Campaign Report: 29 Days to Go

roamin

Leave message: Hold politicians to account and take back control.

Remain message: Votin’ Remain is totes rad, dude.

Cut through: Cameron says holidays will cost more if we Leave, but the head of British Airways says fares won’t go up.

Leave social media count: 407,053 likes, 45,202 followers.

Remain social media count: 416,112 likes, 29,907 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/4, Leave 4/1

Latest poll: Remain 45%, Leave 45% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 55% (+1), Leave 45% (-1).

Campaign Report: 30 Days to Go

cameron osborne

Leave message: Turkey joining the EU will strain the NHS.

Remain message: Treasury report warns of recession upon Brexit.

Cut through: Brexit recession figures bashed by Sturgeon and Boris.

Leave social media count: 400,404 likes, 44,595 followers.

Remain social media count: 413,164 likes, 29,611 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/6 Leave 7/2

Latest poll: Remain 44% (-8), Leave 40% (-1) (Opinium, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 54% (-1), Leave 46% (+1).

Campaign Report: 33 Days to Go

abbey road

Leave message: Paxman bashes the undemocratic and overly powerful EU.

Remain message: Luvvies love the EU (and its funding).

Cut through: Gove: staying in the EU will add five million to population.

Leave social media count: 384,616 likes, 43,262 followers.

Remain social media count: 407,140 likes, 28,970 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/9 Leave 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 52% (+8), Leave 41% (+1) (ComRes, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 55% (+2), Leave 45% (-2).

Campaign Report: 34 Days to Go

lord owen

Leave message: Lord Owen bashes TTIP and the failing Euro.

Remain message: The Fujitsu chairman calls UK the centre of the EU.

Cut through: Rebel Tory MPs backing an anti-TTIP amendment to the Queen’s Speech.

Leave social media count: 381,270 likes, 42,938 followers.

Remain social media count: 405,469 likes, 28,771 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 7/2

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 40% (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53%, Leave 47%.

Yesterday’s Ipsos-Mori poll effect on financial markets:

ipm-brexit

Campaign Report: 35 Days to Go

boris carswell bus

Leave message: New members will cripple the NHS.

Remain message: Independent academics back Remain.

Cut through: None.

Leave social media count: 377,961 likes, 42,637 followers.

Remain social media count: 403,226 likes, 28,614 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/4 Leave 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 44% (+6), Leave 40% (-1) (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (+3), Leave 47% (-3).

Campaign Report: 36 Days to Go

carswell johnson

Leave message: Leadsom: Energy security at risk with Remain.

Remain message: McDonnell: Worker’s rights at risk with Leave.

Cut through: Cameron says ISIS wants Brexit.

Leave social media count: 373,260 likes, 42,238 followers.

Remain social media count: 400,200 likes, 28,355 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 13/5

Latest poll: Remain 38% (-5), Leave 41% (-6) (TNS, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: 37 Days to Go

osborne balls

Leave message: Single Market has failed British exporters.

Remain message: PM thinks leaving would be a “national error”.

Cut through: Osborne, Cable and Balls team up to back Remain.

Leave social media count: 370,883 likes, 42,004 followers.

Remain social media count: 398,784 likes, 28,175 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 13/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (-1), Leave 47% (+1) (ICM, online); Remain 47% (-1), Leave 39% (-2) (ICM, Phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 29

patel

Leave message: IMF bullying British voters and cheating purdah rules.

Remain message: “Independent” institutions back Remain.

Cut through: Christine Lagarde.

Leave social media count: 361,731 likes, 41,072 followers.

Remain social media count: 394,153 likes, 27,631 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 28

boris angle grinder

Leave message: Immigration stats confirm UK can’t control borders.

Remain message: Small businesses think Brexit will damage them.

Cut through: Cummings loses the plot (again).

Leave social media count: 358,767 likes, 40,825 followers.

Remain social media count: 393,225 likes, 27,464 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 27

banks eu

Leave message: Boris’ Brexit bus tour begins, and the nasty banks back Remain.

boris blunder bus

Remain message: Boris’ bus is foreign and would be more expensive if we leave.

Cut through: Gordon’s intervention.

Leave social media count: 353,842 likes, 40,301 followers.

Remain social media count: 392,261 likes, 27,263 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 26

ids

Leave message: Global exporters and businesses within the domestic market want out.

Remain message: Brits are £1,800 better off in.

Cut through: IDS says Merkel pulled strings on EU negotiations.

Leave social media count: 350,548 likes, 39,950 followers.

Remain social media count: 391,517 likes, 27,037 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 25

boris dave

Leave message: Don’t listen to remain snobs – there is a cosmopolitan case for Leave.

Remain message: World War Two Veterans support remain, World War Three might happen with Brexit.

Cut through: Boris vs Dave.

Leave social media count: 348,137 likes, 39,608 followers.

Remain social media count: 389,707 likes, 26,805 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44% (+1), Leave 46% (+1) (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 22

vote leave lamb

Leave message: EU is cruel to animals through blocking bans on live animal exports.

world leaders remain

Remain message: World elite supports Remain.

Cut through: Nil.

Leave social media count: 343,399 likes, 39,002 followers.

Remain social media count: 384,718 likes, 26,385 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 43% (-1), Leave 45% (BMG, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 19

Leave message: Brexit is a message of hope.

Remain message: Experts support Remain. For example, Peter Mandelson.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 15

Leave message: 100 leading City names back leave.

Remain message: John Major says Remain will benefit future generations.

john major

Cut through: Survey reveals 58% of farmers back Brexit, while NFU still backs remain.

Leave social media count: 334,649 likes, 38,090 followers.

Remain social media count: 373,913 likes, 25,750 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 13

Leave message: James Cleverly says EU harms developing economies.

cleverly

Remain message: Farage can’t name many economic Brexit backers.

Cut through: OECD report claims Brexit will be a “tax”.

Leave social media count: 332,665 likes, 37,777 followers.

Remain social media count: 370,864 likes, 25,503 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 12

Remain message: Soubry says leaving would be bad for small businesses.

Leave message: Only way to control immigration is to vote Leave.

vote leave immigration

Cut through: Frank Field lays out left wing argument for Leave.

Leave social media count: 339,949 likes, 37,522 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 11

Remain message: EU keeps us more secure.

theresa may

Leave message: Expect mass immigration from new member states.

albania join

Cut through: Theresa May admits Britain could go it alone.

Leave social media count: 329,549 likes, 37,296 followers.

Remain social media count: 366,667 likes, 25,191 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 8

Remain message: Obama wants Britain to Remain.

obama dc

Leave message: Obama is hypocritically interfering in the referendum.

farage obama

Cut through: Obama on US/UK trade agreement: “UK’s going to be at the back of the queue.”

Leave social media count: 327,823 likes, 36,541 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Campaign Report: Day 7

Leave message: Spend the £350 million we send to the EU every week on the NHS.

vote leave money

Remain message: Yanks say Remain.

Cut through: Obama visiting.

Leave social media count: 327,513 likes, 36,293 followers.

Remain social media count: 358,005 likes, 24,303 followers.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

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Quote of the Day

Councillor John Thomas, Keith Vaz’s Leicester East Constituency Labour Party Chairman says…

“This is great disappointment to me, realising that I have spent over 30 years of my life working for a party that I now know that I have nothing in common with. This is not the party I joined, the party for decent working people. I can no longer follow the clown that leads the Labour Party, he is heavily influenced by the Trotskyite Len McCluskey and is now as the Hoki Coki leader, in out, and shake it all about he has turned this great party into a laughing stock.”

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