Labour Membership’s Present to the Tories

corbyn-polling

As we end the political season and focus on the festivities one last look at the polls for Comrade Corbyn. YouGov shows him with a net minus of 41% on the question “Is he doing well?” Opinium find the public has a net favourable rating of minus 28%, ComRes has him at negative 21% in the “Good leader?” stakes and on balance net satisfaction with Jezza is only minus 17%. Happy Christmas!

Hat-tip: @liamjlhill

Leave Leads By 2 Points in 10,000 Person Survation Mega-Poll

Two more polls on the referendum today. Leave has a 2 point lead in this 10,000 person mega-poll from Survation:

Survation poll

While Remain is ahead by just one point with ICM:

ICM

When undecided voters aren’t included ICM has both Remain and Leave on 50%. It’s all to play for…

Feldman’s Record Breaking Disapproval Swing

Beleagured Lord Feldman’s Tory bullying troubles have not gone unnoticed among party members. The Tory chairman has suffered a record-breaking 53 point drop in his net satisfaction rating among ConHome readers, the largest one month fall ever recorded. He is also the first to have a negative approval rating this parliament. ‘Red Hot’ Rob Halfon also took a battering and is down to second from bottom. How’s that whole buck-stopping-with-Shapps thing working out for ya?

More On That Corbynista ‘Voodoo Poll’

yg-poll-raf

Labour voters Labour members Corbyn electors
Approve 52% 28% 16%
Disapprove 26% 58% 72%
Don’t Know 22% 14% 12%

Above is a YouGov poll which found that only 26% of Labour voters disapprove of bombing Syria, this rises to 58% of Labour members and 72% of Corbyn backing Labour members. Yet somehow the Corbynistas have counted a sample of 1,900 responses out of 107,875 they got back from an email burst and found 75% of members oppose the RAF bombing ISIS in Syria. How can this be?

Well it all depends who is doing the counting. Guido is told by a source inside Labour HQ that the counting was done by the new digital chief,  Ben Soffa. Who is Ben?

Ben is a new Corbynista appointee, his previous job was spinning for the militant TSSA union, before that he was spinning for the CND, did digital stuff for Hacked Off and was the secretary of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign. An impartial counter of votes, really?

Poll: Should Feldman Resign?

This is of course an unrepresentative online poll, however if it is good enough for Corbyn to decide if the nation should go to war, it is good enough to decide if someone should resign…

Labour Members Back Corbyn

Labour members have delivered a resounding vote of confidence in Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership in a YouGov poll for the Times. 66% of Labour members say Corbyn is doing well, 86% of those who voted for Corbyn agree, and 57% of Labour members say he should lead the party in 2020. A warning to moderates that a coup will not reflect the popular will of the party grassroots. Just don’t mention the 11 point Tory lead with ComRes…

Osborne Sinks to Third in Tory Leader Race

Osborne Crisis Poll

As well as having the worst October borrowing figures for six years, Osborne today slipped to third in the leadership polls among Tory voters. He is down 9% with Ipsos Mori. Boris is well ahead and even T-May is ahead of George…

Corbyn Poll Surge Continues

corbyn poll

Corbynmania is sweeping the nation! So much so that Scottish Labour are now a whopping two points ahead of the Tories with Ipsos Mori. Meanwhile this morning’s YouGov poll puts Corbyn’s net personal rating at -22, which is a whole 14 points better than what Nick Clegg used to score. Worse than Miliband though…

Leave Still Polling Ahead of Remain

leave

Leave is ahead by the most since November 2014. Both YouGov and Survation have shown small polling leads for Leavers over Remainers in September. The PM will be cheered that his blocking welfare for migrants policy was the single most popular policy in the poll. If only he could get the other members states to agree to it…

Labour Surge to 24% in Scotland

Labour are up a massive three points in Scotland with TNS today, with the Corbyn surge meaning the gap with the SNP is a mere 34 points. A whopping 15% of Scots say they like Jezza, and more dislike him than they do the Scottish Tory leader. Onwards, comrades…

YouGov Poll: Remain 40%, Leave 40%

This is the latest from YouGov, out this afternoon:

Neck and neck…

Meanwhile, Norway, which the PM claimed was bad example of what would happen if you’re not part of the EU, are very happy outside:

Game on…

Britain Most Patriotic Nation in Europe

natcen2

Only 15% of Brits feel “European” and 64% identify only as “British“, making us the most patriotic nation in Europe. Note that Greece and Ireland – countries that have suffered greatly at the hands of the European Central Bank – are also highly patriotic. If the remainers campaign by trying to foist a sense of European identity on the voters they will lose in Britain…  

Source: NatCen Social Research

Corbyn Net Satisfaction Rating Surges to -2%

The Tories are down 3 points on last month with Ipsos Mori, while Corbyn’s net satisfaction rating surges to a personal best of -2%. He’s also doing better than Ed: fewer voters think Labour should ditch Corbyn than thought Miliband should be axed. A stormin’ Corbyn surge?

UPDATE: Jezza is no Nige when it comes to the popularity stakes:

net-approval

Unaired YouGov Poll: Remain 50.6% Leave 49.4%

Curiously, Newsnight pulled the plug on a new YouGov poll showing just a percentage point difference between the Leavers and the Remainers last night. 5,000 people were surveyed online for the What UK Thinks website, one of the largest recent sample sizes on the referendum. The numbers were lined up for Newsnight, yet they were pulled at 10:28 pm. Matthew Goodwin, one of the academics who carried out the research, ain’t impressed, telling Guido:

“I am disappointed that despite promises of coverage a large survey, funded by a research council and relevant to the national debate, was shunted at the last minute with no warning.”

Newsnight say it was a “timing” issue…

The survey also asked how people would vote when prompted with different scenarios about whether the party leaders recommended to Remain or Leave. Farage looks pretty priced in, though the data suggests if Corbyn stuck to his Bennite Eurosceptic principles and backed a Leave vote that could swing it. Either way, it’s all to play for…

UPDATE: Newsnight editor Ian Katz gets in touch to emphasise that the poll was not commissioned by Newsnight.

Zac Trails Sadiq in First London Poll

A warning from YouGov that the Zac campaign can’t be complacent despite their good fortune with Labour’s choice of candidate:

Guido wonders if 72% of Londoners will still consider Sadiq “likeable” by the end of the campaign…

Poll: Where’s Jezza?

Jeremy Corbyn is rumoured to be missing his date with Liz because he is on holiday, yet his spokesman will not confirm where he is. Where do Guido readers think he has gone? Take our poll…

Globe-Trot-er…

YouGov: Corbyn Most Unpopular Oppositon Leader Ever

Corbyn became the first Labour leader ever to score a negative personal rating in his first Ipsos Mori poll last week. Today he has the worst first rating of any opposition leader ever with YouGov:

Why don’t the voters just JOIN THE TORIES?

Public Prefer Boris to Osborne

An Ipsos Mori poll for the Standard this afternoon finds the public prefer Boris to Osborne as the next Tory leader by almost two to one. Osborne is ahead only among Tory supporters…

YouGov Poll Puts Brexit in the Lead

YouGov for the Times shows 40% of voters are backing Brexit, ahead of those who want to remain in by 2 points:

timse yougov poll

It’s on…

Poll: Corbyn Worst Start For Any Labour Leader Ever

Political Betting’s Mike Smithson points out that Jeremy Corbyn is the first Labour leader ever to score a negative personal net satisfaction rating in his first Ipsos Mori poll:

But apparently “Corbynmania is sweeping the nation”…[…] Read the rest

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Quote of the Day

Tory MP Nick Boles says what everyone thinks…

“There is a timidity and lack of ambition about Mrs May’s Government which means it constantly disappoints. Time to raise your game, Prime Minister.”

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