Twice as Many Voters Favour “No Deal” than “Chequers Deal”

A Mirror/ComRes poll out today shows that twice as many voters want to just leave the EU with no deal – effectively on the same WTO terms that the UK already trades with most of the world – rather than stay entangled with the EU with the Chequers deal. Downing Street has totally failed to sell this version of a deal to the public, whether they be leave or remain backing. There is also little chance of it surviving contact with parliament and the European Commission.

Rich’s Monday Morning View

Soubry and NiMo Praise May’s Marr Interview

Everything you need to know…

May Makes Clear We’re Unlikely to Ever Diverge

This is the key section of May’s Marr interview. She makes clear what Brexiters know to be true: under her Chequers deal, if we ever diverge on something in the common rulebook, it means a border goes up in Ireland and the UK faces consequences she cannot accept. Which means we are realistically never going to diverge in anything. Marr is right: this is fake sovereignty and not Brexit.

May: Trump Told Me to Sue EU

DD: May’s Chequers Plan Is Not Brexit

Must-read article by David Davis in the FT, in which the former Brexit Secretary denounces May’s Chequers deal threatens democracy, squanders the opportunities of Brexit and kills our ability to strike trade deals.

Last week, the government’s Brexit white paper told the country it could look forward to a “common rule book” with the EU. We now face continued harmonisation with the bloc’s rules on goods. Unfortunately, this jeopardises the opportunities offered by Brexit. Under this plan agreed by the cabinet at Chequers, the prime minister’s country residence, Britain would have to obey EU regulations, follow EU rules on how all goods are made, and on a huge range of interconnected areas such as environment and food production. The chance to become a credible trading partner will be compromised and we will be unable to strike free trade deals. As Donald Trump aptly pointed out, it would “kill” the prospect of a US-UK deal. Without control over goods, we would lack the crucial leverage to open up the UK’s export of services to the rest of the world. Not controlling our own regulation is far from an arcane technicality. It would mean that the UK is simply not running its own economy. How laws are made is also a central indicator of whether we have a functioning democracy. If parliament determines laws, we have one; otherwise, we do not. If British democracy is now at stake, so too is our future prosperity.

Those Brexiters still backing the deal should take a step back and remember this is the former Brexit Secretary saying it is not Brexit…

Tories Plummet in Polls After Chequers

Tories down six points with Opinium. Labour now have a four point lead. Tory voters have gone to UKIP. Brexiteers warned Number 10 this would happen if they betrayed voters on Brexit…

A Brexiteer Tory MP texts:

“Exactly as predicted, our poll ratings have taken a nose dive since Chequers and for the first time in ages, those points have gone not to Labour but to UKIP. This govt is betraying the 17.4m that voted brexit so it is no surprise that people are now switching their support to UKIP. The PM has to finally start listening to her MPs and the British public – and she needs to do it fast. Otherwise it won’t be just her that’s toast – but the Tory party too.”

Yikes…

Saturday Seven Up

This week 295,878 visitors visited 972,862 times viewing 1,556,959 pages. The top stories in order of popularity were:

You’re either in front of Guido, or behind…

Salmond Shows He’s Still the Thirst Minister

Nicola Sturgeon said the “eyes of the world” would be on Scotland as she launched her war on Scotland’s drinkers with a minimum alcohol pricing law that came into force in May. She will be wishing the eyes of the world weren’t on her predecessor Alex Salmond after he was pictured rolling around on the floor of a Virgin Trains First Class carriage earlier this week. Did he catch the Buckfast service?

He insists not, and says he was just looking for his phone under the seat. As Salmond himself said at the time the ban came in: “I don’t campaign for these things because I think it’s a grand idea that people get tanked up before they out out on a night out and cause mayhem in the streets and villages and communities of our country.” Will Sturgeon be reeling Salmond in or just leave him to flounder around?

Claire Perry’s WhatsApp Leak Complaint Leaked

Claire Perry is not impressed that her WhatsApps were leaked to Guido earlier, admonishing the leaker for sending us the messages. Her message complaining about the leak has now also been leaked to Guido:

She has left the group in response.

Trump Says Boris Would Be Great PM

The awkward moment Trump repeatedly said he thinks Boris would make a great PM, while standing next to the current PM.

Her face…

Trump: Sun Story “Generally Fine” But Also Fake News

Trump contradicting himself and telling deliberate demonstrable untruths every time he opens his mouth at this press conference. Shambles.

Trump: Whatever You Do With Brexit Is Okay With Me

“… Just make sure you can trade with us…”

Massive Trump Balloon Flying Over London… Or Not

Not sure the protesters managed expectations very well with their “massive” Trump blimp…

Friday Caption Contest (Deal Or No Deal Edition)

Entries in the comments…

Theresa May’s Last Minute Invitation to MPs for Tea at Chequers Today

No. 10 sent a belated last minute email yesterday evening inviting MPs to Chequers today, with less than 24 hours notice. The short notice is a bit of a problem, most MPs will have gone back to the constituencies and wont be able to make it. In any event one ardent Brexiter recipent of this email told Guido he wouldn’t go even if he had been invited months ago. You could be forgiven for thinking there was a rising sense of panic about letters going in to Graham Brady…

Downing Street is trying to both woo and divide Brexiters unhappy with the Chequers plan. The tea at Chequers is part of an intense ongoing outreach programme…

Ironically Downing Street is now recommending MPs get a taxi to Chequers, which makes a change from last weekend. They also got the right minicab firm this time too…

Ultra-Remainers Defend May’s Deal in Tory WhatsApp Wars

It is all kicking off in a WhatsApp group of Tory MPs, with ultra-Remainers defending Theresa May’s Brexit deal – and Brexiteers branding it a “betrayal”. Leave supporter Sheryll Murray told the “Digital Comms” WhatsApp group of Tory MPs that the party needed to find examples of businesses that are “not biased towards remain”, only to be told by hardcore Remainer Antoinette Sandbach that none exist. As Antoinette continued to patronise her colleagues on Brexit, Steve Baker left the group:

Another big Remainer, Claire Perry, who once dubbed Brexiteers “swivel-eyed” and “jihadis”, outlined her support for the PM’s deal and warned Brexiteer critics that they are risking a general election. Sandbach also gave her backing to the government’s white paper. Tells you all you need to know.

As Remainers ganged up on Sheryll Murray, Nadine Dorries interjected to accuse the PM of “a betrayal of everyone who voted leave”. In a devastating assessment of the white paper, Nads cited the polls over the last few days to argue the Chequers plan “will be the end of Conservatives in government”. Sheryll agreed: “You are so right”. 

Still Sandbach wasn’t finished, hitting back that “swing voters win elections” and claiming the Tories failed to secure a majority in 2017 because “we ignored 48%”. Sheryll zinged back: “Yes they will swing from us to not voting”. Angry cat emoji. 

A change of subject, mercifully, from Andrew Bridgen. He suggested writing a letter to the PM to recommend a knighthood for England manager Gareth Southgate. Peter Bone gave his blessing, before Steve Brine burned them both: “Good idea… but can I suggest the messenger is as important as the message”. Ouch. 

Eventually Tory party chairman Brandon Lewis told them to pack it all in. To the relief of Caroline Nokes:

All is not well…

Drunk Juncker Unsteady at NATO Summit

Jean-Claude Juncker is so unsteady at the NATO Summit several people have to help the apparently drunk president of the European Commission stay upright on his feet. He falls backwards at one point into the man behind him. You can see Theresa May awkwardly smiling at him…

Comical Alan: Trump Visit a Success So Far

Would love to hear what Alan Duncan would consider a failure…

Trump: May Has Killed US-UK Trade Deal

Number 10 has repeatedly insisted to Guido over the last week that their Chequers deal will allow them to do a trade deal with the US. It seems President Trump disagrees. Full quotes from the The Sun.

On Brexit negotiations:

“I would have done it much differently.

[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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