Badenoch’s team briefed yesterday that they were “slightly concerned at possible narrowing of the race… ConHome poll tomorrow rumoured to be positive for Jenrick.” At which point Deputy Editor Henry Hill made clear that he was the only one with the ability to see the score, and even he hadn’t checked it…
The final event in ConHome’s closely-watched leadership polling series has Kemi leading by 24 points at 55%. Jenrick sits on 31% and 14% say they don’t know. Kemi is up 4 points from the beginning of September, Jenrick is down 3. A decisive lead. The poll is of 828 members – the largest number so far…
Jenrick is giving a speech on foreign policy and defence this morning. He better hope it makes an impression…
New RAJAR figures have dropped for the third quarter of this year. It’s more happy reading for GB News…
GB News Radio, which is just a simulcast of GB News TV, has now managed to overtake Talk Radio with a weekly audience of 611,000. It overtook Times Radio last quarter and has just clinched the spot for fastest growing radio brand..
GB’s audience is up a whopping 54% in the last twelve months – 18% higher than August. Listeners are staying tuned for 30% more hours – in particular to Good Afternoon Britain with Emily Carver and Guido alumnus Tom Harwood, which is up 95%. LBC still rules the non-BBC roost while the weekly reach of the BBC’s regional and local stations is down 14% year-on-year and 6% compared with last quarter. People are voting with their ears…
The International Monetary Fund has just upgraded its forecasts for the UK’s growth in its World Economic Outlook series. It estimated in July that growth in 2024 would reach 0.7% – that’s now upgraded to 1.1% as expectations for 2025 stick at the previously forecast 1.5%. That’s after the UK economy outperformed expectations in the first half of the year…
After providing consistently inaccurate forecasts of poor growth for the UK last year, that’s the biggest growth upgrade for any advanced economy this time round. The United States is predicted to continue powering ahead with 2.8% growth while sluggish Germany is downgraded to zero. More on the “worst economic inheritance since WW2″ as Guido gets it…
As Labour pontificates about the “danger” of a party like Reform while pretending not to be worried about it, new research reveals Farage’s electoral operation is actually more popular with punters than Starmer’s is. The fledgling party is gaining ground with the public…
In polling carried out by JL Partners of 2,000 adults, 27% have a positive or very positive view of Labour. Compared to 28% for Reform…
“Reform and Nigel are more hated,” people always say. That isn’t the case either: 41% have a negative or very negative view of Reform compared to 47% who view Labour negatively. Reform’s increasing popularity will be viewed with some concern in Labour – more in CCHQ…
New figures released by the Office for National Statistics make happy reading for Reeves ahead of the budget. CPI inflation has fallen below the Bank of England’s target to 1.7% in September after sitting at 2.2% in the last two months. Lower than economists prediction of 1.9%. If Sunak had gone for a later election the Tories would have been able to claim credit…
That’s the lowest figure since April 2021. Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones says it’s “welcome news“. The ONS says drops in air fares and motor fuels provided a strong downward push. Core inflation, meanwhile, was 3.2%, lower than than the expected 3.4%. Further rate cuts at next month’s Monetary Policy Comittee meeting now appear certain…
Over in Downing Street it’s going to be a more dour celebration of 100 days in government than Labour expected when Starmer stood among Union Flags in front on No 10 back in July. Hacks’ summaries are all analysing how it “went off the rails”…
YouGov has released some helpful polling on how Britons feel about the first 100 days. 59% of Britons now disapprove of Labour’s record in government so far…
The breakdowns make for more sad reading: 37% expected Labour to do poorly, and have had their expectations confirmed. 30% are disappointed after expecting them to do well. Only 16% think Labour has done well…
The situation is even more dire among Labour voters, 47% of whom are disappointed in Labour’s performance. Only one in ten Labour voters think things have got better. The least popular policy so far has been releasing prisoners onto the streets early. Buyer’s remorse on strong display here…
