NIESR Dismisses Brown/Darling 2009 Recovery Predictions

Propeller-Head Wonk Watch: The National Institute of Economic and Social Research is predicting the UK economy will shrink until the fourth quarter of this year, contradicting the Chancellor’s optimistic forecast for the economy to come out of recession in July. Gross domestic product will fall 2.7% in 2009 the NIESR propellor-heads reckon. Even when the economy stops declining, unemployment will still continue to increase into 2010. Guido predicts it will be half-way through a Cameron government before the economy returns to 2007 peaks. So that is two predictions for the price of one…

UPDATE : Nationwide’s Consumer Confidence Index figure has just come out. It shows that consumer confidence has hit a record low during January, dropping to 40 points. Which is half the level it was at before Jonah became PM.

Prezza Shows Draper How It Is Done

Guido had a famous run in with Prezza once before, where he told the Today programme “is it blogs they call ’em?” Prescott has since come a long way on the information super – highway, rebutting Iain on video for daring to question if it really was Prezza, or his son David, updating his own status on Facebook. (Guido understands that it is David who is behind the somewhat amateurish Go4th attack videos.)

Credit where credit is due, Prezza gives as good as he gets – with some humour – meanwhile Draper is reduced to ringing up pressure groups to berate interns.

UPDATE 4 Feb, 2009 : Dale has found the exact quote: “I think it’s called the internet or blogs or something. I haven’t got into all this new technology. I’ve only just got used to letters.” and Total Politics has the recording.

+++ Source : Met Police Have Received MP’s Complaint Re Gordon Brown’s Leaks from 1985 +++

Commissioner Sir Paul Stephenson has, Guido understands, had in his in-tray since early December a letter of complaint over this:

Legally there is no “statute of limitations” for the offence of “Procuring Misconduct in Public Office”, so Brown could theoretically still be prosecuted. Perhaps the Met have been preparing for nine weeks to raid his offices, more likely they are in a bit of a quandary about what to do until Damian Green is dealt with.

+++ Developing +++

Glenrothes : Ghosts Vote By Post

There appear to be hanging chad issues in Glenrothes, where surprisingly Labour, the underdogs, held the seat with a 6,737 majority against a strong SNP effort.
The Courier, a local newspaper, is reporting that the records have gone missing.
In December the SNP in Glenrothes applied to the sheriff court to obtain a copy of the marked electoral register—on which officials in polling stations score out voters as they register to vote. It is the official record of who presented themselves to vote.

Candidates and their agents are allowed to see a copy of the register, which records only who voted and not how they voted.

However, after repeated requests for the document last month, Councillor John Beare, the convener of the SNP Central Fife constituency, has been told that it has gone missing.

Mike Smithson over at PoliticalBetting.com remarks that the “startling thing about Glenrothes was the massive increase in postal votes compared with the general election – up four-fold if I recall correctly. It all sounds fishy.” Quite.

Obama Bitterly Disappoints Liberals

The Guardianistas will have to revert to anti-Americanism, the Messiah is a very naughty boy. Sure he is closing Gitmo, but he isn’t going soft on the War on Terror the Networks of Terror Inducers. Fresh from signing the Executive Order barring former lobbyists from joining his Administration, he exempted a Raytheon defence contractor lobbyist, allowing William Lynn to become Deputy Secretary of Defense at the Pentagon – his old customer base. Obama has signed a few Executive Orders which, it is widely reported in the U.S. press, authorise and expand on the policy of extra-ordinary rendition.

He certainly left a few legalistic get-out clauses in the new Executive Orders covering the issue. So if you have no hard evidence that would stand up in court, are squeamish about drowning and electrocution, or too much of a bleeding heart to do old fashioned beating of prisoners yourself, just render them to some foreign dungeon in the back of a CIA contractor’s plane. The military-industrial complex has just had a new makeover.

Stat-Porn : 826,606 Pageloads from 626,069 Visits by 137,467 Visitors

Biggest sources of traffic in January from referrals were iaindale.blogspot.com (41,740) followed by telegraph.co.uk (28,785) and the spectator.co.uk (20,552).

The shift off Blogger is being held up by a bug giving difficulty with transferring 200,000 plus comments out of Blogger’s archive. It times out when we try to do it. Any geek ideas welcomed.

Guido would like to thank advertisers who make this all worthwhile – so do buy your flowers online from Marks and Sparks this Valentines. It’ll make Mrs Fawkes happy…

Make Blunkett Happy

David Blunkett is campaigning to return to the cabinet for the use of yellow buses for schools.

Why don’t we just tell him his campaign has won and make the old guy happy?

UPDATE : Well fancy that, Guido only intended to make a jokey comment and the co-conspirators in the comments pointed out he is paid £25,000-year by a bus company. What do you bet they want to get into the yellow school bus market?

Rich & Mark’s Monday Morning View

Lord Truscott and the Heroin Dealer

The above video filmed by the Sunday Times in the St James Hotel’s restaurant is pretty damning for Baron Truscott. The former Labour DTI minister – once a special envoy for Tony Blair – is now a director of oil

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Friday Caption Competition (Fiscal Incontinence Edition)

[…]

+ READ MORE +

It’s For You! Brown’s Accidental Tinkle

BBC Davos Blog said…

0947 Gordon Brown looked angry when it turned out some dope had forgotten to turn off his mobile phone during his G20 talk – until the red-faced British PM found out it was his handset ringing.

[…]

+ READ MORE +

Jonah Brown Curse Hits Honda & Velux Jobs

Jonah Brown’s industrial curse continues to wreak havoc across the nation:

During his visit Mr Brown also commented briefly on the current problems facing the car industry and Honda in Swindon. “We are working with all parties involved to improve

[…]

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Ken Clarke tells the Ben Fellows trial:

“The idea that I would go strolling off in order to grope a man in an office is highly unlikely.”

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