Bet she isn’t Deputy-PM, mind you the way Guido’s bets are going…
Looking over at LabourHome it is noticeable that the only online campaign adverts came from Alan Johnson – the tedious 8 part Benn video interview saga probably lost them votes.
Still a chance to get a 50% return on your money in four days if you are quick on Betfair…
Both Cruddas’s and Benn’s campaigns are based in the same serviced offices near Lambeth Bridge. At the time of writing Team Cruddas hasn’t managed to empty the pigeonhole since it has had it (about two and a half weeks). Strikes Guido this is exactly the sort of Deputy Leader of the Labour Party the country needs: one who makes scarey left-wing noises for public consumption but has the organisational acumen of a vegetable marrow. Cheaper to run than Prescott, too.
His price on Betfair makes him third favourite after what most judge was a better and certainly more authentic performance on Newsnight. Despite a little excitement that this has brought to in the beating hearts of the Labour Left, Guido suggests you bet against him rather than on him. He is not going to win…
On Betfair Alan Johnson has overtaken Benn as favourite following a weekend poll putting him ahead with Labour members.
Intros hardly move the market.
Head-to-head is more of a side-by-side format.
Lots of flannel on the Iraq issue.
Promises from Harman of an end to spin.
Alan Johnson and Blears appear to accept the post-Thatcher Blairite settlement.
Punters start to move against Hain. Johnson closes on Benn.
Paxo bows out with “who would vote for if you weren’t running?” Only Cruddas gives a straight answer (
Let the spinning begin…
Benn is now favourite, followed by Johnson. Punters make the rest also rans. Guido has a little money on Harman with an outside chance…
Guido still has a few quid on John Hutton just in case he tries a Kamikaze battle of “ideas” with the man he said “would make a fucking useless PM”. 300/1 seems fair…
UPDATE : Don’t bother with Hutton – he has given an interview to GMTV for broadcast tomorrow where he bends the knee and pledges allegiance to Gordon.
Which reminds Guido, the Observer’s Mark Townsend still hasn’t paid up his gambling losses despite many hints.
Cheer yourself up again by watching Blinky fall apart under interrogation by Brillo.
If anybody wants to step up to the plate and bet that nobody will be charged, do email Guido.
Still haven’t seen a payment from the Observer’s Mark Townsend. He predicted the investigation would be all over in October. The Speccie’s Fraser Nelson is studying the wine list. Anyone else care to risk reputation and wallet?
Update : An Über-Blairite-Ultra-Outrider has emailed to say he is on for “20 notes”. Presumably he means £20. Though he should note they don’t print pound notes nowadays.