Badenoch’s team briefed yesterday that they were “slightly concerned at possible narrowing of the race… ConHome poll tomorrow rumoured to be positive for Jenrick.” At which point Deputy Editor Henry Hill made clear that he was the only one with the ability to see the score, and even he hadn’t checked it…
The final event in ConHome’s closely-watched leadership polling series has Kemi leading by 24 points at 55%. Jenrick sits on 31% and 14% say they don’t know. Kemi is up 4 points from the beginning of September, Jenrick is down 3. A decisive lead. The poll is of 828 members – the largest number so far…
Jenrick is giving a speech on foreign policy and defence this morning. He better hope it makes an impression…
The latest instalment of Conservative Home’s Shadow Cabinet league table has lifted the scores of most current Tory figures. The conference effect…
Only Sunak and Mitchell are in the negative while Hunt enjoys a post-election uplift. Benefits of basically being LOTO for a few months…
Badenoch remains in the lead, though ironically the biggest gains have been accrued by Cleverly and Tugendhat, both out of the leadership race. They’ve gained 16 and 13 points respectively. Jenrick isn’t recorded as he isn’t a Shadow Minister. By this time next month the new Tory leader will be in place and the Shadow Cabinet will look a bit different…
ConHome’s latest survey among Tory members will make happy reading for Team Kemi. The shadow housing secretary pips the polls at 34%, twice as many has her rival Robert Jenrick, who trails second at 18%. She also beats all other candidates at a head-to-head contest…
A Tory insider says:
“It’s looking like a landslide with the members, as it was in 2022. But back then MPs sent them Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak… and we know how that turned out. Are we really going to make the same mistake again?”
Meanwhile, MPs are preparing to vote in the first round to whittle down the number of candidates. All to play for…?
The April instalment of Conservative Home’s cabinet league table has ministers continuing their drop into single-digit and negative ratings. It’s another record-breaking month as March’s all-time high number 11 ministers in the red is beaten thirty days later with 12 viewed unfavourably. That’s over half the cabinet disapproved of by loyal Tory members…
The top three remain the same, though Penny Mordaunt has fallen from the throne to sit just below Johnny Mercer as Kemi Badenoch retakes top spot – the only minister to score above what usually counts as a high medium score of 50. Illegal Migration Minister Michael Tomlinson has kept sliding into the abyss with a -43% rating. Other cabinet heavy hitters are slipping down too. By Guido’s estimation Sunak’s score of -27.7% dips below his worst ever performance of -25.4% before Christmas. Will he break Chris Grayling’s record of -71.6% before the election?
The February instalment of Conservative Home’s cabinet league table has ministers slipping from their pre-Christmas highs. The top three positions have remained unchanged, although Badenoch, Mordaunt, and Mercer have all lost a few points since December. Meanwhile, as Chris Heaton-Harris comes under the spotlight for his work on restoring power-sharing, he shoots up to fourth place. Actually getting things done does have its benefits…
Hunt and Sunak remain deep in the red, though the PM has improved from his worst ever score of -25.4% before Christmas to a slightly higher 18.4%. A tax-cutting budget in 30 days’ time may soothe Tory members’ nerves…
The post-reshuffle instalment of Conservative Home’s cabinet league table paints a bleak picture for Sunak. James Cleverly’s loyalty to Number 10 has stung him, with the new Home Secretary dropping down to 22nd place from number one last month. Sunak has slid back down over the last two months, now reaching depths of -25.4%, his lowest score yet. Hunt is up 10 points, though still in the red. Members don’t appear too pleased with Rishi’s pre-election machinations…
Kemi Badenoch has slipped into a Cleverly-shaped hole to take the gold medal. The Tory right’s darling now has a comfortable 14-point lead ahead of Penny Mordaunt in number two. Johnny Mercer sits in 3rd while Esther McVey’s entry into the table lands her straight into joint 4th place with Tom Tugendhat. Scores are falling all round – not an optimistic picture…
