Nigel Farage makes his election predictions:

“I think right now the Conservatives will be the biggest party… The reason I think the Conservatives will be the biggest party is because whatever he does politically, Cameron actually looks like a Conservative leader.

For a lot of Conservative voters, they find that reassuring. Ed’s problem? Can you imagine Ed going into a working man’s club in Newcastle for a drink? I can’t. It just doesn’t work. You’ve got a Labour leader who’s not connecting with that traditional vote. You’ve got a Conservative leader who is connecting with middle-class Tories but has completely lost the support of more blue-collar Tories.”