YouGov Archives - Guido Fawkes Guido Fawkes

There Was No Labour Conference Bounce

Whilst Corbynistas grabbed onto a BMG poll that showed a post-conference Labour bounce, it looked like an outlier and the new poll from YouGov suggests it was very much so. This latest YouGov poll will not reflect any movement post the Tory conference. Given the general consensus was that the Tories had a neutral to positive conference we should not expect a downward move. It is a reflection on how badly Corbyn is perceived by voters that 8 years into Tory government the opposition still trails.

It is a reflection on how bad Theresa May is perceived by voters that she still trails don’t know for Prime Minister by 5 percentage points…

October 5, 2018 at 11:46 am

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Labour Now Six Points Behind Tories

YouGov have found that the Tories have opened up a six point lead in the week of Labour Party Conference. YouGov was the first pollster to spot Labour’s poll advance during the 2017 election. They have had the Conservatives in the lead consistently for the last two months. Not that you’d think that given the media narrative…

Field work was done on Monday and Tuesday, so it precedes Corbyn’s speech. Will Jezza move the needle in the next poll?

September 28, 2018 at 10:16 am

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Tories Take Lead By Default

Labour’s latest anti-Semitism crisis appeared to be cutting through to the public this week, with the party down 3% and Tories up 1%. It’s worth noting that the Tories have stayed stagnant whilst Labour have fallen significantly behind, in true Theresa May style, scraping through by standing still. Signs of life over at UKIP as they rise 1% to 7%. Corbyn makes a personal new low on best PM, with just 22% reckoning he’s the best choice for Downing Street.

All this highlights the stupidity of CCHQ keeping the Boris row rumbling on…

August 10, 2018 at 9:26 am

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Trump Voters Trust Him

This YouGov/CBS poll suggests Trump supporters trust him more than their own mothers. The opposition media are so deranged in their attacks it just isn’t working…

July 30, 2018 at 4:22 pm

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Tory MPs to Reflect Over Recess on Who Can Beat Corbyn

The YouGov/Sunday Times polling this weekend which put various potential Tory leaders against Corbyn to voters has given much food for thought for Tory MPs as they head off for recess. With Labour now pulling ahead (41% against 36%) in polling since the Chequers Plan sell-out, the question of who can beat Corbyn post-May is becoming urgent…

Despite a continuous monstering in many of the pro-Remain papers by green-eyed hacks, Boris remains the Tories’ best hope according to YouGov. With Boris as leader the Tories would now be tied (38% to 38%) with Corbyn’s Labour. With Mogg they trail Labour by 5%, with Gove, Saj and Hunt they would be double digits behind. Something for Tory MPs in marginal seats to reflect on over the holidays.

Boris still has the ability to reach parts of the electorate that no other Tory can, he is the reason the Leave campaign won the referendum. When Tory MPs return to their constituencies, this polling will focus minds in the coming months…

Source: YouGov

July 24, 2018 at 1:12 pm

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‘None of the Above’ Voters’ Choice for PM

“Don’t Know” is now pulling ahead of Theresa May with Jeremy Corbyn still third in a two-horse race. Voters know they are between the red devil and a deep blue sell-out…

July 10, 2018 at 4:06 pm

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YouGov: Tory Membership’s Confidence in May Plummets

In the space of just nine months the number of Leave-backing Tories with confidence in Theresa May has fallen to barely half (52%). The much fewer Remain backing Tories who have confidence is stable (78%). The number of normally loyal Leave-backing Tories who want her to go immediately has jumped from 6% to 25%. Incidentally, these figures correlate quite well with the ConservativeHome readers panel numbers. Dangerous times for Theresa…

July 9, 2018 at 2:33 pm

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Don’t Know Level With May

May is level on best PM with ‘don’t know’ according to figures from the latest YouGov polling released today:

May 37 (-1)

Don’t know 37 (+2)

Corbyn 24 (-3)

Corbyn still third in a two-horse race. Just about sums it up.

UPDATE: Good numbers for the Tories though, and dire for Labour. Despite Brexit?

estminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (+2)
LAB: 37% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (-1)
UKIP: 3% (-)
GRN: 3% (+1)

via @YouGov, 04 – 05 Jun
Chgs w/ 29 May

— Britain Elects (@britainelects) June 8, 2018

June 8, 2018 at 11:36 am

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Premiership Two Horse Race, Corbyn Third

As Labour polling numbers drop back, Corbyn’s leadership credentials are even worse. In what is effectively a two-horse race, he is running third* to “None of the Above”.

*Hat-Tip: Oliver Kamm

May 22, 2018 at 1:20 pm

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Working Class Voters Abandon Labour For Tories

The pollster Ian Warren has spotted some interesting movement in today’s YouGov poll: the Tories now lead Labour 43-40 among working class C2DE voters. As recently as January Labour had a lead among C2DE voters of 46-35. That’s a huge reversal in five months, and it echoes the trend from the local elections. A reminder for Theresa May what working class voters think of Corbyn’s customs union betrayal?

May 10, 2018 at 4:45 pm

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Brexit Characters: Is Bond Really a Remainer?

Patrick Stewart told Marr yesterday today that Star Trek’s Jean-Luc Picard and the X-Men’s Charles Xavier would have voted Remain. Which reminds Guido that in the final weeks of the EU referendum YouGov asked Brits how they thought various fictional characters would vote. Basil Fawlty obviously would vote for Brexit, he’s probably chairman of his local UKIP branch. Sir Humphry is obviously a devious Remainer. Guido is pleased to see that for Sherlock Holmes the logic of Brexit is elementary. Surely James Bond, who risks his life for Queen and country, would not have any loyalty to the EU, an organisation run by foreign villains with the type of HQ that usually ends up exploding towards the end of the movie?

April 16, 2018 at 11:06 am

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Britain Still Backs Brexit 52% V 48%

This poll released last week shows 52% (43% + 9% “softer”) back Brexit. 48% don’t. Those numbers are familiar. Plus ça change…

April 9, 2018 at 9:17 am

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BBC’s Brexit Bias is Mainstream Perception of the Public

As BBC Radio 4 Today treats us yet again to the views of Michael Heseltine – a politician who was elected to office as recently as the last century – it seems appropriate to bring up the subject of the BBC’s Brexit bias yet again. Guido thinks the BBC managed to keep it balanced during the referendum campaign. Since June 2016 it has lost all sense of impartiality…

Political activists of all colours always complain that the BBC is biased, the BBC uses as a defence “we must be doing something right” if both sides complain. BBC Question Time usually has a 4 to 1 majority for Remainers week after week, that is not redeemed by regularly inviting Nigel Farage on. The Today programme serves up a daily breakfast of gloom and doom on Brexit negotiations, Newsnight follows suit. Listeners wake up and go to bed hearing the same lines…

People aren’t stupid, by a 3 to 1 more people think the BBC is anti – than pro Brexit, when over a quarter of the audience has come to the conclusion the BBC is biased there is a real problem, because if we don’t want to read the most partisan newspapers we don’t buy them. The BBC’s funding forces us all to pay for it and we expect to be impartial as a result. It is manifestly not perceived as a source of impartial information on this polarising issue.

March 2, 2018 at 9:25 am

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Tories Face London Wipe-Out

Labour have almost double the support of the Tories in London….

February 22, 2018 at 8:58 am

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Tory Voters Back May For the Moment

The public, and Tory voters in particular, would rather Theresa May stays in Downing Street than steps down, a new YouGov survey for WPI reveals today. Alternative leaders are likely to reduce support for the Tories. The poll finds:

69% of Conservative voters think Theresa May should continue as Prime Minister with only 18% saying that she should stand down;
Overall, 41% say she should remain in position and 34% say she should step down. That’s the same as in November last year (when YouGov asked exactly the same question, with 42% of people responding that she should continue as leader compared to 32% who disagreed.)
Leave voters are more supportive of Theresa May to stay (49%-32%) than those who voted to Remain (37%-38%);
Changing leaders would mean some voters might be more likely to vote Conservative (11%), but 20% would be less likely to vote for the party.

Reality check…

January 30, 2018 at 10:45 am

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YouGov: Brits Believe Her Majesty Backs Brexit

According to YouGov over three-quarters of those who expressed an opinion think Her Maj backs Brexit. Of course she does…

October 20, 2017 at 2:30 pm

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May & Corbyn Behind ‘Don’t Know’ for PM

The British public have come to a wise conclusion about who should be Prime Minister. None of the above…

October 13, 2017 at 2:42 pm

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YouGov Tory Member Poll: Borismania Back, Rudd Bombs

For all the attacks on him in the media and among Remainers over the last few weeks, YouGov finds Boris is the choice of Tory members to be the next leader. Ruth Davidson is in second place and Jacob Rees-Mogg is in third. Notably David Davis is some way behind on just 11%, while the Cameroon choice Amber Rudd is completely out of it on just 6%. Hammond is on a meagre 5%. Sobering for the Remain hope Rudd, and a reminder that the anti-Boris Remain media narrative does not reflect the views of Tory members…

H/T Sam Coates

September 28, 2017 at 10:56 pm

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Corbyn Third Best PM After ‘Don’t Know’

With all the Corbynmania of the true believers in Brighton it is often forgotten that Labour lost the general election against the worst campaigning Tory leader in living memory. It is worth reminding those outside the Brighton bubble that most voters still rate him behind ‘Don’t Know’ as the best Prime Minister. This speech is not going to change that…