The tight 6% lead from ICM yesterday for the Tories knocks the rolling average lead over according to Britain Elects down to 9.7%. Both Labour and the Tories appear to be plateauing. Frightening tightening…
Another poll, this time from ICM for The Guardian, puts the Tories ahead. Last week’s Brexit speech seems to have put the Tories on the front foot. Drilling down in the data it appears voters think Theresa May has a more realistic Brexit policy, or as the Guardian puts it, “Jeremy Corbyn’s position on Brexit is seen as clearer than that of Theresa May but also less realistic and appealing.” The trend is developing…
Another poll showing Labour are going backwards despite the Tories’ troubles…
Help me get re-elected, and keep the Tories out of Norwich South! Sign up here: https://t.co/OlFb8JiILR pic.twitter.com/TtRs66Ba2E
— Clive Lewis MP (@labourlewis) 25 April 2017
Clive Lewis has been slammed by pollsters ICM for spreading a fake news graphic showing a purported Labour lead in his Norwich South constituency. After realising the research firm’s name had been appended to the graph which shows Labour on 36% and the Tories on 28%, ICM’s Martin Boon slapped Lewis down in public:
@labourlewis Neither I, nor anyone at @ICMResearch has any knowledge of this poll. Please withdraw our name from it.
— Martin Boon (@martinboon) 26 April 2017
Arguably Lewis has fallen foul of Section 106 of the Representation of the People Act 1983 in claiming false polling results for other candidates. Under the Act it’s an illegal practice to make a false statement about a rival candidate “for the purpose of affecting the return of any candidate at the election”. Lewis is yet to withdraw the tweet…
A new ICM poll for Change Britain confirms Tony Blair’s delusion. 68% of voters want the government to “get on with implementing the result of the referendum”, compared to just 15% who disagree. Even more Remain voters (42%) agree with the statement than disagree (33%). When this question was last polled in December, 26% of Remainers wanted the government to get on with the job compared to 40% who disagreed. The Blairite / Open Britain talk of Leave voters changing their minds is fantasy – it is Remainers who are changing their minds and now want the government to deliver Brexit…
UPDATE: Dominic Raab says:
“These figures show how out of touch Tony Blair is with the mood of the country. Far from wanting to reverse the referendum, the overwhelming majority want the result respected and for politicians to get on with making a success of Brexit.”
When run through Election Polling’s UK swingometer, ICM’s figures today show that Labour is facing down the barrel of May’s gun next election. If these numbers become a uniform swing, the Tories are likely to take 41 seats from Labour and two from the LibDems, with a further surprise win in SNP held Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk. In all, the Tories have gained nine points since ICM’s last pre-referendum poll. Meanwhile, Labour are set to lose 43 seats. They’d even lose a seat to the Lib Dems in Cambridge…