Controversial Italian Pollster Now Has Liz Powering 20 Points Ahead

When Italian pollster Techne last did this poll it found only a 5 point gap between Rishi and Liz, it now finds Liz Truss’s lead over Rishi Sunak among Conservative supporters is up 15 points in a week – she is now 20 points ahead. Guido notes that Techne says “supporters” in their press release, not members.

Among all UK voters her lead is up 9 points to 11 points ahead after being tied just two weeks ago. Rishi’s popularity is declining with both the public (-4) and Tories (-7) whereas her popularity is increasing as the contest continues. When Techne’s last poll showed a 5 point gap the Rishi campaign highlighted it and falsely claimed it was private polling commissioned by Team Liz, a falsehood repeated by The Times. Let’s see if The Times splashes on Techne’s polling this time…

mdi-timer 5 August 2022 @ 09:54 5 Aug 2022 @ 09:54 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Liz Now More Popular With Public and Tories

As the campaign continues Liz’s name recognition is improving with the public, it seems the more the public see of her, the more they like her. Liz Truss has now taken the lead among all voters for the first time in the race to be the next Tory leader and Prime Minister. Rishi now trails by two points on the issue he has pressed hardest, national popularity.

Over the past week, she has gained two points to be the choice of 35% across the UK compared to 33% for Rishi Sunak.

Her advantage among Tory supporters has also grown – she now leads by five points. In response to asking who they would choose as leader of the Conservative Party, among all voters:

  • Rishi Sunak – 33% (nc)
  • Liz Truss – 35% (+2)
  • Don’t Know – 32% (-2)

Among Conservative supporters only:

  • Rishi Sunak – 43% (-1)
  • Liz Truss – 48% (+2)
  • Don’t Know – 9% (-1)

With Liz more popular in the country than him, Rishi’s “I can beat Labour” case is weakened…

*Techne UK questioned 1,649 people across the UK online on Wednesday 27 & Thursday 28 July. The figures are weighted and representative of the population.
mdi-timer 29 July 2022 @ 08:50 29 Jul 2022 @ 08:50 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Liz Polling in Second Place with Public and Conservative Voters

Probably a function of name recognition, this poll put Liz Truss in second place with the public and Conservative voters. Expect lots of manipulative polls to be recycled by the campaigns.  Guido notes that Theresa May’s favourite pollster – JL Partners – is pushing Rishi very hard. His track record on predicting general election outcomes is patchy… 

UPDATE:  Grantham and Stamford Association ran a poll this morning of their verified members.

Rishi in fourth place. It is one constituency association poll, not representative of much, however although they won’t admit it, Team Rishi are worried about the membership vote. They fear he will lose against either Penny or Liz. Something reinforced by this YouGov membership poll.

One old Tory hand told Guido that the race for second place is the race for the premiership… 

mdi-timer 13 July 2022 @ 13:06 13 Jul 2022 @ 13:06 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments