Swinson Ends Election Even More Unpopular than Corbyn

From claiming she could be the next government to looking like they’ll actually lose seats, the Lib Dems have had a cracking campaign – and it’s all down to one woman: Jo Swinson. 

It’s known Swinson’s got more unpopular over the election. According to Ipsos MORI she is now officially less popular than Corbyn. Swinson’s net favourability has fallen from -20 a month ago to -31 today: 1% more unpopular than Corbyn’s -30. In the same period Corbyn’s become 9% more popular, Boris 6% less popular and Farage 4% down. Even Theresa May will be feeling sorry for Jo at this point…

See also: Jo Swinson Wiped from Lib Dem Leaflets

mdi-timer 11th December 2019 @ 3:30 pm 11th Dec 2019 @ 3:30 pm mdi-comment Comments
Second YouGov MRP Poll Halves Projected Tory Majority

The second YouGov MRP – this time of over 100,000 people – has halved their last predicted Tory majority; from 68 to only 28, Guido has been told by an insider polling expert…

It looks like the reduction is coming at the expense of both a handful of Tory campaign cock ups and a Brexit Party squeeze. However this last point could be reduced over the next 24 hours…

A CCHQ source told Guido they always knew the first MRP poll was overestimating the Tory lead. The question now is how this changes the media narrative; will it look like the Tories faltering and lose more votes, or make Brexit buttocks clench and cause a last minute Tory boost in target seats…

mdi-timer 10th December 2019 @ 9:55 pm 10th Dec 2019 @ 9:55 pm mdi-comment Comments
Tory Lead Grows as Polling Day Draws Closer

Quite conversely to 2017, as the UK enters the final week of this December election the Tories’ poll lead is in fact growing – and Labour is falling back.

According to the Britain Elects poll tracker, after a previously shrinking lead, the Tories start the week on 42.9% – +0.4% on last week; and Labour stalling with a fall of -0.1% to 33%.

Famously, online Corbynistas declare they only trust Survation polls, as they were the most accurate pollsters in 2017. Obviously most other pollsters are mere Tory stooges…

Unfortunately for Corbyn’s true believers, they waited only to see their favourite polling company declare a last-minute Tory surge of 3% up to a 14% lead over Labour, with Corbyn dropping by 2% on the last poll.

Even more infuriatingly for Labour was yesterday’s YouGov poll confirming the Tories now lead among working-class voters by 17% – in comparison to the 7% lead Labour enjoyed just four years ago. The Corbynistas are already making their excuses…

mdi-timer 9th December 2019 @ 10:15 am 9th Dec 2019 @ 10:15 am mdi-comment Comments
YouGov: Boris Wins Final Debate 52:48


UPDATE: Further breakdown of public reaction to the debate

mdi-timer 6th December 2019 @ 9:46 pm 6th Dec 2019 @ 9:46 pm mdi-comment Comments
Boris Increases Poll Lead over Corbyn as Preferred PM

A new Kantar poll has shown the public’s preference for Boris as PM has risen by 4% since their last poll on the 25th November – up to 41%; with Corbyn falling by 2% over the same period to 22%. It seems not even Richard Burgon’s increased campaign presence can turn around Corbyn’s fortunes…

This morning the FT reported that Tory strategists are anxiously watching for signs that Corbyn is catching up with Johnson in ‘best PM polls’, as this was one of the warning signs of May’s impending doom in 2017. This might steady the nerves of CCHQ somewhat then…

mdi-timer 3rd December 2019 @ 3:00 pm 3rd Dec 2019 @ 3:00 pm mdi-comment Comments
Labour Rakes in Big Money Donations

Labour is now leading the field among big-money donations totalling more than £7,500. Labour can always count on the Union Barons to bankroll a beleaguered Jeremy Corbyn. The Tories will be disappointed with their measly haul…

mdi-timer 28th November 2019 @ 3:33 pm 28th Nov 2019 @ 3:33 pm mdi-comment Comments
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