Campaign Report: 2 Days to Go

podium

Leave message: Steve Hilton says Cameron knows Britain can’t control EU immigration.

Remain message: George Soros backs Remain.

Cut through: The PM’s appeal to Remain.

Leave social media count: 521,676 likes, 64,715 followers.

Remain social media count: 514,910 likes, 44,499 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 3/1

poll of polls 20062016

Latest poll: Remain 42% (-2), Leave 44% (+1) (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50% (+2), Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: 8 Days to Go

brexit flotilla collage

Leave message: Remain’s threats and scare tactics are totally hollow.

Remain message: Osborne: We’ll bring in a post-Brexit budget full of cuts and taxes.

Cut through: Farage’s fishermen flotilla fly flags for freedom.

Leave social media count: 495,292 likes, 60,663 followers.

Remain social media count: 478,435 likes, 39,674 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/7, Leave 13/8

pop

Latest poll: Remain 39% (-1), Leave 46% (+3) (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 48% (-1), Leave 52% (+1).

Campaign Report: 9 Days to Go

beleave in britain

Leave message: Leave ministers commit to same level of EU funding post-Brexit.

Remain message: Corbyn: Stay, or the NHS gets it.

Cut through: The Sun comes out for Leave.

Leave social media count: 488,043 likes, 59,735 followers.

Remain social media count: 474,801 likes, 38,521 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/6, Leave 6/4

Latest poll: Remain 40% (-1), Leave 47% (+4) (TNS, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 49% (+1), Leave 51% (-1).

Campaign Report: 10 Days to Go

p-o-p-31-6

Leave message: Three quarter of a million new EU citizens now have the right to come to the UK.

Remain message: Gordon Brown says Brexit would be bad for jobs.

Cut through: Nothing really.

Leave social media count: 484,206 likes, 58,937 followers.

Remain social media count: 472,414 likes, 37,955 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/7, Leave 9/5

Latest poll: Remain 45% (+3), Leave 50% (+5) (ICM, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 48% (-3), Leave 52% (+3).

Campaign Report: 13 Days to Go

LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - JUNE 9: (NO ARCHIVE AFTER JUNE 30, 2016) In this handout image provided by ITV, Former Mayor of London Boris Johnson argues for Britain to leave the EU during The ITV Referendum Debate on June 9, 2016 in London, United Kingdom. During the two hour long live debate participants answered questions posed by the audience. Nicola Sturgeon, Angela Eagle and Amber Rudd argued for staying in the EU, whilst Boris Johnson, Andrea Leadsom and Gisela Stuarttake argued for leaving the EU. (Photo by Matt Frost/ITV via Getty Images)

Leave message: John Mann: We can create a more equal society if we Leave.

Remain message: Remain makes travel easier/cheaper.

Cut through: Boris interested in power, not Brexit.

Leave social media count: 474,264 likes, 56,624 followers.

Remain social media count: 465,727 likes, 36,696 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 14 Days to Go

blair major

Leave message: Latest trade stats show the UK is more likely than ever to get an EU trade deal post-Brexit.

Remain message: Stop Nigel, register to vote.

Cut through: Major and Blair: Brexit would “tear apart” UK.

Leave social media count: 469,678 likes, 54,829 followers.

Remain social media count: 464,073 likes, 35,868 followers.

Odds: Remain 3/10, Leave 16/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 15 Days to Go

Hancock

Leave message: Raab says: massive advantages to controlled migration.

Remain message: Hague says: Leave is a risk to the economy.

Cut through: Voter registration extended until June 9.

Leave social media count: 464,699 likes, 54,049 followers.

Remain social media count: 461,798 likes, 35,398 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 16 Days to Go

dave

Leave message: EU rules mean we can’t extradite foreign villains.

Remain message: Last day to register to vote.

Cut through: PM bashes Brexit “Untruths”.

Leave social media count: 459,406 likes, 52,615 followers.

Remain social media count: 459,661 likes, 34,817 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/11, Leave between 13/5 and 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 17 Days to Go

nathalie bennett bse bus

Leave message: Stay and we’ll be paying for the Eurozone’s failure.

Remain message: Cameron, Farron, Harman and Bennett united: Leave must make plans clear.

Cut through: Polls changing drastically in Leave’s favour.

Leave social media count: 456,041 likes, 51,907 followers.

Remain social media count: 456,247 likes, 34,318 followers.

Odds: Remain 4/9, Leave between 11/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (-1), Leave 48% (+1) (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 21 Days to Go

Football Brexit

Leave message: Patriotic England footballers for Brexit!

Remain message: Farmers weekly back Remain.

Cut through: Cameron’s grilling on Sky’s #InOrOut Debate.

Leave social media count: 446,349 likes, 49,936 followers.

Remain social media count: 449,429 likes, 32,921 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/5, Leave between 12/5

Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 21 Days to Go

patrick stewart facepalm

Leave message: Liam Fox says EU migration causes intense pressure on housing.

Remain message: Patrick Stewart doesn’t want postwar Europe to unravel.

Cut through: Corbyn finally joins the In campaign, mixed results.

Leave social media count: 443,227 likes, 49,283 followers.

Remain social media count: 448,263 likes, 32,622 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave between 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 22 Days to Go

boris gove

Leave message: £50,000,000 gamification from Vote Leave.

Remain message: EU will create 100,000 future jobs.

Cut through: Australian points based immigration system if we Leave.

Leave social media count: 439,356 likes, 48,785 followers.

Remain social media count: 444,703 likes, 32,285 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave between 14/5 & 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51% (-1), Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 22 Days to Go

oil rig

Leave message: Government would axe fuel VAT post-Brexit.

Remain message: Lord Sugar says Remain’s better for business.

Cut through: Fuel VAT cut post-Brexit.

Leave social media count: 434,209 likes, 48,062 followers.

Remain social media count: 440,282 likes, 31,838 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 47% (ICM, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 52%, Leave 49%.

Campaign Report: 27 Days to Go

boris sky leave

Leave message: Take back control over immigration.

Remain message: Sadiq Khan says Europe means jobs.

Cut through: Immigration figures show a huge rise in EU migration – particularly from Romania and Bulgaria.

Leave social media count: 416,091 likes, 46,121 followers.

Remain social media count: 422,498 likes, 30,420 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/9, Leave 4/1

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 38% (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (-2), Leave 47% (+2).

Campaign Report: 28 Days to Go

veterans for britain

Leave message: Veterans say NATO is responsible for UK’s security, not the EU.

Remain message: Remain means lower prices in shops.

Cut through: IFS.

Leave social media count: 412,093 likes, 45,685 followers.

Remain social media count: 419,575 likes, 30,196 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/5, Leave 9/2

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 38% (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (-2), Leave 47% (+2).

Campaign Report: 29 Days to Go

roamin

Leave message: Hold politicians to account and take back control.

Remain message: Votin’ Remain is totes rad, dude.

Cut through: Cameron says holidays will cost more if we Leave, but the head of British Airways says fares won’t go up.

Leave social media count: 407,053 likes, 45,202 followers.

Remain social media count: 416,112 likes, 29,907 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/4, Leave 4/1

Latest poll: Remain 45%, Leave 45% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 55% (+1), Leave 45% (-1).

Campaign Report: 30 Days to Go

cameron osborne

Leave message: Turkey joining the EU will strain the NHS.

Remain message: Treasury report warns of recession upon Brexit.

Cut through: Brexit recession figures bashed by Sturgeon and Boris.

Leave social media count: 400,404 likes, 44,595 followers.

Remain social media count: 413,164 likes, 29,611 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/6 Leave 7/2

Latest poll: Remain 44% (-8), Leave 40% (-1) (Opinium, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 54% (-1), Leave 46% (+1).

Campaign Report: 33 Days to Go

abbey road

Leave message: Paxman bashes the undemocratic and overly powerful EU.

Remain message: Luvvies love the EU (and its funding).

Cut through: Gove: staying in the EU will add five million to population.

Leave social media count: 384,616 likes, 43,262 followers.

Remain social media count: 407,140 likes, 28,970 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/9 Leave 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 52% (+8), Leave 41% (+1) (ComRes, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 55% (+2), Leave 45% (-2).

Campaign Report: 34 Days to Go

lord owen

Leave message: Lord Owen bashes TTIP and the failing Euro.

Remain message: The Fujitsu chairman calls UK the centre of the EU.

Cut through: Rebel Tory MPs backing an anti-TTIP amendment to the Queen’s Speech.

Leave social media count: 381,270 likes, 42,938 followers.

Remain social media count: 405,469 likes, 28,771 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 7/2

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 40% (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53%, Leave 47%.

Yesterday’s Ipsos-Mori poll effect on financial markets:

ipm-brexit

Campaign Report: 35 Days to Go

boris carswell bus

Leave message: New members will cripple the NHS.

Remain message: Independent academics back Remain.

Cut through: None.

Leave social media count: 377,961 likes, 42,637 followers.

Remain social media count: 403,226 likes, 28,614 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/4 Leave 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 44% (+6), Leave 40% (-1) (YouGov, online). […] Read the rest

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Peter Mandelson tells Emma Barnett…

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