Cat Smith’s Comical Ali Moment

Top Corbynista Cat Smith tells ITV why Labour’s performance in Copeland was still an “incredible achievement”. Of all the things said by Labour politicians today, surely the most ridiculous…

Dimbleby Calls Copeland Wrong

11:12pm last night:

“Copeland has been held by Labour. The Tories haven’t taken Copeland.”

David Dimbleby’s sources on the ground let him down…

Momentum: ‘We Proved Them Wrong… This Shows We Can Win Across the Country’

Hilarious email sent by Momentum to their supporters this morning under the subject line: “We proved them wrong”.

“The sceptics wrote us off in Stoke but we proved them wrong. We beat them with our energy, passion and determination.

The Tories may have taken Copeland, but I’ve seen everything we need to win across the country right here in Stoke these last few weeks.

If we build on the momentum from this win, we can beat UKIP and the Tories across the country.”

What are they smoking?

Nuttall Getaway: “Where the F**k’s the Car?”

Exasperated ‘Kipper Lisa Duffy cried: “Where the hell’s the car? Where the f**k’s the car?” as Nuttall made a hasty getaway last night. Taxi…

Tories Win Copeland

Trudy Harrison, Tory13,748 (44%)

Gillian Troughton, Labour11,601 (37%)

Rebecca Hanson, LibDems2,252 (7.2%)

Fiona Mills, UKIP2,025 (6.5%)

Tory majority of 2,147. First government by-election gain since 1982. Best result for a government in a by-election since 1966. Truly dire result for Labour.

Labour Hold Stoke

Gareth Snell, Labour7,853 (37%)

Paul Nuttall, UKIP5,233 (25%)

Jack Brereton, Tory5,154 (24%)

Zulfiqar Ali, LibDem2,083 (10%)

Labour hold Stoke with a 2,620 majority. Nuttall beat 25 year old Tory no hoper Jack Brereton by 79 votes…

Hancock Can’t Name Tory Stoke Candidate

Poor old Jack Brereton…

By-Election Scenarios and Permutations

It is wet and windy up in Stoke and Copeland and by 4 a.m. on Friday morning one of several possible scenarios will be playing out. Guido takes you through your by-election scenarios…

Stoke-on-Trent Central

Labour win, UKIP second, Tories third

If Gareth Snell holds Stoke for Labour then the man who once called Jeremy Corbyn an “IRA supporting friend of Hamas” will, ironically, have helped save Jez. He will have won a seat that has always been safely Labour. Defeat will see Paul Nuttall face criticism from UKIP’s Faragists – remember Farage last week piled on the pressure by saying Nuttall had to win. Jez will be safe…

Labour win, Tories second, UKIP third

If the Tories come ahead of UKIP then the Faragists will actively move against a humiliated Nuttall. Hillsborough, rightly or wrongly, will have damaged him beyond repair. UKIP could have their sixth change of leader in under two years.

UKIP win

Should Labour lose to UKIP, the PLP will be mutinous. Corbyn’s office will blame Tony Blair’s Brexit speech, accusing him of a deliberate act of sabotage. Corbyn will face huge pressure from the left to hand over to Rebecca Long-Bailey or Clive Lewis. Moderates will demand his resignation and discuss another leadership challenge. UKIP will have its second MP, Nuttall becoming a loud Brexiter in the Commons and a credible new voice for working class voters. UKIP will be on the verge of a mainstream tipping point…

Tories win

Should the Tories come from nowhere to win, Corbyn could be toast. The realisation of a Tory one party state and a Scotland-style wipeout of Labour across England will dawn on the Corbynistas. Even Jezza’s closest allies will tell him his time is up. 25 year-old Jack Brereton will be the youngest Tory MP.

Copeland

Tories win

Tory victory in Copeland means Corbyn will face renewed calls to quit from Labour moderates. Owen Jones types will air further doubts about the Corbyn project. Eyes will be on Long-Bailey and Lewis. There will be talk of a summer leadership challenge. Corbyn’s views on the nuclear industry will have been key. Theresa May’s approach to Brexit will be emboldened. A Tory win is already priced in, this will not be a shock to SW1…

Labour win

Labour victory against the odds means Corbyn is safe, or safer if Labour has lost Stoke. Fighting dirty on the NHS will have worked. Talk of a Tory takeover of Northern seats will be deemed premature. An ardent Remainer will have won in a big Leave constituency. May’s awkward visit, in which she failed to answer questions on local NHS services, will be a major embarrassment for Number 10.

UKIP win

You are kidding.

Stay with Guido for coverage during the day and through the night…

Snell Sexism Cuts Through to Stoke Voters

Gareth Snell’s sexist comments about women, first uncovered by Guido, have cut through to Stoke voters according to a focus group carried out by BritainThinks for the Guardian:

“He’s the one who says negative comments about women on TV and doesn’t like Janet Street-Porter,” said garage-owner Jamie, 48, when the group was shown a photo of Snell. (Snell described Porter as a “polished turd”.) “You can’t make flippant sexist comments and not have some sort of backlash from it,” said Lisa, a 38-year-old student.

Only three out of ten Stoke residents who voted Labour in 2015 told the focus group they would definitely do so again this week. Feelings towards Theresa May were “generally positive”, while Paul Nuttall was the candidate they most wanted to go for a pint with. If this is replicated across the constituency, Stoke is in play…

“Non-Party Political” Copeland Hospital Campaigner is Tory-Hating Labour Activist

A Copeland “hospital campaigner” claiming to be non-party political can be revealed as a Labour member who wished death upon David Cameron. Siobhan Gearing has been kicking up a fuss about services at West Cumberland Hospital, teaming up with Labour MPs to criticise the government. She has been described in the local press as just an ordinary “local resident” and “mother of two”. Gearing has herself said of her campaign: “This is not about party politics”. Except that just isn’t true, is it Siobhan…

Firstly, Siobhan Gearing is a paid-up member of Copeland Labour Party, something neither she, Copeland Labour nor the local press have mentioned.

Second, she has some views of Tory politicians which one might describe as partisan. Such as that David Cameron is a “w*nker” who should be killed.

Impressive that Copeland Labour have managed to spin that this membership card-carrying crank is just an ordinary non-partisan local mum…

Nuttall Declares War on Banks

Paul Nuttall has publicly condemned Arron Banks for his Hillsborough comments and dismissed UKIP’s main donor as a non-party member. Remember Banks is a Faragista – and Faragistas do not get on with Nuttall. This is going to get very messy if Nuttall performs badly on Thursday…

Snell: I’ve Apologised to My Wife, My Daughter and My Grandmother

Labour’s Stoke candidate Gareth Snell apologises to all the women in his family following Guido’s stories

Labour Double Down on “Babies Will Die” Attack

Last week Labour sent out leaflets claiming “babies will die” if Copeland votes Tory, today they have ramped it up a notch with the slightly unhinged poster above. Not the sort of campaigning you’d expect from a party on course for victory…

Labour’s Copeland Candidate: 3 Days to Save the NHS

You know Labour are in trouble when they wheel out this tired line. Asked for her message to voters in Copeland, Labour’s candidate Gillian Troughton replied: “Three days to save the NHS in West Cumbria”. Borrowing from Andy Burnham’s famous 2011 fib that there were “72 hours to save the NHS”. And the Mirror’s 2015 claim that there were “100 hours to save the NHS”. Or Len McCluskey’s warning in 2012 that “we have just 13 days to save the NHS”. It is true there is a debate about the status of maternity services at West Cumberland hospital. What isn’t under threat is the NHS itself. Assume this will feature in Labour’s fake news inquiry…

Farage: Nuttall Must Win Stoke

Farage tells UKIP’s spring conference that victory in Stoke is fundamental to the party’s future. No pressure…[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

LibDems Call Cops on ‘Vote Snell or Go to Hell’ Texts

The LibDems have written to the Labour Party and Staffordshire Police after it emerged a Labour activist has sent text messages to Muslim voters warning them to vote for Gareth Snell or “answer for this in the Grave and on the Final Day”.[…] Read the rest

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Fibbing Snell Claims Tweets Are 10 Years Old – He Joined Twitter 8 Years Ago

Labour’s Stoke candidate Gareth Snell has been speaking about those tweets:

“They are 10 years old. You do a lot of growing up in your 20s. I have grown up and I have learned since then and I will apologise unreservedly for any offence that I have caused.”

This is a straight lie.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Labour: “Babies Will Die” If You Vote Tory

Calm and measured Labour campaign literature in Copeland, via Mike SmithsonThey must be worried…[…] Read the rest

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Snell: I Have No Idea About Stoke, I Don’t Live There

Expect this one to be on UKIP leaflets by next week. Remember he’s calling himself the “local candidate”:

Guido is starting to feel sorry for Gareth. He really should have just deleted his account…[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +

Inside Paul Nuttall’s Stoke Bedroom

Michael Crick and Channel 4 are on Paul Nuttall’s case after he moved into the Stoke house on his nomination form yesterday. C4 are “unable to confirm if Nuttall has a bed or what he slept on last night”.

Guido can lay this to rest.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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