Consensus here was that if Cameron is looking for a fight with the right, he is not going to get one. “We should let him fight and win or lose the election on his own terms”, “More than anything we want him to beat Brown”, “I don’t know what he is about, but he seems to be making progress” and “What is going on with your beard?” were the kind of comments people said to Guido.
UDATE : Dale does have the dope.
Incidentally, it’s worth watching online today’s edition of Andrew Neil’s Daily Politics – Jenny and he tore into all the LibDem candidates mercilessly. Watch them squirm.
The paparazzi are on resignation-watch. Ominously, when asked yesterday if the Prime Minister gave his full support to Tessa Jowell, the PMOS said “yes”. Just like he did before Blunkett went. It seems to Guido that we are expected to believe that Mills was more honest with his accountant than his wife., that Mills was lying to the Italian authorities originally and is now telling the truth. It is all a bit iffy.
(Incidentally Guido welcomes pictures emailed by blog reading co-conspirators so if you catch something interesting on your camera-phone, let me know.)
With the last chance to safely post voting slips coming tomorrow, Guido is calling the LibDem leadership election for Ming Campbell. Mike Smithson is calling it for Huhne (but keeping an all green screen). Young upstart tipster SpecialBets is also calling it for Ming.
The only hard polling evidence is that Ming and Huhne are nearly within a margin of error on first preferences and that the majority of second preferences will go to Ming. The “Greenwash” smear on Huhne looked to me like a petulant Hughes backing op, Hughes also bitch-slapped Huhne early on and Hughes backers suspect Huhne of being more right-wing than he now professes. Hughes is the choice of sandal wearers and they will not switch to a multi-millionaire City refugee easily. Hughes’ second preferences will go to Ming in great numbers. Phone polling by young LibDem activists (enjoy Ming’s gift vouchers kids) also gives it to the old man. While Guido was writing this (a little before midnight) the betting market switched favourites. Guido has been in close contact with one of the biggest political punters throughout the last month (a player who can account for one-third of the daily market volume), he reckons that Huhne’s market manipulator (who disappeared this weekend) will be looking at a middling five-figure loss.
Sorry to spoil the scoop Nick.
Some stuff on Consigliere Mills has come to Guido’s attention as well as some more muck-throwing amongst the LibDems… back soon.
“Well, we have been working on it. Let me put it this way if I’d had to write the script for the opening day then I certainly wouldn’t have written it the way it turned out.”
How Mervyn King Lost Bank Battle War | WSJ
BBC Corporation Tax Horror Story | IEA
Sally Bercow Judgement in Full | Mr Justice Tugendhat
Commies Blame Capitalism For Terror Attack | The Commentator
Lord Black v Press Regulation | Guardian
Osborne’s Complacency | FT
DWP’s Welfare Failings | Isabel Hardman
Get Used to Coalitions | David Aaronovitch
Woolwich a Showcase in the Banality of Evil | Fraser Nelson
The Enemy Within | Max Hastings
Muslim Led Military-Style Free School Needed | Toby Young
Ed Balls stretches credulity by claiming he isn’t ambitious…
“I would love to be part of Ed’s Labour government but what I do next for me is not an all-consuming passion. I’m more bothered, in a personal sense, about getting to grade 8 piano by the time I’m 50.”
Ned Flanders – Clegg
Lisa Simpson – Natalie Bennett
Milhouse – Hilary Benn
Martin Prince – Andy Burnham
Edna Krabappel – Luciana Berger
Crazy Cat Lady – Glenda jackson
Comic book guy – John Prescott
Carl – Chucka
Lenny – Philip Hammond
Willie – Eric joyce
Poochie – Gordon Brown
Reverend Lovejoy – Tony Blair