Wee Dougie in Davos

Bono

At least he’s keeping busy…

mdi-timer 22nd January 2016 @ 8:20 am 22nd Jan 2016 @ 8:20 am mdi-comment Comments
Douglas Alexander Loses His Seat

Labour’s campaign chief is out:

Meet the new ‘Baby of the House’:

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Mhairi Black, the 20 year old SNP candidate. The youngest MP since 1667…

mdi-timer 8th May 2015 @ 2:52 am 8th May 2015 @ 2:52 am mdi-comment Comments
Douglas Alexander Responds to ICM/Guardian Snap Poll Giving It 54% v 46% for Cameron

YouGov calls it for Dave too…

mdi-timer 26th March 2015 @ 10:44 pm 26th Mar 2015 @ 10:44 pm mdi-comment Comments
Poll: Both Alexanders Set to Lose Seats to SNP

In what appears to be a premature data dump of Lord Ashcroft’s much anticipated Scotland polling, Danny Alexander is predicted to lose his seat at the election:

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As is Douglas Alexander:

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Not Great for Alexanders…

mdi-timer 3rd February 2015 @ 11:58 pm 3rd Feb 2015 @ 11:58 pm mdi-comment Comments
Social Media Sentiment is Mythical – Just Ask Alex Salmond

Labour are playing the best of a bad hand by bleating on about being outspent by the Tories, but they should be careful to avoid choking on their own Kool Aid. Pretending that Twitter can level the playing field did not work in 2010…

Guido has warned before, and will say it again; Twitter is just an echo chamber, not a voter battleground. Anyone following politics closely on there has already pretty much made up their mind how they are going to vote. Whilst it might be good for Labour morale, it’s not going to help them in the long run. 

There are 45.5 million voters in the UK, yet only 15 million people on Twitter. Only a fraction of those active users actually follow politics, so to pin your hopes on swinging an election by targeting this already partisan demographic is at best naive…

And it goes badly wrong. Alex Salmond was drafting his victory speech at 10 p.m. on Referendum Day because he was relying on social media sentiment analysis over reality based numbers. Euan McColm reports in the Scotsman:

“But, still, Salmond believed he had won. This was because of his secret Canadians. At huge expense, and amid considerable secrecy, the former SNP leader had brought in polling experts from across the Atlantic. With their new methodology, they’d be able to give him the most detailed predictions yet seen in political analysis. Or something like that.

The reason I mention these secret Canadians, apart from the fact that their existence remains a fascinating, if little known, aspect of the referendum campaign, is that unlike most traditional operators in their field, they placed great store on the use of social media among voters. By monitoring interactions on Face­book and Twitter, a fuller picture would be painted.

In the end, the fuller picture turned out to be a fake, but the fact that Salmond was willing to invest so heavily in his secret Canadians shows us how seriously the SNP – and, naturally, all other political parties – take social media as a campaigning tool.”

Has Douglas Alexander hired the same Canadian voodoo pollsters? 

mdi-timer 5th January 2015 @ 3:23 pm 5th Jan 2015 @ 3:23 pm mdi-comment Comments
Rich’s Monday Morning View

Ed Miliband in rift with party election chief Douglas Alexander

mdi-timer 29th December 2014 @ 11:11 am 29th Dec 2014 @ 11:11 am mdi-comment Comments
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