Only 7% Cite Cummings as Reason for Loosening Lockdown

A new poll by YouGov finds only 7% of the public have started breaking lockdown rules more over the past week due to the coverage of Dominic Cummings’ Durham trip. Despite hacks spending days hyping up the public health effect the story would have…

73% of the public have continued following lockdown rules as strictly over the last week than previously, with 21% following rules less strictly. Of this latter group, one third mentioned Dominic Cummings in their reasons for their loosening. He was not even the primary reason given…

Guido can only imagine how much lower the 7% figure would be if the media and left-wing Twitterati hadn’t kept the story burning on for a week with fake sightings and speculationThe truth is, much of the media wanted this figure to be much higher so they could once again reignite the coverage…

mdi-timer 3 June 2020 @ 15:55 3 Jun 2020 @ 15:55 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Boris Approval Ratings Back in the Black

Sentiment towards Boris has bounced back from the negative since yesterday’s stark figures from Savanta, which showed the PM’s net approval ratings falling from +19 points to -1 in just four days; today, the same pollster has Boris back up to +7. Weekend’s plunge looking more like a temporary blip..

mdi-timer 27 May 2020 @ 17:30 27 May 2020 @ 17:30 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Boris Net Approval Goes Negative, Government Approval Drops 16 Points

The first batch of polls are out and they do not make good reading for Downing Street. Boris now has a negative rating of -1% according to Savanta, who have him well behind Starmer (+12%). Boris has taken a significant hit, falling from +19% just four days ago to -1% today. Is this a Cummings caused temporary blip or a permanent state of affairs remains to be seen.

ComRes has overall support falling by 16 points this weekend to -2% due to the Cummings affair. At the start of the month they enjoyed 35% backing…

Cummings told reporters he doesn’t care how his lockdown travel looks; Boris does on the other hand have to care about popularity. Those in Downing Street with long memories will recall that on a Bank holiday weekend in 2009, the then PM’s special adviser Damian McBride’s misbehaviour saw Labour drop 9% points that weekend. The Tories broke through the 40% ceiling in the polls and went on to win the next election…

mdi-timer 26 May 2020 @ 10:45 26 May 2020 @ 10:45 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
Government Borrowing Smashes All Forecasts

The newly-released April borrowing figures from the ONS show Government borrowing rose by £62.1 billion – double the £30.7 billion economists had predicted for the month and now means the government has already borrowed what it expected to borrow for the year. The highest monthly figure ever recorded…

A fall in consumer spending meant a plummet in VAT receipts, comparable to the amount seen before the Government implemented the 20% rate

The massive spike in borrowing takes UK debt to £1.88 trillion – 97.7% of GDP. The highest since the 1950s…

mdi-timer 22 May 2020 @ 08:47 22 May 2020 @ 08:47 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
SW1 Pundits Getting Excited About Starmer

Most pundits detest Boris, they despise his joie de vivre (currently being stress tested), they hate him for winning the Brexit vote, they’re jealous that one of their own could become PM despite his overtly jocular and fun loving personality. They despair that he wins consistently against the odds and their preferred outcomes; Mayor of London, winning the Brexit referendum, the Tory leadership, followed by a stonking majority Conservative government. After the hopelessly flawed Corbyn, Starmer is therefore a relief and their new great hope.

Boris and Number 10 will be conscious that even their usual media allies like The Telegraph are restless and taking a fresh look at Labour’s new leader. For the first time in a long time it is true to say both main party leaders have positive net approval ratings with the public. As Starmer has become better known his ratings and his party’s ratings have improved, pollsters show the voting intention gap is narrowing and consequently much of SW1 is getting excited. The 2024 election is looking like it could be a very competitive election. Labour’s media allies were beginning to look forward to the weekly PMQs confrontation for the first time in a decade. Maybe a little less so after today

mdi-timer 20 May 2020 @ 14:25 20 May 2020 @ 14:25 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
EU Report Shows Care Home Covid Deaths Lower in UK

A new report from EU’s Centre for Disease Prevention and Control on the prevalence of Covid-19 in long term care facilities includes a useful comparison between European countries, which may surprise British commentators. The EU’s numbers show that the prevalence of deaths in UK care homes is comparatively lower as a percentage than in other European countries. Guido brings you the comparison:

  • Spain 66%
  • Norway 61% (including out of hospital settings)
  • Belgium 51%
  • Sweden 50%
  • France 50%
  • Germany 37%
  • UK 21%

In the UK, according to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, 21% deaths have occurred in care homes as of last week’s statistics, far below most EU counterparts. This rather undermines Starmer’s political argument that care homes are primarily to blame for the UK’s relatively high Covid-19 mortality rate…

mdi-timer 20 May 2020 @ 11:41 20 May 2020 @ 11:41 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
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