Exit Polls Point to Macron Versus Le Pen, Difficult to Call Final Result

Emmanuel Macron is set to face Marine Le Pen, exit polls predict 28% and 23% respectively of the vote in the first round, according to projections by polling institute Ipsos.

Left-wing Jean-Luc Mélenchon comes in third, with 20% of the vote. Zemmour got 7% and conservative Valérie Pécresse from Les Républicains 5%. Which implies 20% of the also ran vote was to the left and 12% to the right. Whether those votes transfer directly is questionable, much of the left-wing vote will stay home and some centre-right voters will back Macron rather than Le Pen. How much decides the result…

mdi-timer 10 April 2022 @ 19:13 10 Apr 2022 @ 19:13 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Michel Barnier Confirms French Presidential Run… on Anti-Immigration Platform

After the long-running speculation was all-but confirmed yesterday afternoon, Michel Barnier has launched a bid to become the next President of France. While we knew he would aim for the centre-right Republican’s candidacy, Barnier’s gone in hard on immigration, promising to “limit and have control over immigration”. Has he signed up for Cummings’ Substack consultancy services?

“In these grave times, I have taken the decision and have the determination to stand… and be the president of a France that is reconciled, to respect the French and have France respected”

Specifically, Barnier would implement a five-year ban on immigration and, unbelievably, “reform the EU” to curb regulations and bureaucracy. We’re through the looking glass now, mes ami…

mdi-timer 27 August 2021 @ 08:39 27 Aug 2021 @ 08:39 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
French Suffering Double-Dip Recession

France’s statistics agency this morning cut its measure of GDP at the start of the year, showing the €uro area’s second largest economy slipped into a recession for the second time during the pandemic. Emmanuel Macron will be looking enviously at Brexit Britain’s imminent bounce back boom…

mdi-timer 28 May 2021 @ 15:24 28 May 2021 @ 15:24 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
HMS Severn En Route to Jersey

In March 2018, in a little noticed move, the Ministry of Defence announced that £12.7 million had been allocated from the EU Exit Preparedness Fund to HMS Severn and her two sister ships, a precaution in case they should they be required to control and enforce UK waters and fisheries following Brexit. This now looks to have been a wise precaution…

The French threat to blockade Jersey would cut off medical supplies and food on top of a now withdrawn threat to cut the supply of electrical power to the population of Jersey. These are hostile threats verging on a siege by France. A robust response from the Royal Navy is exactly what is required…

mdi-timer 5 May 2021 @ 21:35 5 May 2021 @ 21:35 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Why Macron’s Virus Recovery Slogan is Uncontroversial

Over in France they too are having a phased easing of lockdown. Macron’s slogan can be translated as “Save Lives, Remain Prudent”.

In tone barely distinguishable from “Save Lives, Stay Alert”, yet the slogan is entirely uncontroversial in Parisian media circles. The key difference is Macron does not face a Brexit-deranged media class who see it as their job to usurp the official opposition party. Our impartial broadcasters now prefer to spend their time “holding the government to account” rather than reporting on the government. Guido could not name even a handful of broadcasters with Brexit sympathies.

So it is relevant to note that according to a YouGov snap poll, 76% of Remainers think only the old “Stay home, Protect the NHS, Save lives” slogan makes it clear what they are supposed to do. The same poll finds that 41% of Leavers think both the old and the new slogans are clear, Tory supporters are three times as likely Labour supporters to agree. The reality is that now the pandemic’s peak has passed, normal politics has resumed. The ability to comprehend government slogans seems to be negatively-correlated with sympathy for the government’s objectives…

mdi-timer 11 May 2020 @ 16:39 11 May 2020 @ 16:39 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Parisian Mayoral Candidate Pulls Out After Sext Video Goes Viral

Macron’s candidate for the mayor of Paris has pulled out of the race. Benjamin Griveaux had spent his campaign thus far trying to swell support by repeatedly emphasizing family values and his “fanatic faith”. He constantly talked up his family and family life, saying “it was my children who gave new meaning to my political commitment” and “I love [my wife] very much. I would not do what I do if she had not been there”.

The reasons behind Griveaux’s presumably hard decision to quit comes after a chat with a young girl that got out of hand. Starting off with the candidate declaring “family and children are a prison” and the conversation climaxing with Griveaux sexting her some very x-rated videos of him pleasuring himself. Some who have seen the videos have been impressed, saying they would vote for him based on his firm stance alone. Guido is surprised the affair ended Griveaux’s career – if anything he embodies traditional French values…

The man behind the leak? Russian performance artist Petr Pavlensky – most famous for nailing his scrotum down in Moscow’s Red Square as a protest against Russia’s police state. Now he’s nailed down Griveaux’s ‘family values’ hypocrisy…

mdi-timer 14 February 2020 @ 17:19 14 Feb 2020 @ 17:19 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
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