UKIP Beat Tories to Second in Wythenshawe

The Guy Newsroom is celebrating last night’s by-election result after wagering a four-figure sum on UKIP coming second. The result was never in doubt and Mike “I’m perfectly happy Ed Miliband is leader” Kane is Labour’s new MP.

Labour: 13,261, 55.34% (+11.21%)

UKIP: 4,301, 17.95% (+14.51%)

Conservative: 3,479, 14.52% (-11.03%)

Liberal Democrat: 1,176, 4.91% (-17.44%)

The Lib Dems lost their deposit for the eighth time since 2010…

Contrary to Reports, UKIP Still On Course for Second

UKIP are having a tougher time than they expected in the Manchester by-election today, compared to their breakthrough in places like Rotherham. On the back of the latest polls, full expectation management seems to have finally kicked in and the narrative is about being neck and neck for third with the Tories. Meanwhile friends of Nigel Farage are a little more bullish, predicting they will come second with 18% of the vote. The LibDems might lose their deposit… 

Farage Does Drugs

faragedugs

“Last week, Nick Clegg returned from a trip to South America. Goodness knows what he smoked out there, because he actually made a couple of smart points. First, the so-called War on Drugs isn’t working. Second, we should appoint a royal commission to look into the alternatives. The fact is our current approach to drugs is neither practical nor effective. I strongly believe in promoting individual freedom – but I also strongly believe in reducing the public harm caused by drugs. As a parent as much as a politician, I say we have to accept that current policy has not achieved the reductions in crime or consumption that we’d hoped for. I know he slagged me off in this newspaper yesterday, but on this one I agree with Nick.”

Finally a politician with an interesting line

Peter Hain is concerned about UKIP

“We are in a four-party fight. Anyone who does not understand that is living on another planet. I don’t think anybody in the Westminster bubble should underestimate the depth of that disaffection against all of us, of whatever party.” 

Farage Accuses Labour of "Intimidatory" Tactics Complains to Electoral Commission Over Battle for Wythenshawe

UKIP’s battle to challenge Labour in Wythenshawe and Sale East is turning nasty. Farage has written to Jenny Watson, chair of the Electoral Commission, complaining that the current system of postal voting is biased in favour of UKIP’s opponents. He argues:

“I do not think democracy is being well served and fear that the voting process is now actually undermining the ability of constituents to hear and weigh-up the alternatives being offered in a considered fashion.

The problem is most acute when it comes to parliamentary by-elections. Our recent experience is that where the Labour Party is responsible for moving the writ, it has taken to condensing a campaign into the shortest legally-permitted time frame.

This means postal votes arrive in households within a few days of candidates being selected – often well before the mid-point in a campaign. In our experience people, for their own convenience, fill out and send off their postal votes swiftly…

So in practice in by-elections up to half the total turnout may have already voted by the halfway point in a campaign.

That cannot be healthy for democracy. Clearly it is also a development that biases the outcome in favour of the incumbent rather than parties, such as my own, that seek to place fresh alternatives before the electorate.”

He is also unhappy about electoral fraud and “intimidatory” tactics used by Labour doorsteppers.

“Very recently concerns have also been expressed to me about the work of an organisation called the Trade Union and Labour Party Liaison Organisation which has allegedly been transferring the addresses of postal vote applicants that trade unions have processed directly onto the Labour Party computer system.

I am also hugely concerned about the growing practice whereby canvassers representing the Labour Party arrive on doorsteps a very short time after the delivery of postal votes, offering to collect them. Such actions in my view can only be construed as mildly intimidatory, especially where the voters concerned are from vulnerable groups.”

One week to go…

Leaked Emails Reveal “UKIP Kidnapper” is Tory Member Newsnight Scoop Missed PM Welcoming Bhutto to the Party

Last night’s Newsnight scoop was bizarre for many reasons, not least their revelations that the UKIP Commonwealth Spokesman had been jailed for seven years. Mujeeb ur Rehman Bhutto was the leader of a gang who kidnapped the son of a wealthy businessman at gunpoint in Karachi in June 2004. The establishment’s favourite new mantra was wheeled out and lots of noise made about the make up of UKIP membership. Except someone didn’t do their homework, fully…

As these emails, just revealed by the Daily Politics, indicate, Bhutto is a member of the Conservative Party:

From: “David Cameron”
Date: 30 January 2014 12:44:35 GMT
To: Mujeeb.bhutto
Subject: Thank you for becoming a Member

Dear Mr Bhutto,

Firstly, let me offer you a very warm welcome to the Conservatives.

I’m delighted you have taken the decision to help us turn Britain around by becoming a Member of the Party. Your membership card will be posted out to you shortly (within the next month).

As a Member, you have a vital role to play. The Conservative-led Government has many challenges ahead before – and including – the next set of elections, but with your help we can continue to make the case for Conservative values.

The more who join us, the more we can achieve – so please email everyone you know who would be interested in becoming a Member of the Conservatives. Together, we can build a better future for Britain.

Thanks in advance for all your help,

David Cameron

This is being blamed on an automated online application. Which cannot be said for Leeds Conservatives following up the email from Dave to further welcome Mr Bhutto back into Tory arms:

From: “Robert Winfield” 
Date: 30 January 2014 23:59:38 GMT
To: Mujeeb.bhutto
Subject: Leeds Central Conservatives

Mujeeb
I am just dropping you a brief e mail to say that I was delighted to learn that you have rejoined the Conservative Party. I hope to speak to you soon but unfortunately I am just getting over flu.

I assume this means that you have severed your connections with UKIP.

Best wishes

Robert Winfield

This is not the first time that UKIP have got into trouble with Tory friends. No one noticed the gay floods chap when he was a Conservative councillor, and the member accused by the Mail on Sunday of being in the National Front was actually a Tory when she made the incendiary comments. And let’s not forget Roger Helmer. As Farage said the other day, “if you accept defectors from the Conservative Party you will always have embarrassments.”

UPDATE: Shapps was just confronted with these emails on the Daily Politics, it seems the Tories had spotted the issue here. Though it seems no one told Leeds…

UPDATE II: Poor Bhutto has been booted out already. Tories say:

“Bhutto is not a member. He applied, got the normal follow ups, and we reserve the right to refuse and have done that.”

Normal follow ups including a personalised welcome thanking them for re-joining? Glad that’s all cleared up then…

Red UKIP

No doubting which voters UKIP’s campaign in Wythenshawe and Sale East is targeting:

Revealed: Ed Miliband’s Bollinger bolsheviks

Because UKIP’s tech tycoon candidate John Bickley is definitely not a millionaire…

Meanwhile, this UKIP poster being driven around promises to “protect your benefits”.

Going after Labour votes in the North is the only thing that makes sense from UKIP’s perspective, but trying to be all things to all people will have many of their voters down south thinking again…

Farage Wants to “Be a Bit Naughty” With a Fiery Italian

And it’s a bloke. The UKIP leader says he wants to form a European “dream team” with Italian comedian and anti-corruption blogger-turned-politician Beppe Grillo. Guido has always had a soft spot for the charismatic Grillo, best known for organising huge anti-establishment rallies – and for his unkempt silver bouffant. Farage reckons he could forge an alliance with Grillo’s Five Star Movement after May’s European elections: “We can have a bit of fun, we can be a bit naughty. The Five Star Movement believe in asking the people what they think. All I can say is, ‘Hooray!’” Bloggers turning to politics? It’ll never catch on.

WATCH: Nigel Farage Gives UKIP Weather Forecast

Well played.

UKIP Choose Dream Candidate in Wythenshawe

UKIP have found the perfect man to run in the Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election. John Bickley is ex-Labour, grew up in the constituency, is a self-made businessman and the son of a trade unionist. What’s more, he seems to have absolutely no internet presence whatsoever. Does he even exist?

WATCH: Farage Hit on Head With Placard By Protester

Not in Scotland this time, but Kent. Where’s Godders when you need him?

Farage is Prime Time Greek Hero

Greece has taken over the EU presidency and Nigel Farage welcomed it in style. His speech attacking the Greek political classes got shown on prime time news in Greece. With hundreds of thousands of views the YouTube of his speech telling Greece’s Prime Minister Antonis Samaras that his country is now under foreign control “run by Big Business, Big Banks and Big Bureaucrats” has gone viral in Greece…

5 Top Tips for UKIP

Amusing video from The Telegraph’s Tim Stanley.

Manchester By-Election: The Numbers

Sadly Labour MP Paul Goggins has died. The former Home Office Minister’s held the safe-Labour Manchester seat of Wythenshawe and Sale East with a majority of 7,575:

2010 Result:
Conservative: 10412 (25.6%)
Labour: 17987 (44.1%)
Lib Dem: 9107 (22.3%)
BNP: 1572 (3.9%)
UKIP: 1405 (3.4%)
MAJORITY: 7575 (18.6%)

UKIP will be wanting that second place…

Graph via UK Polling Report.
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O’Flynn Makes it Official with UKIP

Patrick O’Flynn of the Express will spin, officially, for UKIP as their new Director of Communications. O’Flynn is already a UKIP candidate for the EU elections, though he’s taking on one of the hardest jobs in Westminster: dealing with ‘fruitcakes, loonies and closet racist’ stories. […] Read the rest

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Rich’s Monday Morning View

Watch: Murnaghan surprises Farage with Enoch

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Rich’s Monday Morning View

You can buy the original artwork here.
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UKIP Polling Up to 30% in Key Swing Seats Donor Buys Page Ad in Telegraph to Rebut Ashcroft

Four more constituency polls from Survation out this morning, bankrolled by UKIP’s millionaire bookie donor Alan Bown. UKIP are up to 28% in Folkestone and Hythe, 30% in Great Yarmouth and 27% in Bognor Regis & Littlehampton. In Crewe and Nantwich they are only on 11%, but the Tories fall behind Labour into second.[…] Read the rest

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Godfrey Bloom's Seasonal Greeting

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Woolwich Terror Suspect "Intrigued By This Guy Nigel Farage"

Woolwich terror suspect Michael Adebolajo’s warped police interview statements are being shown in court. He says he is “intrigued by this guy called Nigel Farage”, and that if Farage were in charge “we can negotiate on anything”. Someone should show him Farage’s statement in the aftermath of the attack:

“We are all left horrified by this appalling attack on the peaceful streets of London, and our thoughts and prayers go out to the family of the young man who was killed and those who were affected. 

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