the view that Guido does that this is a bad law, one thing is certain, “Lawmakers cannot be law breakers”…

UPDATE: A previous version of this article quoted from the Psychoactive Substances Act 2016 which came into force on May 26 also makes it an offence to produce, supply or offer to supply psycho-active substances – this counter-intuitively does not include cocaine

Red Red Whine

ub40

Jeremy Corbyn is appearing at a press conference with UB40 this morning, and it’s a fitting endorsement in more ways than one. The eighties reggae band are of course themselves famous for an acrimonious split. After years of costly legal wranglings and bitter battles in court, the two competing factions of UB40 continue to perform separately but under the same name. One UB40 splinter band now calls the other “Judas“, which is incidentally one of Labour general secretary Iain McNicol’s banned words for the leadership election. The Labour of Love…

The similarities don’t end there. While Corbyn motorcycled around communist East Germany, UB40 visited the Soviet Union, earning condemnation from the United States. The Labour leader shares their view of the monarchy – UB40 describe “Queen and country” as “propaganda, spin and lie”, while Jez is an avowed republican who won’t sing the national anthem. Food for thought. 

Who do UB40 hate more than anyone else? They say Tony Blair is “Uncle Sam’s poodle in need of a shrink”. Corbyn even agrees with UB40 when they say “ganja… every man got to legalise it”. Jez paraphrases: “it is now time to decriminalise possession and cultivation”. First-hand experience of splits, past flirtations with communism, costly legal battles and hatred of Blairites – UB40 are the perfect warm-up act…

Vacancy for Trainee Scuttlebutt

Closing Date: 17 September 2016

Job Title: Trainee Reporter

Working For: Guido Fawkes

Location: London

Salary: Competitive

Job Details

The Guido Fawkes website is looking for a full-time reporter to work in our Westminster bureau. They will be a political obsessive who either has previous experience of working in parliament, or a spectator with an unhealthy knowledge of the minutiae of politics. They will have a sense of humour and be happy to spend weekday evenings building contacts in SW1. They will have a sense of what makes a story, and an unquenchable thirst… to break news.

Responsibilities:

  • Video editing, recording, photoshopping and sharing content on social media.
  • Writing stories across the various news streams of our website, on politics, the media, energy and green issues, as well tech and Europe.
  • Breaking news.

Requirements:

  • Some basic video editing ability desirable
  • Fast learner
  • Hard-working able to produce under deadline pressure, news
  • Drive to bring in stories
  • Sense of humour
  • Share our ethical values and worldview

Guido Fawkes is Westminster’s number one news and gossip website established in 2004.

Closing Date: 17 September 2016

Interview/Start Dates

Interviews ASAP.  The successful candidate will ideally start work at the end of September.

Application Details

Send a covering letter and CV, and examples of your previous work. Please also send an example topical story, written in Guido’s style, including the pithy red pay off line, to team@order-order.com.

Cancel Hinkley, Because It Ain’t Worth It

hinkley

This chart from Bloomberg Energy is devastating. For the same budget as Hinkley we could get 20 gigawatts more electricity from gas, or the same for a fraction of the cost. Even solar would produce more energy at that price. Though with green renewable sources the capacity has to be discounted to reflect how much of the time the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine. Even so, that renewables are anywhere near competitive in cost terms means this has to be looked at by Phil Hammond with his calculator. George Osborne looked at it in political terms – the Chinese and the French will no doubt create some geo-political problems if May cancels the deal. The dash for gas makes far more sense…

Commons Silent as Vaz Speaks

Vaz scuttled into the chamber to welcome the new Home Secretary into her job. He was heard in silence. Time to get this party started…[…]

+ READ MORE +



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