Tories 15 Points Ahead, Starmer Less Popular than Corbyn

A new YouGov poll now puts the Conservatives 15 points ahead of Labour nationally, with the Tories on 45% against Labour’s 30%. That’s a 2% gain for the Conservatives since the week of the local elections, and Labour’s worst result since the 14th April. It’s also only the second time Labour have dropped to 30% or below in the last year…

Worse yet for Sir Keir is that his own favourability is still stuck in the gutter. YouGov polling shows that not only is Starmer polling worse than Corbyn did at the same point of his leadership – with Sir Keir now on -48 compared to -40 for Corbyn in September 2016 – new data released today shows that nearly half of Labour’s 2019 voters believe that Andy Burnham would do a better job as Labour leader than Starmer. Of course, not that that matters to Burnham, who’ll be too busy with his mayoral duties to care about leadership rumours – it’s not like he’s just secured a column with the Evening Standard or anything…

mdi-timer 14 May 2021 @ 10:45 14 May 2021 @ 10:45 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
GDP Up 2.1% in March

The first month of cautious unlocking saw GDP growth of 2.1%, the fastest monthly growth since August 2020 – merely from schools in parts of the UK beginning to re-open. Could April and May’s figures compete with last June’s 9.1% rise?

Once again, the construction industry is the main driver, up 5.8% on the previous month and the only measure to be higher than pre-pandemic levels, by 2.4%. All areas were up, however, including manufacturing (+2.1%) and services (+1.9%), albeit still both down on their pre-pandemic levels by 2.2% and 7.2% respectively. Unfortunately it wasn’t strong enough to reverse the fortunes of Quarter 1 as a whole, with GDP falling 1.5% overall in the first three months…

mdi-timer 12 May 2021 @ 07:36 12 May 2021 @ 07:36 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Nurses Backed Tories Over Labour by 10 Points

Despite running an absurd local election campaign based on NHS pay – despite local councils not having any control over it – a new poll from NursingNotes reveals a massive 42% intended to vote for the Tories going into today’s midterms – versus just 32% for Labour. Despite only handing out a 1% payrise to them, Labour still haemorrhaged their votes…

The poll of 1,843 healthcare workers also showed 18% were planning on voting for local independents, with smaller parties picking up the final 3% of votes. As NursingNotes points out, a 2019 election survey found 82% voted for Corbyn versus just 6% for the Tories. Just one final blow to Starmer heading into the weekend…

mdi-timer 7 May 2021 @ 17:00 7 May 2021 @ 17:00 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Poll Shows Voters Don’t Care About ‘Tory Sleaze’

New data from YouGov shows that 70% of voters haven’t been following the claims that Tory donors fronted the costs for the Downing Street refurb. Despite it being Labour’s best attack line for the past month, 9% saying they aren’t aware of the story at all, 35% are aware though haven’t been following it, and 26% say they’ve not been doing so closely. Starmer’s been insisting all week that his sleaze allegations were “breaking through”…

The same poll also found that just 32% of voters thought that Labour could form a competent government, compared to 41% who thought the Tories were currently running one. 90% of voters also think the government has had an excellent vaccine rollout – and half credit Boris for its success. It looks like voters care more about shots in their arms than sleaze in the headlines, with the Tories heading into today’s mass poll with a ten-point lead…

mdi-timer 6 May 2021 @ 09:07 6 May 2021 @ 09:07 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Election Eve Final Polls Round-Up

Ahead of tomorrow’s local elections, Guido has put together a summary of what the final polls are predicting heading into election day. Broadly speaking, the SNP’s popularity has waned (although a majority is still within reach), enthusiasm for Scottish independence is declining, and the Tories are gaining on Labour in Wales. Undecided voters could make a real difference in both administrations.

Khan is the runaway favourite in London, whilst both the Conservative mayoral candidates in the Tees Valley and the West Midlands are far ahead of their Labour rivals. Survation’s bombshell poll for the Hartlepool by-election also projects a big Conservative win.

Here’s the breakdown… 

Scotland:

Savanta Comres MSP seat projection:

Ipsos Mori MSP seat projection:

Wales:

YouGov Senedd voting intention:

London Mayor:

Opinium first round voting intention:

Opinium runoff voting intention:

Tees Valley Mayor

Opinium voting intention:

West Midlands Mayor

Opinium voting intention:

Hartlepool By-Election

Survation voting intenion:

mdi-timer 5 May 2021 @ 16:26 5 May 2021 @ 16:26 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Sturgeon’s Covid Rates Significantly Higher than Rest of UK’s

Statistics from the ONS this afternoon reveal Scotland is lagging significantly behind England, Wales and Northern Ireland in their Covid prevalence rate. Wales has the lowest rates by far, with one case per 1,570; followed by England’s 1,010; and Northern Ireland’s 940. Scotland, however, is well behind the rest of the country’s progress, at one in every 640. Sturgeon’s so-called ‘good pandemic’ has always been a smokescreen of spin, rather than epidemiological success…

mdi-timer 30 April 2021 @ 15:55 30 Apr 2021 @ 15:55 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
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