Dropped just before PMQs. It’s a fair question, Labour’s position on this is mad.
Interesting research just out from Change Britain this evening. The OECD has received a grand total of £85,173,454.91 from the EU since 2007:
- In 2007 the OECD received €3,915,338 (£2,680,064.52) from the European Commission
- In 2008 the OECD received €6,915,240 (£5,504,897.55) from the European Commission
- In 2009 the OECD received €5,217,103 (£4,651,542.95) from the European Commission
- In 2010 the OECD received €3,947,916 (£3,384,548.39) from the European Commission
- In 2011 the OECD received €5,796,929 (£5,033,473.45) from the European Commission
- In 2012 the OECD received €1,722,375 (£1,396,329.41) from the European Commission
- In 2013 the OECD received €2,669,613 (£2,265,433.59) from the European Commission
- In 2014 the OECD received €380,249 (£306,784.89) from the European Commission
- In 2015 the OECD received €32,898,142 (£23,884,051.09) from the European Commission
- In 2016 the OECD received €44,752,859 (£36,066,329.07) from the European Commission
Puts their scaremongering today into perspective.
The usual suspects are going mad about the OECD’s provocative claim that only having a second referendum and reversing Brexit will save the British economy from apocalypse. Seriously? This is an organisation that said the UK would receive “great benefits” from joining the ERM. They recommended we join the Euro. They said there would be an immediate “major negative shock” in the event of a Leave vote. Remember the OECD was forced to backtrack on its warnings of instant doom last year and revise its forecasts up “as a result of a stronger-than expected performance”. Buried at the bottom of today’s OECD report is a line conceding the outcome “could prove more favourable than assumed here”. You don’t say…
UPDATE: Also worth noting that even the OCED’s most doom-laden predictions now still predict the economy will grow in the event of no deal. What happened to the immediate recession Project Fear promised?
The top line of this morning’s Resolution Foundation report is that lower income households would be stung in the event of a No Deal Brexit should we revert to WTO tariffs. This is a false premise: in a No Deal scenario it is far more likely that the government would unilaterally cut or decline to impose tariffs. Ministers have repeatedly privately said they would propose a policy of unilateral tariff reduction – or even unilateral free trade with tariffs set at zero – in the event of No Deal. The Resolution Foundation looked at this scenario too and found that in a No Deal Brexit where the UK slashed tariffs household spending would be reduced by £130 a year. Look at all those cheaper prices above…
Of course this finding is nowhere to be found in the headlines of the Remainstream media, despite being the far more likely outcome in the event of No Deal. There you have it from a centrist think tank: No Deal means cheaper prices. Brexit is about breaking free into global markets, not putting up protectionist barriers to trade…
Philip Hammond has given an interview to CNBC, where he demanded an end to “the infighting on our own side”, insisted “we’re gonna be prepared” for no deal and called the EU “silly” for refusing to move talks onto the next stage.
“The biggest sticking point of the moment is process. The European Union have decided on a process to follow. And it’s become apparent that that process isn’t going to facilitate the most effective negotiation… This seems like a rather silly thing for us to get hung up on. If we could just have a talk about this round the table I’m sure pretty sure we’ll unstick it.”
Guido agrees with Phil…
— The Andrew Marr Show (@MarrShow) 15 October 2017
Chris Grayling comprehensively slapped down remain scaremongering over flights post-Brexit, saying:
“Michael O’Leary’s got his own interesting challenges at the moment. Air France and KLM have just spent hundreds of millions of pounds buying a stake in Virgin Atlantic, they would not have done that if they thought there was the remotest danger of the planes stopping flying… People will be able to carry on booking their holidays. Does anyone seriously think the Spanish government, which would see hotel bookings collapse in 2019, is going to intervene to stop the planes flying? Of course they’re not.”
Zombie Project Fear’s latest BS not working….
— Peston on Sunday (@pestononsunday) 15 October 2017
Nicky Morgan says she was contacted by a “very senior” member of the Cabinet who said “she” was appalled by briefings against Hammond. The only “very senior” member of the Cabinet (other than the PM) is Amber Rudd. Oops…
UPDATE: Remarkable hypocrisy from NiMo. Two weeks ago she said Boris “has to go” if he can’t keep quiet on Brexit. Last week she was widely implicated in the plot against the PM. Today Morgan says “it’s not helpful for anybody to have ministers being attacked, whether it’s the Chancellor or the Foreign Secretary” and criticises “self-indulgent” colleagues doing so. Eh?
— The Andrew Marr Show (@MarrShow) 15 October 2017
John McDonnell on Marr:
“I will not countenance no deal, I’m not willing to countenance that, I don’t think it’s a realistic option…”
Labour would accept any EU deal, however punishing. Great negotiating tactic guys.
— Henry Newman (@HenryNewman) October 13, 2017
“There is nothing in the WTO about regulation,” Miriam Durantez said on the Daily Politics earlier. Which is a slightly curious comment given she wrote a book on WTO regulation called “Regulatory Aspects of the WTO Telecoms Agreements”. To be fair, sounds forgettable.
— Mark Stone (@Stone_SkyNews) October 13, 2017
If Boris had said that Remainers would be calling for him to be sacked. This obviously won’t endear Hammond to Brexiters, it will just inflame tensions with Brussels. Is he trying to lose his job?
UPDATE: Hammond repents:
In an interview today I was making the point that we are united at home. I regret I used a poor choice of words (1/2).
— Philip Hammond (@PhilipHammondUK) October 13, 2017
We will work with our friends and partners in the EU on a mutually beneficial Brexit deal #noenemieshere (2/2).
— Philip Hammond (@PhilipHammondUK) October 13, 2017
Guido knows poor old Tom Brake has been driven mad by Brexit. But this letter he has written to David Davis complaining about meetings between DExEU officials and the Legatum Institute is hysterical even by his standards. Brake fumes:
“I am writing to you following information I received that the Legatum Institute has had multiple meetings with officials from the Department for Exiting the European Union. Following an FOI request, it was revealed that the Legatum Institute has had six meetings with your department in the last twelve months. Six meetings, with a little known think-tank, in the middle of Brexit negotiations, when many companies severely affected by Brexit will not have had anything like that level of access is astounding… it is clear that the Legatum Institute has a reputation for advocating for a Hard Brexit. Please confirm what level of dialogue your Department had with think tanks which advocate a softer form of Brexit during that same period.”
So Brake thinks Legatum are “Hard Brexit” baddies and that giving them access is “astounding“? He should probably tell his fellow LibDem Paddy Ashdown, who attends roundtable discussions at Legatum. Or LibDem peer Baroness Bowles, who sat on a Legatum panel a few weeks ago. The long list of other prominent Remainers who have “given access” to Legatum recently include Andrew Adonis, the government’s infrastructure commission chief who is one of the chief opponents of Brexit. Are they all part of some sinister Brexiteer conspiracy? Tin foil hat time for Tom…
Jean-Claude Juncker today:
“If you are sitting in a bar and if you are ordering 28 beers and then suddenly some of your colleagues is leaving and he’s not paying, that is not feasible. They have to pay. They have to pay. Not in an impossible way. I’m not in a revenge mood – I am not hating the British. The Europeans have to be grateful for so many things Britain has brought to Europe – during war, after war, before war, everywhere and every time. But now they have to pay.”
Did he have an extra cognac with breakfast this morning?
The government has just announced publicly for the first time that DExEU minister Steve Baker has been given responsibility for “contingency planning”. DExEU sources say he has held the brief since the start of his appointment but this is the first time it has been confirmed.
He is essentially the ‘Minister for No Deal’ that Brexiters have been calling for. Baker is a true believer – positive news which the government clearly hopes will reassure Brexiteers after this week’s skirmishes…
— BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) October 12, 2017
Labour’s Brexit confusion has rubbed off on the public who are clueless as to the party’s position on the issue. Newsnight aired vox pops last night in front of an embarrassed Keir Starmer. Emily Mailtis told the Shadow Brexit Secretary: “there was no one who understood what Labour believes on Brexit”. Starmer admitted:
“I appreciate that, we’ve obviously got to do much more work communicating our message.”
Need to decide what their message is first…
See also: All Labour’s Different Brexit Positions [VIDEO]
Sir Keir Starmer has written to David Davis this afternoon slamming him for failing to get the Brexit talks moved on to the next stage. Starmer is demanding the government “work round the clock to find a resolution to the current situation” and says DD must “recognise the gravity of the situation”. Hang on a minute…
Last week 18 Labour MEPs voted against moving the talks onto the next stage. Labour had the chance to vote for trade talks to begin, yet they voted with the EU and against the UK government position. And Sir Keir is accusing DD of not recognising “the gravity of the situation”? Davis has written back to Starmer:
“You are of course right to raise the importance of enabling the negotiations to move onto discussions about our future relationship. So to that end, I wonder why it is that your party has not taken action against the eighteen Labour MEPs who voted last week to block further talks. I recently wrote to your party leader on this subject, but am awaiting a response. Perhaps you could use this opportunity to clarify your party’s position on the European Parliament resolution passed last week?”
Not sure Sir Keir thought this one through…
“Probably a reshuffle” Lord Lawson on the chancellor’s future
“I fear he is unhelpful… what he is doing is very close to sabotage” pic.twitter.com/4kGzBpBsow
— Daily&SundayPolitics (@daily_politics) 12 October 2017
Nigel Lawson calls for Philip Hammond to go: “what he is doing is very close to sabotage”. Strong words summing up some of the Brexiteer feeling towards the Chancellor this week…
— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) October 12, 2017
No progress during this week’s round of negotiations, as was always going to be the case. The EU’s position has always been unreasonable: no trade talks until we agree the bill. Barnier’s claim that agreeing withdrawal terms is “nothing to do” with the future relationship is just wrong. No one can realistically expect us to blindly commit to a sum until discussions about trade at least begin. Interestingly Barnier essentially admitted it is his mandate from the EU27 that has caused the deadlock – he conceded the order not to move talks on is “precise” and when asked directly if he would try to loosen it replied: “I’ll explore the way forward. If there’s necessary will I will explore ways of getting out of this deadlock”. No sign of budging from the EU27 yet…
UPDATE: Judging by who retweeted Henry Newman’s tweet on this point – Christopher Meyer, Chris Lockwood of the Economist and former FCO perm sec Peter Ricketts – Remainers are increasingly coming round to the view that the EU is being unreasonable.
Sky Data poll
Which comes closer to your views regarding Brexit:
Any deal is better than no deal 26%
No deal is better than a bad deal 74%
— Sky Data (@SkyData) 12 October 2017
The vast majority of the public believes “no deal is better than a bad deal” according to this new Sky Data poll. A decisive 74% agreed the country should walk away rather than accept a punishment deal. Just 26% think “any deal is better than no deal”…
The sentiment holds true across the age range. Among 18-34 year-olds support for “no deal is better than a bad deal” is at 75%. Among 35-54 year-olds it is 74% and 76% among those aged 55+. Near universal support for no deal among the public and yet the government is doing little to prepare…
The Daily Mail, which has remained steadfastly loyal to Theresa May and whose view she values highly, says “treacherous” Hammond must go:
[…] Read the rest
“Dismal, defeatist, relentlessly negative, Philip ‘Eeyore’ Hammond might just as well run up the white flag to Jean-Claude Juncker and the Brussels bureaucracy.