Wednesday, October 15, 2008

BBC Gets Ready to Celebrate Obama Victory

click to enlarge
Guido has got hold of an invite to an Obama victory party sent out by BBC Wales political reporter Toby Mason. Now there are strict rules about impartiality at the BBC, particularly for their political reporters. Guido spoke to Toby about his party and asked him if it was perhaps a little partisan in tone. He’s getting back to Guido….

Rumour reaches Guido that despite the Credit Crunch the biggest party in New York on election night will be held by… the BBC. It is a fact that the BBC has more reporters covering the U.S. election than any domestic American broadcast network. Evidence, if evidence was needed, that it is incredibly bloated and over-funded. Bet the Beeboids can’t wait to crack open the champagne…

UPDATE : The Indy reports that a memo has gone out to Beeboids to cut back on the Champagne.


Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Tory Script Includes Dramatic Pause

According to ConservativeHome the Tories have decided that the narrative and the popular perception of Gordon “saving the banking system” is too hard to overcome currently. As head of government Gordon is the financial pilot in the cockpit waving to admirers as he performs acrobatic and risky financial stunts above the heads of the public – who can only hope he doesn’t come crashing down on their heads.

Vince Cable is ignored on the ground shouting random directions to attract attention from the crowd. Little can be done to avoid Gordon claiming credit and to be fair, his contemporary version of the Swedish bail-out model was better than the Paulson Plan Mk 1. The Tories plan in their attack to hold off until recession bites and then point the public towards Gordon and give him the credit he deserves for the magnitude of the bust.

Might work, though Gordon will try to pass the buck as ever, blaming Iceland or the non-appearance of the tooth fairy for Britain’s woes. The triumphalism of this week may fade from the public’s memory pretty quick. Danny Finkelstein has nailed it to Gordon, If this is a triumph, I’d hate to see a disaster. Fink’s argument needs to be re-scripted in populist form.

In a month or so attack videos need to replay Gordon intoning an end to “boom and bust” over and over again at different times in different ties, than replay him asking last week “has another bank gone bust?”, zooming in slow motion on to that, for once, authentic smile. As recession brings unemployment and repossessions, his self confession to presiding over the age of irresponsibly low interest rates and a failed regulatory regime he designed needs to be drummed into voters – along with Gordon’s smile of triumph amidst disaster.

Telegraph Editor Gushes Praise on Gordon for "Saving the World"

Just now the Telegraph’s Berkeley Hotel party to celebrate the launch of their new business section is breaking up. Proof that the Daily Labourgraph is no longer the preferred reading of the City comes in this vignette: Will Lewis announced a special guest and in walked Gordon Brown, in his speech of introduction Lewis troweled it on thick how Gordon had saved the banking system to guests including City commissar Paul Myners and Robert Peston. Some of the more traditional Telegraph reading City types were less enamoured…

Exclusive : Gordon "Come Campaign With Me in Glenrothes

Two Cheers for Government Back Downs

So the fight for 42 days detention without trial has been abandoned, the plan for secret trials dumped as well. What next?

McCain – Is He Really Out of the Race?

Betfair is offering 5/1 on a McCain victory. That seems a bit steep for a two horse race. Sure he is behind, sure Palin is appalling the East Coast liberal media and the BBC, but 5/1?

Tempting odds for a value bet. When you drill down in some of the most likely to vote groups, McCain is strong, older voters for instance. Even if almost all Hollywood stars are voting for The One, they are not that numerically strong. Do you really think this going be a wipe-out for the Republicans?

Monday, October 13, 2008

Where’s Our Bail-Out? The Bankers Got Theirs…

Now Brown is bailing out the bankers with the taxpayers money the question Guido wants to answered is: Where is our bail-out?

Billions in future tax payments are being risked to bankers. They are supposed to pay back the debt to the Treasury when things pick up. Hopefully.

The economy won’t pick up until the housing market picks up. Kick-starting the housing market is going to take one helluva kick. In America Obama is talking about a 90-day moratorium on home repossessions and McCain is advocating government-backed mortgage rescheduling, another policy idea doing the rounds is giving home buyers $15,000 tax relief, effectively making a mortgage deposit tax deductible.

Something glaring that strikes Guido as unfair in the British tax system* is that whereas the bank corporations will be able to deduct loan interest payments from their tax bills, individuals can’t. Why not bail-out homeowners too by making their mortgage interest payments tax deductible? Consumers are feeling the pinch, if they could claim the same tax relief that the bankers will, they would spend it and boost the economy. Boosting the economy is key to keeping the recession short. Unlike the banker bail-out this isn’t a handout from taxpayers, it lets taxpayers keep their money flowing into the economy.

*Gordon took away mortgage interest tax relief in 1999.

UPDATE : The comments below from some call this proposal neo-Keynesian, suggest it would re-flate the housing bubble and call it a middle-class subsidy.

The idea that people should be taxed less to promote spending growth is pretty straight forward. Keeping people’s earnings in their pocket to spend promotes growth in a much healthier way than the government taxing their earnings more to spend inefficiently. Some people fetishisise taxes as if they were a good thing in and of themselves. The property market is not going to bubble again in our lifetimes, have no fear. A subsidy is what public sector tenants have, taking less in taxes off people is not subsidising them.

Lehman Derivatives Defusing Safely

The unwinding of Lehman’s credit default swaps appears to be going well. Market nervousness about systemic risk was said to be at the heart of banks hoarding cash, no financial detonations have been reported. Market authorities reckon the net losses could be as low as $6 billion. Hardly anything…

Mandy’s Chinky Drinky Kidney Linky

Peter Mandelson drank Chinese milk 9 days before his kidney problems surfaced. He flamboyantly drank a glass in front of the Chinese media to “show his support for the Chinese dairy industry” which has been hit child poisoning contamination disasters.

Premier Wen Jiabao said he was very moved when he saw Peter Mandelson drinking a cup of Chinese milk on Friday to show his trust in China-made products. “It’s because he not only sees the present, but the future as well,” Wen said. Oh dear…

Hat-tip : Shanghaiist


Seen Elsewhere

PC Worries Prevent Police Protecting Young Girls | Jill Kirby
Miliband Should Win Rochester | Martin Kettle
Thatcher Minister Sir John Nott ‘Voted for UKIP’ | Times
Time to Listen to Drugs Experts | Guardian
Drug Laws Don’t Work | Times
Our Moral Duty to Cut Taxes | David Cameron
Greens Ahead of LibDems | Guardian
Channel 4 to Spoof UKIP Election Win | Guardian
The Threat to Press Freedom | Paul Dacre
White House Scoop Strategy | Post
Labour Council Retweets BNP Endorsement | HandF Forum


VOTER-RECALL
Find out more about PLMR


David Cameron drug policy reformer and leadership contender in 2005…

“Politicians attempt to appeal to the lowest common denominator by posturing with tough policies and calling for crackdown after crackdown. Drugs policy has been failing for decades.”



“Digger” Murdoch says:

Is it just me, or is Nigel Farage just a top hat and a monocle away from being a Batman villain?


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