July 22nd, 2010

Punters versus Wonks

It is fair to say that London Labour’s activists and wonkish elite are by and large behind Ed Miliband, unless they are ideological Blairites (like the Progress crowd) or careerist greasy pole climbers like most MPs, in which case they are behind David Miliband. The headbanging Tory hating activists go for Balls and lefties back Abbott with Burnham picking up a Northern token vote.

Supporters of Ed Miliband are adamant, despite polls showing David has more than twice as much support among Labour supporters, that he will win on second preferences.  Will Straw at LeftFootForward has even built a predictive model that forecasts Ed scraping through. Yet punters persist in making David Miliband the runaway favourite. Are the punters or the wonks right?

Guido accepts that Ed will probably win the union’s endorsements, though the Fabian’s Sunda Katawala argues that doesn’t necessarily mean he will win the votes of union members. Punters agree with Will and give Ed a 60% chance of winning the union votes.

Guido and punters make David the 80% favourite to win the MP/MEPs vote.  Will forecasts it will be closer than that but accepts that David will win this part of the electoral college.

It is over the membership vote that Will’s model and punters differ dramatically. Based on a non-representative, self-selecting poll of LabourList’s readers (DM 34.9% EM 30.8%), he predicts that the second preferences from the more left-wing candidates will switch to Ed and he will thus beat his older brother. The argument being that since Ed is positioned to the left of David, second preferences won’t tack right to the most centrist candidate. This is delusional.

Not all the voters will see the candidates in such finely calibrated positions on the centre-to-left spectrum, much of the electorate will vote on character and personality. Apart from Diane Abbott the policy positions of the candidates are in reality very closely bunched and Ed Balls’ new found tactical leftism is transparently risible.  Experience shows that second preferences tend to break in correlation with first preferences. The correlation isn’t perfect, but nor is it so weak as to be insignificant. Yet Labour sympathisers in the media and even more objective pundits like Toby Young believe Ed will come through.

So if it will be decided by the membership vote, is the LabourList poll accurate? It is unlikely that a self-selecting web poll will be. YouGov actually put Balls ahead of Ed Miliband but behind David with Labour voters (and another private poll by Survation put Diane Abbot within 5% of Ed among union members).  With the polling confusion Guido puts little reliance on the sampling and absent of clear polling evidence Guido opts to “follow the money”. David Miliband has raised more money than all the rest and he has the weight of  punter’s money backing him. It will be close, but Guido suspects Ed will lose to his big brother.


202 Comments

  1. 1
    Voice of Treason says:

    It’s like being asked to choose between Ron and Reg.

    Like

    • 11

      More like Siegfried and Roy.

      Like

    • 14
      BirdLover says:

      Bert and Ernie

      Like

      • 23
        Benefits Kulture UK says:

        Who cares? They were part of a useless government that was voted out. They should try and get a job in the private sector and stop relying on the state to fund their lifestyle.

        Like

        • 26
          lolol says:

          a job in the Banks you mean?

          Like

        • 62
          NeverRed says:

          They are all unemployable, that’s why they are in politics.

          Like

        • 73
          amongymous says:

          I think it’s better than that – regardless of what journalists, MPs, the BBC and the rest of the establishment think I think neither has any realistic chance of winning a general election. Both seem just as remote and weird as Gordon. They both look and sound like sixth-form politics students who are desperate to prove how clever they are by running everyone else’s life and, to view it all through that personality lens that many voters do, my gut feeling is they will turn voters off. Burnham and perhaps even Abbot would do it less on a personal level. Basically labour are screwed – cheers!

          Like

          • Mr Ned says:

            Agreed. Let’s not overlook the massive scale of the defeat in vote terms. Labour did worse than John Major in 1997.

            Labour were massively flattered by the very biased constituency seat boundaries and this is what saved them from an utter rout.

            When the coalition re-order the constituency boundaries and remove the labour bias then we will see how pathetic their support really is these days.

            Like

          • pick a Blair, any Blair says:

            they look and sound like Blair

            just like Cameron does

            just like Clegg does

            Like

    • 25
      A Pensioner says:

      Frontdoor or backdoor.

      Like

    • 48
      Must get a pseudonym one day says:

      Mike & Bernie

      Like

  2. 2
    Mine d'Boggles says:

    Doubtless many people are hoping for a total loon to be chosen, others will want their richly endowed life in the Quangos to be perpetuated, but I would guess that most people couldn’t give a monkeys.

    Like

  3. 3
    Sir William Waad says:

    Who forecast the result of the General Election more accurately – the pollsters or the punters?

    Like

  4. 4

    I wonder if both the Milibands would be surprised by how long I would willingly repeat fire a potato gun at their faces?

    If I hear them whining on about their “values” one more time I just might go all Mr-Potato-Head-Meets-Raoul-Moat on them…….

    Like

  5. 5
    Ed Milibands Press Officer says:

    You may very well be eating humble pie,Guido.
    Cast your memory back to those dark days when Maggie Thatcher won the Conservative Party leadership…..she was third favourite at 8/1.
    In private David Miliband has conceded and will be willing to work under young brother,Ed.
    Rather than “follow the money”,make yourself some money and back Ed Miliband at any available odds

    Like

    • 82
      The man who came in from the all Women Shortlist says:

      Picture the scene its the White House Rose Garden and on the dual lecterns we have on the right Bark Obama President of the United States and on the left Ed Milliband…….er sorry no I cant quite see it myself !

      Like

      • 133
        Mr Ned says:

        That’s because it will never happen because Barak will not be President after 2012 and even IF miliband were to inexplicably win the labour leadership and a general election, it won’t be until after 2012 anyway.

        Like

        • 145
          Budgie says:

          Oh I don’t know …. Barking O’Barmy and Sad Millibrain as a duo has a sort of ring to it.

          Like

  6. 6
    anonymous says:

    I don’t give a fuck about this so called contest. What I want to know is do we get to shoot the winner?

    Like

    • 78
      Can't remember my moniker says:

      Rule NewLabour
      Marmalade and jam
      Five failed troughers up your arsehole:
      Bang! bang! bang! bang! bang!

      Like

    • 114
      Down with Brown! says:

      They get a fate worse than death, to be leader of the Labour party.

      Like

  7. 7
    pachebal says:

    I suppose someone has to win but none of them has any credibility – They have no interest in the common good – they’ll contradict themselves and say anything at all to get into POWER.

    Like

  8. 8
    John Bull says:

    Pity the poor constituents of Doncaster North. Whilst Ed fucks about trying to win the captaincy of the Titanic, we with all our problems are left in the wilderness, with no elected memeber to talk t because he is so busy furthering his own career.

    Like

  9. 9
    Andrew Efiong says:

    Ed Balls would be my pick. Total comedy and years of entertainment would lie ahead.

    The Millibands will just send voters to sleep. At least Balls makes them chuckle.

    Suspect most people will feel sorry for Labour. They’re picking a leader but haven’t worked out what the party stands for.

    Like

    • 13

      ‘Suspect most people will feel sorry for Labour’.

      Only the very sickest in our society.

      Like

    • 39
      willsteed says:

      Very good point.

      Like

      • 96
        Education Education er er says:

        Joe Cole, a professional footballer apparently, interviewed on Sky ‘I’ve reached the stage in my career when I just want to play football’ wtf has he been doing up until now.

        Like

    • 95
      moriarty says:

      Don’t forget we’re talking about the Labour party. They won’t know what the party stands for until they’ve elected the new leader.

      Like

      • 140
        Mr Ned says:

        They have not known what they stand for for many many years now. All those leftists who cheered as Blair committed war crimes to suck up to the most ardent and extreme right-wing Administration in decades, whilst pursuing a nakedly elitist corporatist agenda.

        Labour stand for nothing but getting power and hating tories. That’s it!

        Like

        • 143
          Mr Ned says:

          Correction: as Blair committed war crimes to suck up to the most ardent and extreme right-wing American Administration

          Like

    • 116
      Down with Brown! says:

      Labour have been comedy for years.

      Like

    • 139
      you're having a fucking laugh says:

      unlike Dave’s pick a policy progressive Limpservatives then?

      Like

  10. 10
    Eileen Critchley says:

    Torys want Ed.

    Like

  11. 12
    'Mandy' says:

    Tell me about it.

    Like

  12. 15
    ST says:

    I’m rather chuffed with all this I bet against David M back at the start of the competition and now for him as the betting exchanges have swung to his brother. Now no matter what happens Davie M is making me money.

    This all bodes well for the coalition. If Labour go mad and don’t elect the strongest candidate (David M) they’ll have either a non-entity or a loon in charge of them. Alternatively, if they do elect the Blairite large the unions will be alienated during a period when they’ll want to be throwing their weight about.

    Like

    • 122
      AC1 says:

      I think you mean “least weak”, rather than strongest.

      Like

    • 152
      Budgie says:

      “f Labour go mad and don’t elect the strongest candidate (David M) they’ll have either a non-entity or a loon in charge of them.”

      As against David M who is a non-entity AND a loon.

      Like

  13. 16
    Desert Rat says:

    Who gives a fuck, they are all dangerous wankers.

    Like

    • 28
      Albert Hall says:

      sums it up.

      Like

    • 57
      anonymous says:

      whilst I agree in principal, can you describe as fully as possible what exactly a dangerous wanker is? My mind is racing with visions of blokes holding up post offices with their dicks out……

      Like

      • 86
        Thick Wanker detector says:

        Rauol Moat was a perfect example of such

        Like

      • 154
        RSPBrownones says:

        give me the money this is a dick up …..sounds ok to me

        Like

      • 155
        Desert Rat says:

        “Wanker” is a generic term, in my native Liverpool, for people who lack competence.
        So somebody who was (in scouse) a wanker and was, operating a nuclear reactor, or running a country, would be a danger to the populace.

        Like

      • 173
        One View says:

        ‘As fully as possible’ probably risks trying the patience of our webhost so I’ll try & minimise it. Years ago I did a job in an area which was mainly council houses for Ford workers. I started with the prejudice that it was going to be
        all piss-stained carpets and front gardens like carbreakers. Some houses were like that but a lot of them had people who took a pride in themselves and their immediate surroundings.

        Labour would shower the area with money to improve things. The trouble is,
        the scrotes would remain scrotes and the reasonable would stay reasonable,
        and probably be called ‘borgeois’ by socialists.

        The money would have to come from somewhere i.e. private companies and
        individual taxpayers. and a lot of it would be siphoned off as ‘rewards’ for
        people carrying out the failed policy.

        Like

  14. 18
    Albie Here says:

    Didn’t think NewLav needed either of these two plonkers,one a save the earth geek the other changes his mind depending on which way the winds blowing,they have our Dave you couldn’t get anymore left wing than him,he’s the only one that can turn blue into red,he’s doing better than his friend Bliar in getting more votes for the NewLav party .

    Like

  15. 19
    David 'Making It Up As I Go Along' Cameron says:

    Britian hardly fought in World War 2, infact we were just junior partners.

    Like

    • 30

      Yeah, nice one Dave, you fucking plant pot.

      Like

      • 63
        Can't remember my moniker says:

        Can’t improve on that, concrete.

        Like

        • 150
          Mr Ned says:

          I can, considering that the Americans were still actively funding the Nazis at that time and that they did not even enter the war until they saw that we stood a bloody good chance of winning, Dave’s remarks are utterly unforgivable.

          The USA never even declared war on Germany, but had to wait for Germany to declare war on them!

          I dunno, perhaps we should forgive Dave, after all, he was only schooled at Eton, I mean what historical facts do they even teach the kids there???

          What a twat! What a totally blunt and useless fucking tool he is turning out to be.

          I was hoping that Dave would turn up stateside and stand up for Britain.

          Gulf oil leak? yeah, American companies, American workers and America’s fault!

          Releasing the Lockerbie bomber? That was Scotland’s idea and anyway, the CIA would not have wanted all that evidence proving his innocence going before a public court now would they?

          Another investigation into Lockerbie?

          OK, as soon as you have another independent and truthful investigation into the nine-eleven attacks, in which British citizens were killed, but an investigation that is not then disowned as untruthful by it’s own commission members, both of the commission’s chairmen, their chief legal counsel and many of the witnesses whose evidence was ignored. Deal?

          Like

    • 38
      Mr Plum says:

      All the films show the yanks doing all the hard work

      Like

      • 74

        Yeah, too right, I’ve seen Saving Private Ryan and not a limey in sight at the front: so where were we back then, all selling nylons to the USAF groundcrew?

        Like

        • 91
          The Complete History of the World by Metro Goldwyn Mayer says:

          No we were to busy capturing that enigma machine from the U Boat which…….hold on according to the Yanks that was them as well. Daddy what eactly DID you do in the War ????

          Like

        • 121
          AC1 says:

          Or Poles, or Canadians.

          Like

    • 64

      I’m in no doubt that Britain was the junior partner among the allies. There is no question.

      The Russians and the Americans spent more money and supplied more manpower than Britain.

      The only point is that in 1940 after Dunkirk there was nothing happening other than the battle of Britain 600 airmen and over in north Africa we were running away from Rommel.

      In 1941 we had won the battle of Britain and were just about pushing Rommel back.

      The Americans came into the war in 1942,(as pearl harbour happened in Dec 1941) From 1942 to 1945 the war was taken over by the yanks and the Russians.

      Cameron is right about the contributions of Britain, just out on the year that’s all.

      Like

      • 157
        Mr Ned says:

        The Americans did NOT supply more manpower than us, and we had a lot more casualties than them too.

        But I agree that it was largely due to the Russians that Germany was eventually defeated. The Russian death toll was immense, but we in the West can be thankful that Stalin was even crazier than Hitler and just kept pouring more and more Russians into the Eastern front, tying up and draining the Nazi war machine.

        America largely just got in the way of our achievements. Eisenhower was particularly useless according to Monty!

        Like

      • 164
        marksman says:

        had Britain not stood up to the Germans when they entered Poland…the freedoms of the western worlds would not be what they are today. the Bristish role was central ….. the resources in the last two years were thanks to the americans and russians.

        Like

        • 179
          What if ? says:

          In the end it would have all come down to the Bomb. The Yanks got it first. If they hadnt entered the war the Nazis would probably have developed it first and despite Rusian sacrifices the Nazis would have won.

          Like

  16. 21
    We are Richer than you as our Dad knew how to hide his dosh from the Inland Revenue says:

    The Miliband Brothers Rubber Masks.

    Its a first! The rubber masks are nicer than the real thing!

    For free advice on how to hide your massive inheritance from your quasi-socialist Father give Ed or Dave a ring on

    “0800 do as we say… not as we do”

    Like

    • 34
      Desert Rat says:

      Dad did not get the opportunity to fuck the UK up totally (the family are serial traitors and chancers), so he groomed these two imbeciles, to do the job for him (and the soviet fortune he acquired, was laundered through trusts, to give them the funds they need to finish us off).

      We should fuck the lot off, back to where they came from or North Korea where their ideals are already in practice.

      Like

      • 41
        Check it outttttttttttttt says:

        Ever notice how socialists are never keen to practice what they preach.

        Like

        • 93
          The Primrosehill Dinner Party set says:

          How many times ! We dont want Socialism for us, its for the Little people like you.

          Like

    • 119
      AC1 says:

      He was a real socialist.

      Socialism boils down to keeping your own money and spending others for your benefit.

      Like

  17. 27
    4x2's are on the road to nowhere says:

    Who are the Millibands kidding.

    The muslims won’t put up with the facade for long.

    Like

  18. 29
    willsteed says:

    Jesus… they look like they’ve both been dug out of a graveyard.

    The over-ambitious swivel-eyed sons of a Jewish Marxist-intellectual (Shurely shome mishtake, oxymoron? Ed))

    ‘Ooh look at me daddy, you would be so proud. Ooh daddy look at me too, you would be even prouder. It’s like Kane and Abel or something… just the UK public have to put up with this bullshit, and hey, one of these egomaniac approval-from-daddy seeking loonies if going to be Leader of Opposition next.

    If you think of the characters involved, the Labour party has been totally f’d up since ’97… and now they’re going to dish out more of the same.

    That they just can’t see it is funny!

    Like

  19. 31
    Indigo says:

    O/T but the last 20 minutes of the “Today” programme running up to the weather forecast before 7.00am seemed to be one anti-Government item after another. If I hadn’t, last night, read several approving reports of Clegg’s performance at PMQs (“masterful” “confident”, etc), I’d have thought – from listening to the BBC this morning – that he had made a hash of it.

    I want to know, too, what Mandelson said to the Forgemasters employee who had the temerity to ask him about the funding in the context of the wider economic picture – the pillock of a Speaker, Bercow, cut Clegg off (for being “discursive”) as he was about to recount this. Does anyone know what the One Who Casts No Shadow said to the Forgemasters employee?

    Pillock, pillock Bercow.

    Like

    • 90
      amongymous says:

      Bercow now regularly cuts off Cameron or Clegg if they’re about the really embarrass the labour MPs yet never seems to stop the Labour leadership ranting away utter nonsense. Bercow is a stain on our constitution.

      Like

      • 101
        The Singing Ringing Tree says:

        Bercow is dismantling Parliaments ability to have open forensic debate. He is so puffed up with his own Hubris that he believes, as he is fond of saying, that he is doing the peoples work. His wife Silly Bercow is just another on the make opportunistic chancer.

        Like

        • 167
          Rev. Cuntwatcher says:

          sally bercow is a silly tart who should learn to engage the brain before operating the mouth.

          Like

    • 127
      Southern Softy says:

      Berkow was a total c’unt yesterday.
      And the Berkow tart was a total waste of space on QT last week.
      I hope she gave her fee to charidee.
      Oh, yes – charidee begins at home. of course.

      Like

  20. 32
    Tom says:

    Stupid, inane comments from the same usual morons above. It was this arrogance that kept us out of power for 18 years. The Labour leadership DOES matter and it’s silly to suggest otherwise. We should all be hoping the worst candidate wins, but I fear the younger Miliband will galvanise them and offer a serious threat to the coalition.

    Like

    • 40
      Check it outttttttttttttt says:

      The coalition are their own worse enemies, you could put Nick Griffin as Labour Leader and they would still galvanise.

      Like

    • 53
      Desert Rat says:

      How to win friends and influence people

      Like

    • 55
      South of the M4 says:

      Actually the best candidate should win for the ensured future of democracy – just there isn’t one.

      Like

    • 69
      Engineer says:

      Interesting piece of trolling. “…that kept us out of power for 18 years.” That was Thatcher and Major keeping you out of power, wasn’t it? To the great benefit of the nation…..

      Like

    • 161
      Mr Ned says:

      Which “US” was out of power for 18 years, cos it definitely was NOT the tories.

      Labour were only in power for 13 very long disastrous years. It was 18 years since the tories last won a general election, but they did not win the election in 1992 and then immediately hand power over to labour.

      Like

    • 169
      Rev. Cuntwatcher says:

      Oh Tom Tom the farmer’s son…don’t get your knickers in a twist..

      how about abbott suported by balls ? …can’t you see the vision in that ?

      Ed with his tongue so far up Abbott’s booty he’ll need a plank strapped
      across his arse to stop him falling in.

      Like

  21. 35
    welsh rarebit says:

    can I bring to your attention an increasing problem over UK skies. Today an MP has argued for low flying military aircraft to be banned. No doubt he will be ridiculed and laughed at as is usual in the UK but he has a point

    http://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/2010/07/22/low-flying-jets-making-us-deaf-and-should-be-banned-says-mp-elfyn-llwyd-55578-26905139/

    However, the point of interest is that the UK government allows, at no charge, the pilots of 16 other countries to train in our airspace, including Germany, which bans low flying in its own airspace. Just who does this government think it is and who does it really serve?

    Like

  22. 37
    Sir William Waad says:

    It’s an Ed to Ed contest.

    Like

  23. 42
    Worst day yet for coalition ? says:

    In PR terms*, probably.

    Cam and Clegg always warned there would be “bumps in the road” for the new politics, but it’s worth recapping on today’s wee string of triumphs:

    * Clegg hardens up Afghan pull-out, to say: “Let me be absolutely clear that we will see our troops withdrawn from Afghanistan from a combat role by 2015.” Military sources say it’s a mistake to be so categoric.

    * Clegg says that the Iraq war was “illegal”. Senior Tories disagree, No. 10 says DPM was speaking in a personal capacity.

    * No. 10 says we’ll have to wait for Chilcot to hear a verdict on the legality of the war. Er, but as any student of Chilcot will tell you (and I am one, for my sins), the inquiry has specifically said it will not provide such a ‘Yes/No’ verdict.

    * Cameron decides to help out in the gaffe-stakes by declaring: “We were the junior partner in 1940 when we were fighting the Nazis.” Churchill spins in grave.

    * Michael Howard attacks Ken Clarke’s “foolish” claims that prison numbers are less important to crime levels than economic booms

    * Tories brief that Cable’s graduate tax is not going to happen in the way he thinks

    * Lansley U-turn on death tax upsets backbench Tories

    http://waugh.standard.co.uk/2010/07/worst-day-yet-for-coalition.html

    Like

    • 125
      moriarty says:

      Regarding the ‘in 1940′ quote : Watch the Sky news video and right after he says ‘in 1940′ something (a correction?) has been clearly edited out of the interview.

      Like

    • 170
      Mr Ned says:

      Yes it probably was a pretty crap day for the coalition, but let’s keep it in perspective.

      A few gaffes in a couple of speeches is not the same as deliberately ruining a nation, committing war crimes, killing, injuring and displacing millions of innocent lives, attempting to enslave the British population in a totalitarian surveillance society and get all the people addicted to state dependency ruining the economy for decades in the process.

      So Clegg told the truth about what he perceives the legal status of the Iraq invasion was. That is not a fuck-up, in fact most people will probably find the honesty refreshing.

      As for the Graduate tax, well that is a policy still in progress and the coalition were always going to have differences on it, but on examination, the differences are not that great.

      As for Cameron’s fuck up about 1940… yeah that sucks and he made a tit of himself. But it’s just a wrong remark. It is not fucking the country backwards like labour did.

      Like

  24. 44
    Engineer says:

    Interesting choice of illustrative photo, Guido.

    The Millipedes (and others) are busy telling everyone how much they didn’t agree with all sorts of things done by the government in which they served, and how much that qualifies them for leadership.

    Meanwhile, Cameron and Co. are getting stuck into sorting out the mess the country’s in after 13 years of Millipedes et. al.

    Cameron, it seems, has fired up the Quattro…..

    Like

  25. 54
    Punter says:

    Follow the money. It really is that simple.

    Like

  26. 56
    Sarah Tweet says:

    @KateMcCandlish am writing book about my own experience at no10 to publish next year – so the writing time is now

    Like

    • 58
      Sarah Twat, the Twitty Totty says:

      How do you spell ‘page 1′ ?

      Like

    • 107
      Lord Mandleson of Backstabbing says:

      “…o the writng time is now”

      Sorry my love the writing time was several months ago to allow the publication last week in order to maximise profit. By the time your book is ready to come out no one will be interested .

      Like

    • 118
      Down with Brown! says:

      I’m sure the book will be dedicated to the love of Sarah’s life…….

      Lord Paul.

      Like

    • 168
      Sir William Waad says:

      I’ll wait until it ‘s available in Poundland.

      Like

    • 174
      Twitterlugs says:

      leaked extract from sarah’s draft chapter..’Gordon Gets It’.

      As Gordon opened his trousers I knew I had to give that a miss at all costs…so I told him that was a toy and he should just turn round and lean over the sofa…He did and got the biggest dildo mothercare had got squarely up his dusterbox…. he gasped so I shoved harder until he just stammered…..ohhhhhhhhhhhh ohhhhhh ohhh oo o.

      The very next day I had my own protection officer. Gordon never sniffed around my back door again.

      Like

  27. 59
    Can't remember my moniker says:

    “Much of the electorate will vote on character and personality.”

    ∑ < 1

    Like

    • 98
      D Millipede says:

      Citizens will warm to me when there is an EU directive forcing them to like me.

      Like

      • 105
        AC1 says:

        Not so far from the truth…

        D Millipede wants a “Carbon card” to swipe and record EVERY action you do, and is fully signed up to the AGW scam.

        There’s also an EU push to jail those highlighting that the theory of AGW has been falsified.

        Like

        • 126

          ‘There’s also an EU push to jail those highlighting that the theory of AGW has been falsified’.

          Linky linky?

          Like

          • Mr Ned says:

            I read about that initially on the whatsupwiththat blog (normally a superb climate realist blog) where it was a story taken from the B&P website. As soon as it was realised that this was from that site, WUWT took this story down from their site. (WUWT being an American site, they were not aware of the low likelihood of truth on the B&P website.)

            I went to the B&P site to see if there was any merit to this claim and even their site could not back up that claim, only suggesting that n1ck G had been made aware of it as his capacity of being an MEP.

            I still maintain that this claim should go in the “pinch of salt” category until further proof can be provided that the EU intends to breach their own human rights laws to imprison someone for believing a scientific theory that runs counter to the CAGW (Catastrophic Anthropological Global Warming) theory.

            Like

  28. 67
    angelnstar says:

    BREAKING NEWS: Ken Livingstone formulates a radical new strategic policy to beat Boris.

    http://cyberboris.wordpress.com/2010/07/22/ken-stages-media-protest-against-his-own-policy/

    He attacks and supports a policy decision at the same time.

    Like

  29. 68
    Gone Fuckin Mnetal says:

    To Be Honest , They are all white middle aged and marxists (apart from fat but ) , They all take down to us (they know best ) , Some have links to the violent left , One or 2 have links to 9/11 truthers , One is a known bully , Can anyone tell me what makes any of them fit to possibly be primeminster?

    Like

    • 72
      Can't remember my moniker says:

      .

      Like

    • 83

      Since Brown got the job the bar has been set so low they all seem a bit overqualified.

      Like

    • 153
      nope says:

      they’re Blairites just like Dave and Nick are

      Like

    • 178
      Mr Ned says:

      9/11 truthers? Like the official commission you mean?

      Or you don’t think we should know the truth about 9/11? What is wrong with the truth? Why attack people who ONLY want the truth? Is that not what we all want? or do you prefer the Government telling lies?

      Can you tell me what the truth is regarding nine-eleven? could you point me in the direction of the truth?

      Because when even the co-chairmen, AND the chief legal counsel, AND many of the members of and witnesses to the OFFICIAL nine-eleven commission now refute that the official report is the truth, and they claim to have been impeded in their pursuit of truth, AND THAT THE REPORT IS NOT AN ACCURATE PORTRAYAL OF ALL THAT HAPPENED THAT DAY How the FUCK am I supposed to know exactly what DID happen that day?

      Go ahead, point me to the truth, because all I can find is BULLSHIT incomplete conspiracy theories and that INCLUDES the official version.

      Like

  30. 71
    NeverRed says:

    Why is there only one monopolies commission?

    Like

  31. 79
    fanny batter says:

    How much more of this fucking crap is there to go? I don’t give a toss if they choose Torture Miliwank with his smirk and bum fluff moustache or the other one who sounds like he’s speaking with a mouthful of trifle; just get on with it.

    Like

  32. 85
    Gone Fuckin Mental says:

    So we have had a few gaffes , BBC was going mental over Cleggs Iraq blunder , And Dave said we was junior partner in ww2 , Fuckin hell , Still at least i ant throwing bricks at the tv like i was whenever Former pm Brown ( How did he get to the highest office in the land still baffles me) was in office .

    The need for soundbites is fucking annoying , Spin must end , But it wont .

    In good news , Premier leauge clubs are banning vuvuzelas from the grounds

    Like

  33. 87
    Penfold says:

    A choice selection of marxists, champagne socialists, nutters, thieves, pickpockets and self delusional, self centred, egotistical twats.

    Does it matter?

    No.

    The fools in the electorate will vote one of the slime balls back into power some time in the future having forgotten the mess that we’re in now.

    One thing is clear though, not one of ‘em was a backer or friend of Gordo, and all resisted fanatically the manner of Gordo’s economic reign.

    So perhaps we should add mendacious tossers to the list. ;-)

    Like

  34. 88
    Winston Churchill RIP says:

    I’m spinning full rudder down in this grave.

    Thanks to whippersnapper Cameron.

    Like

  35. 93
    Why is a police car outside my house says:

    My talents are truly wasted sometimes.

    Like

  36. 97
    Gone Fuckin Mental says:

    And another thing ! , Caught a bit of Parliment channel yesterday and they where debating acadamy bill, Funny thing was Labour where opposing them because of mixed results , But when in power we where told they where the best thing since slied bread , Do labour have any morals ?

    Like

    • 108
      Sir William Waad says:

      There was a time when Labour was the party of reform and progress in education, but those days are now long gone. They are now the party of reaction. Don’t change anything, they say, but build shiny new palaces for nothing to happen in. It’s almost as though they wanted to keep working-class children in the ghetto. Perhaps they do; it secures their vote. Most things Labour has done in education has lowered social mobility. Inflating university education so that you need a degree in order to work as an office clerk or gardener, while ensuring that poorer kids are rigidly segregated by postcode in secondary education and can’t afford to go to Uni has killed their prospects for the next 50 years. Sure Start was a good idea but any advantage it gives is lost when the children sink into the secondary school morass.

      Like

      • 177
        Twitterlugs says:

        Sir Willie …..Education is best driven by it’s students…let the clever rise to whatever heights they may achieve…ensure the base education level is better than average and don’t dictate teacher’s horizons …indeed encourage them to foster real talent and promote it to promulgate that layer of intellectual cream for which this country is famous.

        Like

  37. 99
  38. 104
    100th says:

    100th

    Like

  39. 109
    Tim Lovejoy says:

    Hi , My Names Tim Lovejoy and i am a legend

    Like

  40. 117
    Anonymous says:

    Here’s a wild thought; maybe, just maybe a pair of cosmopolitan internationalists wouldn’t have the best interests of the British people at heart.

    Like

  41. 124
    Gone Fuckin mental says:

    Gotta admit i miss Billy hauge at pmqs , he is so much more witty and his jokes are better

    Like

    • 134
      Anonymous says:

      He’s good at Judo too

      Like

    • 182
      Apagusta says:

      cracking brain….

      I rate his ‘Blair as potential European President Speech’ in the
      commons as one of the best ever…simply superb.

      Am delighted to see him flourish as foreign secretary
      a role to which, I believe, he is ideally suited.

      Like

  42. 129
    CMD Camertwat says:

    I think it is important that I tell you I have a strong grasp of the history of WW2.

    It enables me to plan effective future strategies with our allies.

    The EUSSR History Department helps me verify facts.

    Like

  43. 132
    Gone Fuckin mental says:

    “Things can only get better “

    Like

  44. 137

    Where did David Milliband find the cash to buy his brother out of the £800k Quimrose Hill house?

    Like

    • 162
      Groucho says:

      Or for that matter, where did Mandelson find the cash for his £2.5m London house?

      I’m sure its all above board, I mean its not as if he has had any dodgy mortgage dealings in the past or anything.

      Like

      • 181

        Mr Mandelson’s house was bought via various greased Russian/Rothschild palms. Of course, this is all 100% legitimate and entirely above board as you would expect. As was little Reinaldo’s passport.

        In any case he’s just too important for us at the station to do anything about it.

        Like

  45. 141
    Gone Fuckin mental says:

    The Aussies look shit ! the ashes are coming home in the winter !

    Like

  46. 144
    I can remember my moniker says:

    The Secretary of State announced that she will be:

    •Withdrawing state funding from the political blog site,Order Order);
    •Abolishing the Royal Commission on Political Blogging;
    •Abolishing the Political Blogging Advisory Council; and
    •Abolishing thePolitical Blogging Commons Commissioners.

    A sad day for us all on this site

    Like

    • 184
      the old Dufflebag says:

      tough titty its too late…the damage has been done…the cat is out of the bag…they’ve blown it again…freedom of the net..yeah power to the people..well some of them anyway.

      Like

    • 187
      Can't remember my moniker says:

      I am glad that I can’t remember my moniker if this is the sort of shyte that someone who can remember their’s writes.

      Like

  47. 158
    Pick a Blair, any Blair says:

    how will the electorate cope when asked to choose between the 3 Blair clones at the next election?
    I like the Dave heir to Blair…No! the Nick Blair is a even more Blairish…But the MiliBlair sounds just like him?

    pointlessness incarnate

    Like

    • 185
      the old Dufflebag says:

      You need specsavers honeybunch….cameron is nothing like blair and nick is just an add-on…you know a bogof offer.

      Blair’s currency was built on a mythical new labour movement spun to the great unwashed who swallowed the guff it spouted like feeding guppies.

      men like prescott become lords, the chingrinner goes awol, mandelson screws everyone over…scum well gone and a movement dreamt up in the spires of uni by Tony Gordon and Peter goes down the squitterbox…good riddance

      Like

      • 186
        Apagusta says:

        David Cameron doesn’t claim to be a messiah just someone who is unafraid to acknowledge the privilege he enjoyed as a son of discerning parents and a man without a mystical agenda.

        Nice to see the Eton education shine through despite the slightly shy manner.

        Has the ability to come across well internationally and with Hague..will be influential in the medium term. A secong term will allow him to develop
        a broader vision of the UKs place in the new world order and act accordingly.

        Like

  48. 192
    nimeataur says:

    how the hell did we get stuck with the geek brothers one gabbles his words like a strangulated goose, the other has the back bone of a jelly fish the country needs better than this ,either of these representing the country as ably as either cameron or clegg is wishful thinking . both are born loosers not matter what people like the deranged simon[ polly toynbee dressed as a man } heffer think

    Like

    • 196
      john from hull says:

      And boy are they ugly, they’d almost give stone faced brown a run for the money…

      Like

  49. 198
    wrightyboy says:

    Aren’t the Milliband Brothers dopplegangers for the Maxwell (Robert) Boys?

    Like

  50. 200
    Ch4rl3s H4rdwidg3 says:

    What a pair of twisty faced inbred fucking freaks, they look like 5x2s to me.

    Like

  51. 201
    Narco Gene Hunt says:

    Two of the ugliest bastards on the planet.

    Like

  52. 202

    [...] up a gear this week, with our predictions from our model, published on Tuesday, sparking much heated debate – following Will’s conclusion that Ed Miliband was the narrow favourite, thanks to [...]

    Like


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Dominic Cummings blasts Sir Jeremy:

“Heywood is more important than anyone in the cabinet, apart from Cameron and Osborne, and arguably more important than Osborne. He sits right next to the prime minister. He has him completely by the balls and Cameron does not do anything without Heywood’s permission.”



Left on Left says:

The lefties are attacking because the panellist is a millionaire and lives in a London home worth upwards of two million. Someone had best tell them he’s called Ed Miliband.


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