Thursday, November 1, 2007

What No SpAd List? Cock-Up or Conspiracy?

Is there some reason why an up-to-date list of SpAds post-Blair has still to be produced?

Guido needs to have a handy list of targets, is this tardiness government incompetence, cover-up or what? What is Konrad Caulkett’s exact role?

Brown Bottom

As the price of gold today hits a historic 27 year high, Guido wishes he had bought more for his daughters. We all make mistakes as traders don’t we? Gordon Brown’s great mistake is of a different order altogether and is remembered by the gold market players with much fondness and clinking of champagne glasses.

In an act of macro-economic stupidity bordering on treason, he told the market – in advance – that it was his intention to sell off Britain’s gold reserves. When selling a lot of something, and this was 200 years of accumulated gold, it is not thought wise to loudly forewarn buyers in an open market. The market immediately sold off and went short the yellow metal. The dip in prices during what followed is known in the market as the Brown Bottom and was a twenty year low.

Today, the old fashioned solid-state store of value is now 230% higher than when Gordon unloaded the Treasury’s reserves. The fiat dollars he bought with some of the proceeds have halved. The government’s debt (including pension liabilities) has now broken the trillion pound barrier.

Gilt edged government debt is no longer backed by gold under the Bank of England, but by ever rising taxes. Gordon’s reputation in the City is a joke.

Stat-Porn for Blog Voyeurs

Top ten identifiable organisations loafing on the blog (in order) : Houses of Parliament, BBC, Oxford Uni, Cambridge Uni, CCHQ, GLA, News International, Associated newspapers and Manchester Uni.

Dale will be chuffed that he has smashed Guido traffic-wise this month as a result of all his top lists linkages. Guido had a mere 364,825 pageloads from 279,709 unique visitors. Dale is clearly trying too hard – Guido will still not be working the weekends regardless.

The most popular stories in October were about Spandau Ballet’s Tony Hadley at Tory party conference, Indy-gate and our new hero MP. Hard news values triumph here…

UPDATE : Sam Coates brags that ConservativeHome had 697,797 page views from 298,834 unique visitors, Iain that he had 519,104 from 276,072, the obssessive anoraks at Mike Smithson’s PoliticalBetting.com re-loaded 1,560,751 times from an undisclosed number of visitors. Guido would guess that would be from a similar quarter-of-a-million or so individual visitors. No willy waving yet from the other big swinging dicks of the political blogosphere, Slugger and Anthony Wells of Polling Report or any of the main left-of-centre political bloggers. Would be very interesting to know how Boulton & Co, Danny Finkelstein and Ben Brogan measure up with the backing of their Big Media sites behind them…

UPATE II : Da Fink has exposed himself to Guido – Comment Central had 303,047 page views from 176,015 unique visitors. His biggest post this month was about Richard Dawkins and the Jews.

Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Tory Poster Blunder Commits Party to Tear Up EU Treaty

On the tight-rope issue that is the EU treaty, the Tories are campaigning hard for a referendum, which Gordon will not concede. What Cameron has refused so far to concede to his own right-wing is a retrospective referendum should they be in power in 2010 – two years after the treaty will have been confirmed by Parliament.

Hague has been firmly evasive on this point, Tory EU-headbangers have also been, well, as headbanging as always on the same point. Tomorrow’s new “CANCELLED” poster from the Tories has now muddied the waters. As soon as it appeared on ConservativeHome, UKIP supporting Chad Noble spotted that the poster implies “A vote on the European Constitution” is “now delayed until the election of a Conservative government”.The Lobby are lined up to hear a speech from Cameron tomorrow on his “vision”, what is the betting that they will be asking him about this commitment? It is an issue the Brownies have deliberately been trying to stoke up in the press to cause trouble and division with the Tory ranks. Somebody at CCHQ is going to get a bollocking tomorrow…

UPDATE : The Devil has taken a more detailed look at the Tory (non)commitments overnight. Are they meaningful? He thinks not.

Scare the Kids

Government in Halloween Double Trick Retreat

The business community is relieved that the horror of a flat 18% CGT is to be cushioned by a £100,000 tax exempt threshold – Osborne is deriding Darling’s Halloween retreat “Alistair Darling has heaped confusion on incompetence. Only three weeks ago, the Chancellor announced big tax increases for small businesses and entrepreneurs… The government has performed so many u-turns it doesn’t know which way it’s facing.”
This follows the news that the government is dropping the planned trick to claw back 5% from school budgets. Guido has no idea where we are now with the pay – as – you – throw micro-chipped-Bin-Brother-spy policy. Guido can confirm however that there is no truth in the rumour that at midnight Ed Balls will turn into a pumpkin.

Geek Note : Service Interruption Possible

Guido is doing a full dress-rehearsal of his host mirroring system today. There should be no noticeable interruption to the blog. The Californian server’s 70 megabytes of contents were mirrored on a back-up server in an entirely different legal jurisdiction yesterday.

The intention is to switch servers seamlessly, see how it performs under the traffic load, then switch back to California – without losing a single comment. Isn’t technology wonderful?

So anyone thinking of wielding a legal hammer, better get a bigger hammer.

Clegg – ID Cards – "I Will Defy Law"

LibDem politics is so very often the politics of gestures. Huhne’s position on Trident isn’t of any consequence since he won’t have a dog in that fight.

But the politics of the personal is a place where their gestures are more significant. Clegg is going all Gandhi-like and promising mass civil disobedience on ID cards. He told supporters last night “If the legislation is passed I will lead a grassroots campaign of civil disobedience to thwart the identity cards programme … I, and I expect thousands of people like me, will simply refuse ever to register.” “I am not a number” he (almost) shouts.

Which is all very well for private citizens like Guido to do, it is another thing for legislators. Guido’s defiance of the state is one thing, a law-maker becoming a law-breaker presents a dilemma of an entirely different order. Unlike private citizens, Clegg is an integral part of the system representative democracy, if he rejects the outcome of majoritarian politics he is rejecting the system. Good luck to him, but he can’t simply pick and choose the laws he obeys if he is a law-maker.

Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Unhappy Halloween

Gove does the intellectual attack muttering about a sad loss of idealism one minute, next minute CCHQ rolls out this poster to commemorate non-election day. Coulson wouldn’t have had a hand in this would he?

CH4RLIE 4 Boris

Who was the stilletoed brunette who exited this Bentley with Boris last week at the back of the Norman Shaw building? Answers to editorial@thefirstpost.co.uk.

Seen Elsewhere

Labour’s Plan to Attack Part-Time Boris | Standard
Ex-Sun Hack Cleared After 582 Days on Bail | MediaGuido
11 Times Boris Denied He Would Stand for Parliament | Buzzfeed
Attacking UKIP’s Posters is Counter-Productive | Guardian
Sarkozy Tried it on With Hollande’s Ex | Times
Another Spare Room Subsidy Cut Success | Harry Phibbs
Rich Now Have Less Leisure Than Poor | Economist
UKIP’s Immigration Policy Promotes Migrant Entrepreneurs | Breitbart
Another Feminist Lecture | Laura Perrins
UKIP Posters Bad Economics But Good Politics | James Delingpole
Tories Losing to UKIP in Scotland | ConHome


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A confused Nick Griffin says Nigel Farage is a shill for the City, forgetting that City banks want to stay in the EU:

“Farage is a snake oil salesman, but a very good one. His supposed anti-immigration stance is all smoke and mirrors, as is his carefully cultivated image as a ‘man of the people’. The truth is that UKIP is a pro-immigration party that exists to lobby for the interests of the City of London.”



Alexrod says:

It’s money innit.


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