Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Unite Union Funded LabourList Website Predicting Tory Victory

Charlie Whelan will be wanting his money back: the once McBride/Draper controlled website now under new management has gone way off message tonight.  Advised by Labour supporting YouGov pollster Peter Kellner, the website is using various statistical methods to forecast the May 6 result. Using polynomial trending (no, Guido doesn’t understand it either) they are forecasting a 9% lead for the Tories on polling day. In other words, a comfortable Tory majority…

Twitter Blows Spin : Labour Fakes Up Gordon Support

The first Twitter based new media gaffe of the campaign is a revelation. PPCs and activists of all colours have been out in force today, the Tories and the Liberal Democrats invited them to speeches by their leaders and press released the whole thing as just that – speeches to the party faithful.

It was only Gordon that felt the need to attempt to create a “spontaneous” Potemkin Village of support. The news channels are reporting Gordon being “cheered off” by the public who were shouting “good luck Gordon” as he departed St. Pancras station. Funny then that there is a remarkable similarity between the crowd below and the one leafleting for Labour at tube stations earlier this morning. It seems no one has bothered to check that this “crowd” was in fact a group of Young Labour hacks and Labour Students.

In what will, Guido suspects, be a recurring theme this election, Twitter lets slip what really happened. Notice how the party activists, (including PPC Emily Benn, the President of the National Union of Students Wes Streeting, the chairman of Young Labour Sam Tarry and über-spinning totty Ellie Gellard) aren’t wearing their Labour T-shirts in order to appear like a random gathering of ordinary voters. As if genuine members of the public would cheer Gordon…

The Circus Begins

It was a media circus this morning. ITN, Sky and the BBC had cameras at College Green, Millbank, County Hall, Downing Street and of course in the air. They have now retired to the adventure playground structure erected overlooking Parliament. Despite the obvious focus today on the Prime Minister, the other parties have fought hard to get attention.  The Tories were savvy enough to slot Cameron’s speech into the coverage when they knew Brown would be on the move, but Clegg hasn’t had a look in.

Other attention seeking efforts didn’t go so well…

State of the Campaigns

Whelan Promises to Play Nicely

Just last week the Labour Party website was proudly displaying dozens of class based attacks on their “People’s Poster” section. Charlie Whelan has been doing the media rounds this morning, not only is he the sponsor but clearly becoming the mouth-piece too. On what authority exactly is the union official, who was cc’d in on the Smeargate emails, speaking on behalf of the Labour Party? He claims that Labour’s election battle “would not be dirty” and that David Cameron’s background won’t be part of Labour’s campaign…

Something tells Guido that won’t quite be what happens.

Its Off

Quote of the Day

In 1962 John F. Kennedy said…

“It is a paradoxical truth that tax rates are too high and tax revenues are too low and the soundest way to raise the revenues in the long run is to cut the rates now … Cutting taxes now is not to incur a budget deficit, but to achieve the more prosperous, expanding economy which can bring a budget surplus.”


Seen Elsewhere

Ministry of Justice Loses Death Inquiry Data “In the Post” | TechnoGuido
Europe’s Crisis is Cameron’s Opportunity | Speccie
Sajid Javid is the Ultimate Thatcherite | Buzzfeed
Ed Argar Selected in Dorrell Seat | Leicester Mercury
88% of New Labour MPs Are Union Bods | Mark Wallace
World’s Second Most Popular Porn Site is Infecting You | Techno Guido
Newspapers No Longer Willing to Toe Party Line | Roy Greenslade
Introducing the New CapX | CapX
Burnham’s Newsnight Debacle Dissected | Dan Hodges
How I Survived Dry January | Nigel Farage
Greens are Commies in Disguise | Andrei Rogobete


Rising Stars
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Dan Hodges on Labour unity

“We’ve heard a lot over the past few years about how Miliband has united Labour. But he has not united Labour. He has pacified Labour. He has placed it into a medically induced coma following the trauma of the party’s 2010 defeat.”


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