10 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Continued pressure on new security clampdown policies following Friday’s attack
  • Immigration day for the Tories, announcing EU visitors will need US-style electronic clearance
  •  Topline(s):
    • End the paralysis

LABOUR

  • Announcement they will cut commuter fairs by 1/3, saving around £1000 for commuters
  • Push back that the Tories have to stop politicising the London Bridge attack
  • Labour will restore the miners’ pension fund
  •  Topline(s):
    • Let’s take back control of our railways to bring down fares

LIB DEM

  • Pushing Hugh Grant’s involvement campaigning for their candidates
  • Announcement they will transform mental health services
  • Topline(s):
    • We’re unwrapping the 12 biggest lies of Brexit

Cut through

  • London Bridge terror attack fall out
  • Rail strikes

Latest polls:

Survation: CON: 42% (+1) LAB: 33% (+3) LDEM: 11% (-4) BREX: 3% (-2)
YouGov: CON: 43% (-) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-) BREX: 2% (-2)
DeltapollUK: CON: 45% (+2) LAB: 32% (+2) LDEM: 15% (-1) BREX: 3% (-)

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 1/2 (2/5)
    • No overall: 7/4 (9/4)
    • Labour: 20/1 (20/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 2 December 2019 @ 18:02 2 Dec 2019 @ 18:02 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
13 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Big Vote Leave reunion with Gisela Stewart
  • Continued arguments with Channel 4
  • Bad press over comments Boris made in the 90s about single mothers and working-class men
  •  Topline(s):
    • Unite behind Boris to get Brexit

LABOUR

  • Continuing their environmental messaging
  • Launch of their West Midlands manifesto
  •  Topline(s):
    • Boris must do an Andrew Neil interview

LIB DEM

  • Can’t fight climate change by leaving the EU
  • Topline(s):
    • Boris is sexist and patronising

Cut through

  • London Bridge terror attack

Latest polls:

PanelbaseMD: CON: 42% (-) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-1) BREX: 4% (+1)

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 2/5 (4/11)
    • No overall: 9/4 (9/4)
    • Labour: 20/1 (20/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 29 November 2019 @ 17:08 29 Nov 2019 @ 17:08 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
14 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Trying to downplay YouGov poll to avoid voter complacency
  • Advertising the cost of Corbyn
  • Boris avoiding Channel 4 debate on climate tonight
  • Second election ad tonight
  •  Topline(s):
    • Get Brexit Done

LABOUR

  • Shift to more pro-Brexit messaging in the north after YouGov projects big losses
  • Launch of Green Manifesto – 2 billion trees to be planted
  • Sustained pressure on UK-US trade deal and the NHS
  •  Topline(s):
    • Ordinary people won’t pay more tax

LIB DEM

  • Revert to referendum rather than revoke after bad YouGov projection
  • Swinson speech attacking Boris; emphasising they’re targeting Tory rather than Labour seats
  •  Topline(s):
    • Boris not fit to be PM

Cut through

  • YouGov Poll
  • IFS attack Labour and Tories’ costings

Latest polls:

YouGov MRP Model: CON: 359 LAB: 211 SNP: 43 LDEM: 13
SavantaComRes: CON: 41% (-1) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-2) BREX: 5% (-)

IpsosMORI – Scotland: SNP 44% CON 26% LAB 16% LDEM 11%

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 4/11 (4/9)
    • No overall: 9/4 (15/8)
    • Labour: 20/1 (25/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 28 November 2019 @ 16:21 28 Nov 2019 @ 16:21 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
15 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Leapt on Corbyn’s Brillo interview
  • Big day rebutting Corbyn’s unredacted UK-US trade talk documents
  • Tories will bring an end to bad phone signal within 100 days of taking government
  •  Topline(s):
    • Labour has admitted low-earners will pay more tax
    • NHS not for sale

LABOUR

  • The supposedly seismic unveiling of unredacted US-UK trade documents
  • Trying to shift the headlines away from Corbyn’s disastrous Brillo interview
  •  Topline(s):
    • The Tories will sell the NHS

LIB DEM

  • Conference where Heseltine said he’d back the Lib Dems
  •  Topline(s):
    • Only Boris Johnson & his backers Nigel Farage & Donald Trump may stand to benefit from Brexit

SNP

  • Manifesto launch today
  • Topline(s):
    • Vote SNP to lock Boris Johnson’s Tories out of office.
    • Vote SNP to take power into your own hands – hands of the people of Scotland.

Cut through

  • Labour’s unredacted document announcement
  • Corbyn’s Brillo interview

Latest polls:

YouGov: CON: 43% (+1) LAB: 32% (+2) LEDM: 13% (-3) BREX: 4% (+1)

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 4/9 (4/9)
    • No overall: 15/8 (15/8)
    • Labour: 20/1 (25/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 27 November 2019 @ 16:50 27 Nov 2019 @ 16:50 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
16 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Tories’ Scottish Manifesto launch
  • Speech from Sajid attacking Corbyn’s proposed tax rises
  •  Topline(s):
    • Labour means taxes for the many, not the few

LABOUR

  • Dogged by the Chief Rabbi’s domination of headlines saying Corbyn isn’t fit to be PM
  • Chaotic launch of their Race and Faith manifesto
  •  Topline(s):
    • Register to vote

LIB DEM

  • Boasted their social security pledges will see child poverty fall more than Labour’s
  • Will expand the blue belt
  •  Topline(s):
    • Continued focusing of attacks onto Boris

Cut through

  • Chief Rabbi’s comments about Corbyn, Antisemitism fallout

Latest polls:

YouGov: CON: 43% (+1) LAB: 32% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-3) BREX: 4% (+1)
KantarPublic: CON: 43% (-2) LAB: 32% (+5) LDEM: 14% (-2) BREX: 4% (+1)

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 4/9 (4/11)
    • No overall: 15/8 (9/4)
    • Labour: 20/1 (25/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 26 November 2019 @ 17:59 26 Nov 2019 @ 17:59 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
17 Days to Go

TORIES

  • Riding off their manifesto launch headlines this morning
  • Tough questions over the truth of their £50,000 nurse pledge
  • Launch of their Welsh Manifesto
  •  Topline(s):
    • We’ll get Brexit done. Vote for a Prime Minister, not a prime ditherer

LABOUR

  • New renter policies, with new rights charter and cap on rents
  • Fallout from announcement of £53 billion to pay for Waspi women pensions
  • Topline(s):
    • Register to vote

LIB DEM

  • Lib Dems will tackle rogue landlords and provide rent deposit loans
  • Big pivot to focus on attacking Boris
  •  Topline(s):
    • Boris is a right-wing authoritarian nationalist

Cut through

  • Lorry driver admits plot after 39 migrant deaths
  • Uber lose licence

Latest polls:

ICMResearch: CON: 41% (-1) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-) BREX: 4% (-1)
Survation: CON: 41% (-1) LAB: 30% (+2) LDEM: 15% (+1) BREX: 5% (-)
SavantaComRes: CON: 42% (-) LAB: 32% (+1) LDEM: 15% (-) BREX: 5% (-)
DeltapollUK: CON: 43% (-2) LAB: 30% (-) LDEM: 16% (+5) BREX: 3% (-3)

YouGov – Wales: LAB: 32% (+9) CON: 32% (+4) PC: 11% (-1) LDEM: 9% (-3) BREX: 8% (-7)
PanelbaseMD – Scotland: SNP: 40% (+1) CON: 28% (+7) LAB: 20% (+1) LDEM: 11% (-2)

PaddyPower Majority Odds (Previous in Brackets):

    • Tories: 4/11 (1/2)
    • No overall: 9/4 (7/4)
    • Labour: 25/1 (25/1)
    • Lib Dems: 250/1 (250/1)
mdi-timer 25 November 2019 @ 17:11 25 Nov 2019 @ 17:11 mdi-twitter mdi-facebook mdi-whatsapp mdi-telegram mdi-linkedin mdi-email mdi-comment View Comments
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