Thursday, May 3, 2012

Labour Lost London the Day they Chose Ken
Why Didn’t Labour Choose Oona?

Months before Labour selected a candidate for Mayor of London, Guido chatted with a senior City Hall Tory politico, asking him who he really preferred to fight; Oona or Ken? Without hesitating he said “Oona so long as Ken stands as an independent again. If not, Ken”. He got his wish…

That was a real fear for Labour. If Ken wasn’t their candidate, he would still be a candidate. The Labour machine could have selected Oona if it really wanted. It didn’t kick into action against his cynically parasitical organisation. Not because Ken outwitted them, it was because they feared a rogue Ken again, be in no doubt that if the Labour establishment and Labour HQ really wanted they could have stopped Ken being their chosen candidate. Implicit blackmail by Ken when Labour was reeling from losing the general election got him the candidacy.

Labour will spin and blame it on a ruthlessly negative Lynton Crosby campaign, and in many ways it was a classic, however it was only workable because Ken has so many negatives to mine. That type of campaign could not have been run against Oona. She is too fresh, too funky London and too centrist. Labour lost London they day they succumbed to Ken’s blackmail.

+ + + Coulson and Brooks at Leveson Next Week + + +

Coulson on Thursday, Brooks Friday. Any bounce Dave is hoping to get from a win in London could be short-lived as a result. Peter Oborne reports that there were “dozens” of texts between the Prime Minister and his flame haired friend. Will she exact revenge for his disloyalty?

As for Coulson, well there’s a man with some scores to settle with News Corp…

David Miliband’s Support Up In the Air

David Miliband seems overenthusiastic today about Labour’s campaigning:

However, it seems the spurned brother doth protest too much – the ever watchful EyeSpyMP has busted him wide open:

The two tweets were sent just moments apart. Guido sources suggest that Miliband is on his way to that key Labour marginal of Addis Ababa…

Police Coming for Mensch Trolls

The Chief Constable of Cumbria Police Stuart Hyde says that they are looking into the “pretty horrendous” and potentially illegal comments about Louise  Mensch made on Twitter.

Given many of them were in people’s own names, it shouldn’t be too tricky to track them down.

Idiots…

Labour Voters Saying Not Ken Again

https://twitter.com/#!/warrenvalentine/status/197997349124063233

https://twitter.com/#!/thenamesoni/status/197998237020467200

YouGov say 1 in 10 Labour voters are going for Boris and another 1 in 10 are abstaining…

London GLA Projections

YouGov, who were the most accurate pollsters in London 4 years ago, have produced projections for the Greater London Assembly. The good news is they expect the BNP to be wiped out, the bad news is that London could be looking at a Red-Green majority in the assembly trying to thwart Boris on cost cutting. In Germany Red-Green governed cities have veered to the far left.

It is still close and with the Tories polling double digits behind Labour since the budget, Boris has to overcome a tough national polling deficit. Paddick, despite being a better candidate than he was in 2008, is not expected to poll in double digits and UKIP are projected to cement their claim to be the third party gaining two seats and equaling the LibDems. The graphic below shows how London became Boris Town in 2008:

The suburbs besieged inner London to take control of City Hall from Red Ken…

Flandering About Yesterday

Stephanie Flanders is the Theresa May of democracy…


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