Top Ten Sweary MPs

According to the geeks at PoliMonitor Jess Phillips is the most foul-mouthed MP on Twitter:

  1. Jess Phillips (Labour) 39
  2. Angus MacNeil (SNP) 28
  3. Mike Gapes (Labour) 16
  4. Jonathan Reynolds (Labour) 12
  5. Dr Philippa Witford (SNP) 9
  6. Andrew Gwynne (Labour) 9
  7. Dawn Butler (Labour) 9
  8. Chris Bryant (Labour) 8
  9. Stella Creasy (Labour) 7
  10. Robert Syms (Conservative) 7

The SNP manage disproportionately to get 2 entries into the top 10, Robert Syms holds up the Tory end (just) in tenth place behind everyone’s favourite bit of posh profanity, Stella Creasy. The LibDems are nowhere to be seen. What does this tell us?

Dale’s Top Tweeters Just 17% Female

Always a highlight of the festive period: Iain Dale’s annual list of his 200 favourite tweeters. Unless you’re a woman, it turns out…

Just 35, or 17.5%, of the 200 accounts on the list are women. Remove the corporate news feeds and it’s not much better, just 23% female.

Of the 10 new print journalists on the list, 100% are men. And all of the five new online journalists are blokes too. 10 out of 12 of the new politics entries are male.

Surely there was space on the list for some more of the many great ladies of the Lobby?

Britain Happier Despite Brexit

Despite all the doom and gloom from the BBC, Faisal Islam, The Times, FT and Guardian, Brexiting Britain is actually happier:

Taking back control feels good, the statisticians cite ‘statistically significant improvements in average ratings of life satisfaction, feeling the things we do in life are worthwhile and happiness for the UK overall’. These are actual ONS figures, not a forecast…

Could this be because all the depressing forecasts of doom and gloom from the government and the media have turned out to be BS? Remember HM Treasury’s official guidance to voters, in a letter sent to each and every household, was that on a Leave vote Britain faced:

  • a year-long recession
  • loss of 500,000 jobs
  • GDP around 3.6% lower

GDP has grown in every quarter by an average of 0.4% since the referendum. Weak growth is not a recession.

GDP is 6.1% higher than the Treasury forecast it would be, according to BrexitCentral.com that is equivalent to £135 billion of extra annual production over their estimate, or just over £2,000 for every man, woman and child.

317,000 new jobs have been created since the referendum, that is 817,000 higher than the Treasury forecast.

The Remainstream media reporting of those Treasury forecasts implied that those of us who wanted to Leave were, in the words of the then Chancellor George Osborne, “economically illiterate”. Leaving aside whether he should have accused us of being “economically innumerate”, it turned out it was in fact him who was totally wrong. 

Is Britain happier because the forecast doom and gloom has not materialised? There will be another happiness dividend when the new Project Fear claims of airplanes not flying, cancer patients going untreated and exports rotting in ports turns out to be untrue…

YouGov: Brits Believe Her Majesty Backs Brexit

According to YouGov over three-quarters of those who expressed an opinion think Her Maj backs Brexit. Of course she does…

OBR: In 2022 the UK’s Net Weekly Contribution to the EU Will Be £335 Million

In the OBR’s February report there was a table, unnoticed at the time, which includes an OBR forecast on EU budget contributions up to 2021 based on Treasury information. They show the gross contribution soaring to £22.227 billion by 2021/22 – or £427 million per week. If, as Remainers and statisticians insist, we use only the net contribution – subtracting the UK rebate – then even that soars from £13.952 billion in 2016/7, to £17.405 billion in 2021/2. That is a massive 24.7% increase in 5 years…

But most importantly politically, even the net contribution of £17.405 billion works out at some £335 million per week in 2022. So even using the contested Remainer methodology, Boris would basically be right in four years if we don’t leave the EU… 

Stats bods can check the calculation here.

Jeremy Corbyn Isn’t Real, Headlines He Generated Suckered Students


Is it any wonder when these were the headlines, that went uncorrected by Corbyn, that 59% of students believed he was promising to either write off or reduce their debts. They read the headlines not the manifesto.

The two areas shaded red show that 18 to 24 year-olds overwhelmingly believed that they were going to see their debts reduced. Now they know better… 

Updated: Map of Chaos

We’ve updated the reality of the so-called “Progressive Alliance” on the ground. Our interactive infographic shows where the various flavours of big spending, high taxing, freedom crushing socialists are standing aside in an effort to cobble together the “coalition of chaos”.

Full screen here. Use the search box to find constituencies or zoom in and hover over to see precise information.

Got any updates for the map? Email team@order-order.com.

Age Not Class Greatest Indicator of Voting Intention

Striking data from YouGov:

May, unlike Cameron, does not have a women problem:

She has a youth problem:

Labour’s youth problem is they don’t vote. The old saying still rings true

“If a man is not a socialist by the time he is 20, he has no heart. If he is not a conservative by the time he is 40, he has no brain.”

What is it about leaving education, becoming a taxpayer, a homeowner and a parent that shifts voters to the right? The reality of responsibilities…

Coalition of the Others Still Trails Tories

For all the talk of a “coalition of the others” (or “coalition of chaos” © T. May) it is still the case that adding the national vote share of Labour, the LibDems and the Greens gives 45%, 3% behind the Tories on 48% – according to last night’s YouGov survey giving the Tories a whopping 24% lead. Guido’s question is will Jeremy Corbyn do worse than Michael Foot in 1983?

Services PMI Strong

pmi-services-jump

The pound has jumped again on the back of strong numbers from the services sector. When the jobs data came in strong last month Remainers said that manufacturing was cratering and that would translate into job losses later. Then when the manufacturing PMI came in strong the Remainers said that it was actually services that were being hammered. This morning saw the biggest jump in the PMI services number on record…

So Remainers are running out of bad news. We have gone from the Brexit vote leading to a “global economic shock” requiring an emergency budget to “it is too soon to tell”, “Brexit hasn’t happened yet”. Yet when stocks went down (they are now higher) it was immediate evidence, when the pound went down it too was immediate evidence. These moves were all based on expectations conditioned by politicians and economists who have been proved wrong as the economic data comes in. Every new data point proves them demonstrably wrong.

And what about the 71% of City economists who predicted a recession this year? Not one has taken up Guido’s offer of a £1,000 bet…

“Corbyn” Surges By 50% as New Baby Name

corbyn blair edit

“Corbyn” has surged in popularity as a new baby name in the last year, ONS data has revealed. The Labour leader’s surname, which means “raven haired”, increased in popularity as a boy’s name by 50% since 2014. There were also three Korbyns and 19 Corbins. “Corbyn” was 36% more popular than “Blair” in 2015…

favourability-survation

Who cares if he is 65 points behind Theresa May in a Survation favourability poll? He’s more popular than Blair!

H/T Jon Stone

How British Empire Beats EU for Olympic Medals

EU 3

The former countries of the British Empire won 396 medals – 138 more medals than a post-Brexit EU. While the European Parliament invents an EU state to “win” the Olympics, the medal tally of a one-time actual supra-state leaves Brussels for dust. Former member countries of the British Empire accrued 76 more medals than the rest of the world (24%). In all, the Empire’s score of 137 gold medals trounces the EU’s, which after removing Great Britain sits at just 79.

Looking at other alliances NATO countries took a stunning 443 out of the 974 medals on offer (45%), while Anglosphere countries grabbed a whopping 288 – 30% of the world total. This is compared to Francophone states’ measly 87 (9%), even with Canada’s 22 (2%) generously included. Hoisting the colours appears to have been good luck; countries with Union Jacks in their flags took a massive 115 medals, of which 40 were gold!

“Egomaniac” Izzard Cost Moderates NEC Majority

ex-izzard

The Labour moderates, formerly known as Blairites, are crying into their mocha lattes this morning that Eddie Izzard not only lost out (as usual) on getting a place on the NEC, he also cost them up to three seats and any chance of a majority.

The two charts above show the clean sweep of the top six places by the the hard-left (reds). If Izzard’s votes were redistributed to the moderates (pinkos), which is mathematically possible if not probable, they would have won three more seats and regained control of the NEC. “It was Izzard wot lost it for the moderates. Had that ego-maniac not run, we’d have had 71,000 more votes up for grabs that could have gone to moderates. He’s basically given an NEC seat to the Corbynistas. When it comes to politics, Eddie is a very good comedian” laments a Blairite die-hard. By Guido’s calculations if just over half of Izzard’s votes had gone to moderates, Ellie Reeves, Bex Bailey and Johanna Baxter would be holding the line against the Corbynistas on the NEC…

The Owen Smith-supporting Labour First faction emailed supporters optimistically that

Contrary to some of the online and media reaction, this does not give full control of the NEC to Corbyn. There is a net change of just one seat as the PLP section saw a seat go from left to right. When the new NEC takes office after Annual Conference, the solid vote for the Hard Left will be 16 if they all turn up, with 17 others. Thus NEC meetings will continue to be finely balanced and hinge on the personal decisions of the more independent-minded members like Ann Black, and the stance taken by the GMB and Unison. We will win some votes and lose others just like we did in the pre-leadership election meeting. 

Though they go on to say pointedly

If we can avoid a split moderate vote in future contests (Eddie Izzard ran as an independent when we would have been happy to support him if he had asked us) that will help!

It woz Izzard wot lost it…

How Tough Was May on Immigration?

may immigration

Theresa May has so far spent most of her campaign talking tough on immigration, including a threat to EU migrants currently living in the UK. Her team know this is her weak spot – in the next two months we will hear a lot about how May failed to deliver on immigration while in office. The above graph is a snapshot of all fourth quarter immigration estimates during her time as Home Secretary. An estimated 3,443,000 migrants entered the UK, with 1.2 million of those coming directly from EU states. Since 2012, EU immigration has increased every single year, with 2015 proving the highest year since records began in 2006. May’s campaign thinks a few “Go Home” vans are enough to secure her credentials as the strongest candidate on immigration… 

Shock Study Shows Journalists Twice as Likely to Be Lefties

left-wing-journalists

The Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism has a new in-depth study of British journalists out. No doubt most reports of the study will focus on the under-representation of minorities, the glass ceiling for women and ignore the finding that British journalists are more godless than most people. That’s because most journalists are lefties….

The survey asked journalists to self define their politics on a 1 to 10 scale. According to their own judgement about half of journalists take a left-of-centre political stance, with barely a quarter outing themselves as right-wing. Right-of-centre political beliefs seemingly increase with seniority:

This pattern differs somewhat between journalists of different ranks and levels of responsibility. Our survey shows that, while the proportion of journalists with a centrist political view stays fairly steady across the ranks, there is a clear increase in right-of-centre journalists in more senior roles, and a corresponding decrease in left-of-centre journalists, particularly above the rank of junior manager.

Clear thinking smarter people apparently do rise to the top in the media meritocracy. Frankly Guido is happy that most of his competitors are left-wing, it makes our output even more unique…

Junior Doctors: It’s All About the Money

In the words of Meja, it is all about the money:

Cg9AnwWWIAUq5px

The FT graphic explains the negotiating positions – the government is offering more money for a 7-day NHS, the junior doctors want more still. Struggling on their not undeserved triple average earnings, their strike is not about “saving the NHS”. Who are they kidding? They are diverting taxpayers’ money from the same cash-pot that funds treatments and life-saving drugs into their pockets. They are playing on the natural sympathies of the grateful beneficiaries of their treatments.

Through all this it is important to remember this is not about “stopping the cuts”, there are none, this is not about “the NHS in crisis”. It is all about the money…

How Carter Ruck’s Attempt to Gag Google Failed

elton

In his judgement Lord Justice Jackson effectively ruled that injunctions cannot remain in place once knowledge of the injucted information is widespread:

“The court should not make orders which are ineffective. It is inappropriate – some may used a stronger term – for the court to ban people from saying that which is common knowledge… Knowledge of the relevant matters is now so widespread that confidentiality has probably been lost”

Google search trends show that searches for “David Furnish” in the UK have increased to a trend score of 100 in the last few days, the maximum possible score relative to previous searches for his name:

furnish

Searches for “Daniel Laurence”, the man who claims he had an olive oil paddling pool threesome with Furnish, have also increased to a score of 100:

WWWW

This data shows just those who already knew to search those specific names. Several times as many people will have discovered the identities simply by searching “celebrity injunction”:

INJ

Carter Ruck’s attempts to threaten Google into taking down search results revealing the identities failed completely. As Lord Justice Jackson says, knowledge has become widespread…

EU Trade Deficit Hits Record High

DEFICIT GRAPH

Tumbling British exports and an increase in European imports means that the UK’s trade deficit with the EU hit an all time high of £23 billion between November and January.

The trade deficit – the value of exports minus the value of imports – is crucial for measuring British businesses overall performance overseas.

Meanwhile, British exports to the continent are at their lowest since 2009. Divided between the 28 EU member states you get an average gap of over £3 billion per each common market member. Merkel might not want a free trade agreement, but German businesses will… 

Buried away in the ONS’ official data is an increase in EU imports of £674 million in January, while British exports rose a paltry £12 million. This includes a massive £300 million import bung for the Netherlands, while flagging economies Italy and Spain were able to flog us £100 million worth of pasta and sangria each.

They need us more than we need them…

Tory MPs: 153 for In, 140 for Out, 37 Undeclared

mpsref

The pressure is on the 37 undeclared…

Full list here.

Momentum’s Dodgy Data Grab

momentum

The Corbyn cheer-leading organisation “Momentumclaims to be able to contact all the people who signed up to support Jeremy Corbyn during the leadership contest, but they might not have permission to do so. When people signed up as supporters of the Corbyn4Leader campaign, they were asked to give their email addresses and postcodes; the campaign said they were collecting this information to “enable us to carry out casework on behalf of constituents; issues and campaigns we are involved with locally; maintaining our own accounts and records; supporting and managing our employees and agents.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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Quote of the Day

Tory MP Nick Boles says what everyone thinks…

“There is a timidity and lack of ambition about Mrs May’s Government which means it constantly disappoints. Time to raise your game, Prime Minister.”

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