Despite the warnings of the doomsters and gloomsters in the media, Brexit voters do not regret their decision to leave. In new polling for UK in a Changing Europe, 22% of leave voters think Brexit will work out “very well” in the long-run and 39% think it will work out well. Just 3% of leavers think it will go “very badly”. The figures get even more stark when “don’t know” responses are removed. A stonking 72% think Brexit will go well to just 14% predicting it will go badly.
Tom Tugendhat’s candid words at a UK in a Changing Europe event last night may not have done his leadership ambitions any favours. Responding to quick-fire questions, the Security Minister expressed some views which won’t be well-received amongst the Conservative membership. Firstly, he said GB News “tells me the best days are behind me” and is “pretty negative really”, before giving a resounding answer when asked to choose between Prince Harry and Piers Morgan:
“Prince Harry, whatever you think of him, Prince Harry served us in combat and I can tell you I served alongside him and he was not treated any differently from everybody else until people worked out who he was… he was incredibly courageous and he served with distinction. And since he’s left, the Invictus Games has changed the lives of thousands of veterans around the world. And I’ll always be grateful for that”.
Not all of Tom’s positions were so wet: he preferred Greggs over Pret, sausage over tofu, professed his love for Clarkson’s Farm and admitted “I’m a sucker for a minibar”. He also ran the risk of breaking rank with Rishi as he avoided saying maths was more important than english and expressed support for cutting taxes. After recently serving a driving ban, Tom also responded in good humour when asked to pick between a bike or car. “You’ll understand at the moment… Definitely bike”.
Aside from partygate yesterday, the government celebrated the two year anniversary of Brexit, publishing a 100-page document of the victories so far and plans for future Brexit-enables successes. According to Steve Barclay and the Cabinet Office, the government’s achieved 76 policy changes so far that wouldn’t have been possible within the EU. Most are sound and should be shouted about, some were rather tenuous…
Wonks were quick to share their two cents on the paper and the government’s stated plans to use Brexit to improve the country’s regulations and legislation.
The CPS welcomed the white paper, particularly supporting the intention to make Britain the best regulated economy in the world; as well as ensuring regulators take into consideration competition, growth and innovation when assessing the impact of decisions; simplifying burdens for SMEs; and the freeports agenda. They did, however, criticise the abandoning of a ‘one in, two out’ pledge on new regulations…
“Fixing our regulatory system is one of the great opportunities of Brexit. But that needs to apply to all regulations, not just those inherited from Brussels.
The £1 billion target for cutting post-Brexit regulation is headline-grabbing but relatively unambitious. We need more detail on what will replace the current system of regulatory budgeting and business impact targets, which are due to expire. It is especially concerning to note that a one-in-two-out system was considered but rejected – apparently because it will be too difficult to implement alongside Net Zero.”
The IEA were more critical, saying the government “is talking a good talk on cutting red tape yet failing to walk the walk”:
“The Prime Minister is making the right noises about tackling the regulatory burden all the while introducing laws and regulations that go in the opposite direction.”
“Brexit was meant to provide us with greater freedom not even more burdensome rules derived from Whitehall rather than Brussels. From online safety to Net Zero, it’s hard to see how the government is sticking to its own principle of regulating only when “absolutely necessary”.”
UK In A Changing Europe’s Anand Menon accused the document of “missing the trade-offs”, and it appeared the report had been published “because of where the Prime Minister is”. Guido presumed it was more to do with the two year anniversary of Brexit…
Leave MPs are united on what they want from Brexit while Remainers are hopelessly divided and cannot agree a line. Not just the conclusion of anyone who watched yesterday’s Commons debate, this is the finding of a new survey by Queen Mary University. While there is a near consensus among Leavers on the importance of controlling immigration, Remainers are split on whether to prioritise the single market (47%) or border controls (31%). On paying into the EU budget, again there is a near consensus against among Leavers, while Remainers are divided. As Professor Anand Menon says: “Remainers are much more divided over what to prioritise – which may well make them less able to shape the debate”. A brief look at the varying positions of Anna Soubry, Chuka Umunna, Owen Smith, Ed Miliband, Jeremy Corbyn and the two LibDem factions tells you much the same.
Another titbit in Philip Cowley’s survey: 70% of Labour MPs say they are now less supportive of referenda:
That’s democracy for ya…