71% of Scots Think Corbyn’s a Disaster

YouGov Regional Poll Labour

YouGov’s poll of Labour members produced a miserable top-line figure for ardent Corbynistas, showing just 18% of members thought the left-wing leader had done well in the recent round of local and PCC elections. Although that’s not so bad considering he’s the first opposition leader to have lost local seats in over 30 years…

Looking at the regional breakdown, a much bigger problem for Corbyn emerges. Part of the supposed “logic” Corbynistas wheeled out during his election as party leader was that his left-wing, anti-austerity stance could win over the Scotch who had fled to the SNP in droves. Far from Corbyn’s prediction of a crushing victory over the Nats in Hollyrood, Labour managed to lose 13 seats, plummeting behind the hated Tories. As a result, Labour supporters north of the border are not impressed: 71% of them think the party did badly, with 41% believing he did very badly. Inevitably, London felt most positively about the Islingtonian-led party, with 20% approving of Labour’s performance. Corbyn has the same North London metropolitan elite problem as Miliband…

Gove Tops ConHome Poll Again

Gove extends his lead as ConHome readers’ favourite for next Tory leader, rising another five points this month. May also had a good month, though Boris slipped a couple of points and Osborne dropped another percentage point to just 8%. Will certainly add fuel to those Gove for deputy PM rumours…

YouGov: Majority Know Celebrity Threesome Identity

The decision on whether the celebrity threesome injunction is to be lifted will be announced at 12:30pm. This morning YouGov found 55% of the 2,000 plus polled now know the identities of those involved. Not to mention anyone and everyone in the US, Canada, Scotland, Sweden and China. The gagging order has been rendered meaningless…

Farage, Like Marmite, is Popular

farage

Nigel Farage is under pressure internally from carping ‘Kippers and Farage-sceptic fellow Brexiteers of the Tory persuasion. UKIP are reminding everyone that although he may be like Marmite, repelling as many as he attracts, he is still more popular than any other politician bar Boris. Guido hopes that if next week the Electoral Commission designates Vote Leave rather than the GO/Leave.EU option,  all concerned will remember that Nigel is the least unpopular political leader in the country. Remember also that Farage – against the media’s expectations – bested Clegg in their head-to-head TV debate.  Nigel should be deployed where he can be most effective. 

At the 1922 Committee meeting this week David Cameron told his backbenchers that they should be telling voters that it was the Conservative Party that gave the people a referendum. In truth it was Nigel Farage who forced the Prime Minister to concede this referendum. Nigel deserves his place in British history for this alone and hopefully for more than that after June 23…

Osborne’s Post-Budget Poll Plunge

Osborne dissatisfaction March

Yet more evidence of decline – the Chancellor’s personal ratings plunge with Ipsos Mori, the Budget gets its worst rating since 2010. He’s now less popular than he was after the Omnishambles Budget. The Osborne effect is so toxic that Corbyn’s satisfaction score even overtakes Cameron’s…

Just 8% Say Osborne Up to Job of PM

Osborne’s worst poll ratings since the Omnishambles Budget of 2012 from YouGov in today’s Times. Even Tory voters say he’s not up to the job of PM…

Osborne’s Ratings Crash to 2013 Levels

The declining trend of the Chancellor’s fortunes is illustrated again by YouGov today – Osborne’s personal ratings as worse than any time since 2013. Just 23% think he’s doing a good job, while twice as many think he’s doing badly. In 2015 Osborne managed to reverse public perceptions and secure a positive rating. Voters have reverted to their first impression…

Leave Ahead in New ORB Poll

Taking account people’s likelihood to vote, OBR finds Leave has a 7 point lead on Remain. Sir Lynton Crosby tells the Telegraph Project Fear isn’t working…

ICM Poll Has Tories and Labour Level

guido poll

The latest ‘gold standard’ ICM poll has the Tories and Labour level on 36% each. For the first time since Corbyn’s election the two parties are neck and neck. Corbyn surge!

ConHome Poll: Buy Boris, Sell Osborne

Boris is well out in front in the latest ConHome Tory leadership survey, taking a 13 point lead on his closest rival. Second and third place go to Gove and Fox, two of the most vocal Eurosceptics, while Osborne slumps to fourth place on a dire 11%. According to this snapshot May and Saj are out of it. The Leavers are on the up, the Remainers are on the slide. Boris’ gamble looks to be paying off…

Boris Ahead of Osborne with Association Chairmen and Members

Yesterday the Telegraph polled 50 Tory association heads about their choice for next leader. Of those who’ve made up their minds, Boris is backed by 46% and Osborne 31%. Today’s Times has a Yougov poll of 1005 Tory members, Boris is on 43%, well ahead of Osborne on 22%. Again, May and Sajid have slipped well of the pace after choosing to back Remain. Boris is almost twice as popular as George with members, No. 10 is slowly slipping away from the Chancellor…

Tory Grassroots Poll: Boris Beats Osborne, Remainers Sink

If it’s a straight fight between Boris and Osborne on the Tory leadership ballot paper there is only one winner. The Telegraph have polled the heads of 50 Conservative associations and Boris is the preferred choice, though almost half are undecided. May is down on four after she backed Remain, and Sajid Javid languishes with just one association head supporter after his flip flop. Tory associations back Leave over Remain by 12 points, so Boris’ bravery is paying off and the Remainers are paying the price…

Osborne’s Ratings Hit Three Year Low

Osborne Poll

These numbers from Ipsos MORI and the Standard confirm Osborne is on the wane. His public satisfaction rating has dropped from his highest ever score of 47% in April 2014 to a three year low of 40%. His dissatisfaction rating has meanwhile risen to 46%, meaning Osborne is now more unpopular than Alistair Darling in 2008. That is quite a downturn

Gap Closing in Referendum Phone Polls

Perceived polling wisdom – or what is left of it – says that referendum polls conducted by phone should be considerably more accurate than those done online. Tonight’s ComRes phone poll has Remain’s lead cut significantly since Cameron’s renegotiation deal. The trend across all polls is that Remain are falling and Leave are in the ascendancy… 

Leave Ahead With ICM

For the first time since 2013, Leave are ahead with ICM. They are still the gold standard pollster according to Political Betting polling guru Mike Smithson…

Leave 9 Points Ahead Since Dave’s Deal

EU REFORM

The key numbers from this morning’s YouGov referendum poll, the first since Dave’s deal:

  • Leave: 45% (+3)
  • Remain: 36% (-2)

The PM’s deal:

  • Goes too far: 4%
  • Is about right: 17%
  • Doesn’t go far enough: 56%

It is:

  • A good deal: 22%
  • A bad deal: 46%

The biggest lead for Leave since the question was announced last summer…

Via @britainelects

Corbyn Surges Ahead of Foot

Great success! Corbyn is not the worst performing Labour leader after the first four months in the job. Jez has surged ahead of Michael Foot, he’s on minus 18 points with Ipsos Mori. Onwards, comrades…

Just 16% Back Corbyn, Worst Rating Since 80s

poll

Yet more brutal numbers for Labour in the latest Mori / Standard poll. Cue tweets from deluded Corbynistas about “right wing polls”…

Corbyn Approval Rating Minus 39

Latest figures from YouGov via Britain ElectsRemember, pollsters say it’s possible they are still overestimating Labour support…

Corbyn Approval Rating Minus 32 With YouGov

With impeccable timing, some new YouGov numbers this afternoon via Britain Elects. Wonder if Corbyn’s aides paused the reshuffle discussions to tell the boss…[…] Read the rest

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Tory MP Nick Boles says what everyone thinks…

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