Khan’s £1-a-Ride Tax Starts Today

Sadiq’s new emissions tax means private hire vehicles will need to pay the Congestion Charge of up to £11.50 per day when driving in the central London “Ultra Low Emission Zone”. As a result from today a £1 central London fee will be added to every Uber trip that starts, ends or passes through the city centre. Khan’s tax is being passed directly on to consumers, it will also hike costs for London’s shops and accelerate the shift to online retailers, which is why the Taxpayers’ Alliance dubs his charge zone an “Ultra Low Enterprise Zone”.

Khan says it is to combat air pollution. In which case it is irrelevant to the rapidly improving trend:

Despite a growing population air pollution in London was 900% higher within living memory. So what is he trying to achieve? He’s raising revenue to splurge for his re-election. Car drivers in the suburbs don’t vote for him and businesses don’t have votes, so he calculates he can tax ’em without losing votes.

In fact across the UK Britain is getting cleaner air at rapid rate. Khan’s tax is neither here nor literally there.Every time Guido gets into an Uber he’ll curse Khan’s tax. So will Londoners…

Bursting Politico’s Twitter Bubble

Fascinating article this morning from Politico Europe about The Westminster Twitter Bubble. It contains lots of stuff on which MPs have the most MPs following them as well as which journalists and which media outlets are most influential in terms of being followed by MPs. Above is their chart showing the research results for media outlets. They appear to accidentally have left Guido off the list…

In an effort to be helpful Guido has added at the bottom how it would look if he was included. It reveals that little old Guido is followed by quite a few MPs. More than all of those other media outlets…

309 MPs in total follow Guido. Politico is followed by 45 MPs. Anyone who suspects this omission might be because Guido and Politico compete for advertising revenue based on how influential our audience is, has a suspicious mind. You are either in front of Guido, or you are behind. Substantially in Politico’s case…

Tory Leadership Hopefuls: Who Are You?

We could be days away from a Tory leadership race if Theresa May loses a no confidence vote. The jostling for position on the Tory benches is becoming blatant. Leadership hopefuls are tapping up donors for support, assembling campaign teams and beaming as they glad-hand fellow MPs. With that in mind WPI Strategy commissioned a 2,000 head poll from Deltapoll with fieldwork done last week (25/26 March). They asked the public “Who would you recognise in the street?”

David Lidington would be recognised by 1 in 20 people – which seems on the high side. Liz Truss would be recognised by 1 in 14 people proving that not everyone is on Instagram. Dominic Raab will be disappointed that his brief profile raising period as Brexit Secretary means that 1 in 9 people claim they know his face. Then we get into potential leaders who do have some recognition with voters. Amber, Saj and Hunt are recognised by a quarter to a third of voters, Mogg (who is not running) and Gove are recognised by two fifths of voters. There is only one candidate who stands out with over three quarters of the public recognising him – Boris.

Tory Leadership Candidate Polling Mixed

Ipsos-MORI have got a poll out for the Evening Standard, Theresa May’s net approval rating with the public whilst negative is 19 points better than Jeremy Corbyn’s negative rating. Sajid Javid has the best ratings of the Tory leadership candidates.

Among Tory voters the front runners are neck and neck in the “having what it takes to be PM” stakes. Boris has the most negative rating and yet with members – who have an actual vote in the seleection – he is streets ahead…

Womens’ Advance in Politics

Guido has crunched the numbers for International Women’s Day, looking at the historic dataset for British Prime Minister’s stretching back to Walpole. Despite the brocialists claims to be the party to advance the status of women, they have never in all their history elected a woman leader, in fact in every Labour Party leadership election women candidates have always got the least votes from the brocialist membership. In every single Labour leadership election, ever.

Nor have the Liberal Democrats or their Liberal Party predecessor’s had a women leader. It is quite something to think that every woman Tory leader has become PM and every woman Labour leadership candidate has got the least votes from the Labour Party membership. Happy International Women’s Day!

McDonnell’s Possible Other Way

When the Corbynistas say another way is possible it is true. Venezuela’s humanitarian crisis, with millions of refugees crossing the border, is usually characteristic of war torn nations. The reality of socialism, with nationalisation, the attacks on private enterprise, the shuttering of opposition media, together with the silencing, demonising and threatening dissident journalists. It is like all the threats in Owen Jones’ Twitter feed made real…

ICM: No Deal Most Popular Brexit Option

A new ICM Poll alarmed the Guardian last night, with No Deal being the public’s leading option as to what should happen next. It’s also the legal default as long as Parliamentary deadlock continues…

  • No Deal: 28%
  • Referendum: 24%
  • General Election: 11%
  • Withdrawal Agreement: 8%

Whilst a cleaner Brexit is comfortably popular among the public, according to  Election Maps UK, just 116 MPs support it. This is despite 498 MPs voting to set No Deal as the legal default when they triggered Article 50…

Tories Polling Six Points Ahead

Despite Theresa May heading towards what could be the biggest Government defeat in modern political history tomorrow, the Tories are still a comfortable six points ahead of Labour according to the latest YouGov poll. The Tories are on 41%, ahead of Labour on 35% with the Lib Dems and UKIP trailing behind on 11% and 4%. Voters are still favouring chaos with the Conservatives over chaos with Corbyn…

PMI Data UK Up, Eurozone Down

December services PMI numbers are out, for the UK it was 51.2, compared to 50.4 in November; estimates were for 50.7. So the UK surprised on the upside and is rising…

In the Eurozone the number was also 51.2 compared to 53.4 in November, with Germany at 51.8 (November was 53.3), France dropped significantly to 48.7 (November 55.1). European optimism about the economy is declining..

The UK economy grew 0.6% quarter over quarter in Q3 which makes for annual growth of 1.5%. The French economy grew 0.3% quarter over quarter in Q3 which makes for an annual increase of 1.4%. They’ll want to keep that cross channel trade flowing…

Public Think Politics Would Be ‘More Chaotic’ Under Labour

Sky Data have found that the public think by a large margin that a Labour government would make politics more chaotic, not more stable. Just one third of voters (33%) thought electing Labour would stabilise politics, compared to 45% who said it would do precisely the exact opposite. The public thinks things are not so bad that they couldn’t get worse.

Despite the events of the last three weeks, Theresa May leads Jeremy Corbyn by 20 points (42%-22%) in terms of who the public thinks would be more competent to lead the country through Brexit. A massive 36% responded with ‘don’t know’…

Employment Highest Since Records Began

Official ONS figures released today have revealed that the UK employment rate is estimated to be 75.7%, a significant increase on last year’s 75.1%, and the highest rate since estimates began in 1971. Similarly unemployment is at near record lows at 4.1%, down from 4.3% this time last year. Wages are also up by 3.3%, the fastest rise in a decade. All despite Brexit…

Two Thirds of Brits Want Low Tax Pro-Business Economy

ComRes has found that the UK is split almost down the middle in almost every aspect of Brexit, apart from what happens next. The polling organisation has found that two thirds of voters say that once the Brexit process is complete,

“the UK should try to become the lowest tax, business-friendliest country in Europe, focused on building strong international trade links.”

Amazingly this statement is supported by all age groups and all political affiliations, including 54% of Labour Party supporters. The low tax, free trading, ‘alternate economic model’ Brexit Britain the media scoffs at is actually incredibly popular…

ConHome Survey: Majority of Tories Want May Gone Now

The proportion of Tory members who want May gone as Prime Minister now has hit 50% for the first time in ConservativeHome’s monthly membership survey. 80% think she should go immediately or before the next election. These are the highest percentages ever recorded since ConservativeHome started asking this question following last year’s general election. She may be ahead in the polls, but the Prime Minister has never been less popular with her party…

Tories Surge To 5% Lead Over Labour

Extraordinarily, after the last two and a half weeks which have seen the Tory civil war laid bare, an attempted ‘not-a-coup’, cabinet and ministerial resignations, and a deeply unpopular launch of a far from satisfactory Withdrawal Agreement… the Tories are leading Labour by 40 – 35%.

Number 10 must be counting its lucky stars that this was the time UKIP leader Gerard Batten decided to appoint Tommy Robinson as an advisor, prompting more moderate Kippers to jump ship and UKIP to languish on 6%. Brexiteers have nowhere else to go…

Second Referendum Poll: No Deal Beats Remain

New DeltaPoll research has found that if a second referendum were held, the public would back ‘No Deal’ over ‘Remain’ by 52-48%. And that’s achieved in the absence of a leave campaign, with the public being subjected to a constant torrent of un-combatted Remain campaigning over the last two years.

The poll even shows that the public prefer May’s deal to Remain. Be careful what you wish for Remainers…

Just 36% of Brits Want to Stop Brexit

Just 8% of Brits support the idea of having a second referendum, according to the latest poll by YouGov. Added to the people who want to stop Brexit by other means, only 36% of voters would like to see the result of the referendum reversed. By contrast adding together the different Brexit options sees 46% of voters in favour of EU withdrawal. Nothing has changed…

Voters Want May (and Her Deal) Gone Now

YouGov have found that the British public want Theresa May to stand down as Prime Minister by 47-33%. An even clearer majority of leave voters want her gone…

The public also believe May’s Brexit deal does not respect the referendum result. Contrary to the narrative, Leave voters clearly don’t see Brexit as all about immigration…

Boris is Still UK’s Most Popular Politician

Boris Johnson tops out YouGov’s list of politicians by popularity, with a positive rating of 32%, when you look at the net approval ratings Boris is 3 points ahead of Theresa. The other Tory frontrunners to replace May, David Davis and Sajid Javid come in at 18th and 33rd respectively. Despite the unforgiving treatment in the remainstream media Boris still has better net approval ratings than both May and Corbyn…

More people have heard of Jacob Rees-Mogg (72%) than Ruth Davidson (62%), however the people who have the highest recognition ratings are Boris, May and Corbyn coming in at 97%, 100%, and 98% respectively. This helps explain Sajid’s dismally low numbers…

Finally, the public don’t appear to be too enthusiastic about a David Cameron comeback. Despite his name recognition, Dave comes in at 23rd, with just 18% approval and a worse negative rating than Nigel Farage…

ConHome Leader Survey: Boris Still Leading… Just

Sajid Javid continues to inch his way up in the estimations of Tory members, meanwhile Boris’ support has slipped by ten percentage points. Last Month Boris was on 30%, and David Davis on 6%. This month Boris falls to 19%, with DD soaring to third place on 13%. Michael Gove, who once topped the survey is now firmly in the also rans. The wider top ten includes the fresh faces of Penny Morduant, Liz Truss and James Cleverly. It’s a very wide field and there’s all to play for…

52% vs 48% on ‘No Deal’

A Hanbury Strategy snap poll for Politico following the Budget has found that there is a 52% – 48% split on whether no deal would be a problem for public finances or not.

48% of the country agreed with the statement that “No Deal will mean there will be less money for public services – and it is NOT a price worth paying.” Whilst 52% of the country believe that “No Deal” either “will mean there will be less money for public services – and it is a price worth paying” or “won’t lead to less money for public services.” Nothing has changed…[…] Read the rest

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Quote of the Day

Liz Truss on the next Tory leader…

“In order to command public trust we need someone who has backed Brexit from the start, because of the situation we’re in now.”

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