Starmer’s Leadership is Threatening Keirs Everywhere

The ONS released their annual survey of baby names this morning, and Guido can report that while the number of Borises being born is holding steady, the number of Keirs has plummeted. 15 Keirs were born in 2019, yet by 2020, this number plummeted by 40% to just 9. As a result, Sir Keir’s name has fallen from 1587th most popular to 2228thThe PM will be happy that the number of baby Borises remains constant at 745th, with 43 born in 2020…

Carrie may also join in despair with Sir Keir. Despite 18 Carries born in 2018, and 14 in 2019, 2020 saw just seven – a ranking fall from 1940th most popular to 3117thLabour’s deputy leader is proving less of a turn-off for parents than her leader, with 54 Angelas born in 2020 – a very popular baby name at 683th

mdi-timer 18 October 2021 @ 13:04 18 Oct 2021 @ 13:04 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Unemployment Drops, ONS Says “No Signs” of Post-Furlough Job Cuts

Rishi will be walking with a cautiously optimistic spring in his step this morning, after the ONS announced unemployment has fallen by 182,000 between June and July, with overall figures for workers on payrolls 201,000 lower than pre-pandemic. Two weeks ago the Chamber of Commerce claimed one in five firms was planning to cut jobs as furlough wound down…

Contrary to their pessimism, Jonathan Athow, deputy national statistician for economic statistics at the ONS, said:

“There was no sign of redundancies starting to pick up in our survey data ahead of the furlough scheme beginning to wind down, and Insolvency Service figures for July suggest the same.”

“The world of work continues to rebound robustly from the effects of the pandemic.”

“The number of people on payroll was up again strongly and has now grown over half a million in the past three months, regaining about four-fifths of the fall seen at the start of the pandemic.”

Even more optimistically, Athow took to Twitter to point out there are further optimistic signs, with “high levels of vacancies”, which – if they feed through to more jobs – “should see increased employment in coming months”. He says to wait and see what happens as furlough continues to wind down, though reiterates there are no indications of large-scale planned redundancies “at the moment”…

mdi-timer 17 August 2021 @ 08:26 17 Aug 2021 @ 08:26 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
GDP Up 2.1% in March

The first month of cautious unlocking saw GDP growth of 2.1%, the fastest monthly growth since August 2020 – merely from schools in parts of the UK beginning to re-open. Could April and May’s figures compete with last June’s 9.1% rise?

Once again, the construction industry is the main driver, up 5.8% on the previous month and the only measure to be higher than pre-pandemic levels, by 2.4%. All areas were up, however, including manufacturing (+2.1%) and services (+1.9%), albeit still both down on their pre-pandemic levels by 2.2% and 7.2% respectively. Unfortunately it wasn’t strong enough to reverse the fortunes of Quarter 1 as a whole, with GDP falling 1.5% overall in the first three months…

mdi-timer 12 May 2021 @ 07:36 12 May 2021 @ 07:36 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
ONS: Octogenarians Agree With Lord Sumption

Buried in the latest ONS data dump of Covid research is a remarkable – if logical – statistic. Just 33% of over 80s have not met with anyone indoors since having their jab, with 43% admitting to meeting with people other than their carers or support bubble after receiving the first dose. After two jabs, this explicit rule-breaking rises to 48%. Despite the widespread rulebreaking, hospitalisation and death rates amongst the age group are tumbling…

Cheeky octogenarians are not alone – spritely 72-year-old Lord Sumption yesterday made a splash by telling UnHerd that “sometimes the most public-spirited thing that you can do with despotic laws like these is to ignore them” – even claiming that a quiet campaign of “civil disobedience” has already begun. At least among the elderly, the data does seem to agree with him…

mdi-timer 5 March 2021 @ 10:29 5 Mar 2021 @ 10:29 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
First Full-Year ONS Estimate: UK GDP Fell 9.9% in 2020

The ONS’s first full-year GDP estimate for the UK puts the Covid-caused contraction at -9.9% – the largest annual fall of UK GDP on record. GDP grew by only 1% in Quarter 4, and despite two consecutive quarters of growth, the UK’s GDP remains 7.8% below its 2019 Q4 level. The Bank of England has projected another 4% shrinking of the economy in the first quarter of 2021…

mdi-timer 12 February 2021 @ 07:47 12 Feb 2021 @ 07:47 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
NEW: GDP Fell 2.6% in November Lockdown

The UK economy shrank 2.6% in the November lockdown, the country’s first GDP fall in six months. The relatively small drop compared to the economic downturn of the first lockdown has been described as “reassuringly small” by the Chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics – a firm which predicted a drop of 3.5% though smaller than the “consensus” of -4.6% expected. The overall drop in consumption was somewhat mitigated by growth in manufacturing and construction. The economy remains 8.5% down on its pre-pandemic February high…

mdi-timer 15 January 2021 @ 08:17 15 Jan 2021 @ 08:17 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
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