Andrew Cooper is the PM’s pollster and he is fanatically pro-EU. His Twitter feed is something to behold.
Remember how at the general election the polls said it was really close, but it turned out not to be?
— Andrew Cooper (@AndrewCooper__) June 4, 2016
Yes, Guido remembers that it was Andrew Cooper’s polling firm Populus which built a super-clever model of all the polling data for the general election and concluded there was just a 0.5% of a Tory majority. This may have had something to do with his pique at being kicked off the Tory campaign by Lynton Crosby…
More or less every single serious person in the world thinks leaving the EU is a stupid idea. On the other hand Boris reckons it'll be fine.
— Andrew Cooper (@AndrewCooper__) June 7, 2016
Half the country is stupid…
Leave message: John Mann: We can create a more equal society if we Leave.
Remain message: Remain makes travel easier/cheaper.
Cut through: Boris interested in power, not Brexit.
Leave social media count: 474,264 likes, 56,624 followers.
Remain social media count: 465,727 likes, 36,696 followers.
Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5
Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.
Entries below…
Leave message: Latest trade stats show the UK is more likely than ever to get an EU trade deal post-Brexit.
Remain message: Stop Nigel, register to vote.
Cut through: Major and Blair: Brexit would “tear apart” UK.
Leave social media count: 469,678 likes, 54,829 followers.
Remain social media count: 464,073 likes, 35,868 followers.
Odds: Remain 3/10, Leave 16/5
Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.
BSE made a big play out of “nine out of ten economists” apparently warning against Brexit this week. The figure was based on a self-selecting Ipsos MORI survey of economists from the Royal Economic Society and the Society of Business Economists. But BSE had some fun with the figures…
The survey was sent out to 3,818 economists. Only 639 (or 16.7%) replied, of which 561 said Brexit would be bad for the economy. That’s just 14.7% of the total number of economists contacted. So rather than nine out of ten economists warning against Brexit, it was actually closer one in seven. Not that you’d know that from their cheeky statistics trickery…
Leave message: Raab says: massive advantages to controlled migration.
Remain message: Hague says: Leave is a risk to the economy.
Cut through: Voter registration extended until June 9.
Leave social media count: 464,699 likes, 54,049 followers.
Remain social media count: 461,798 likes, 35,398 followers.
Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5
Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.
