Tory MPs Say Support is Slipping Away From May

After her disastrous statement last night, support has started to slip away from Theresa May and her deal. Leave-backing MPs increasingly believe that voting down her deal means No Deal, whereas Remain-backing MPs increasing believe that voting down her deal will mean the EU will force the UK into a long extension lasting at least a year, giving them time to push their duplicitous ‘Common Market 2.0’ plan or even a second referendum. Only one of these groups can be right, and the Parliamentary arithmetic doesn’t favour the Brexiteers…

Former Brexit Minister: Government Must Publish No Deal Plans

The queues to see Leave Means Leave’s Jacob Rees-Mogg event at the Radisson were so long the police had to be called to keep order. In the absence of any real news the Mogg is the box office figure at conference so far. A who’s who of Brexiters turned up to hear him this evening including David Davis, his SpAd Stewart Jackson and Brexit minister Steve Baker. The Mogg warned that “organisations within the state” are working against Brexit, naming the Home Office as a potential threat to Brexit and warning: “I am very suspicious of Her Majesty’s Treasury”. He told the room it was in civil servants’ interests to delay Brexit and laid into the BBC, whose coverage since the referendum he labelled “absolutely appalling”. In the heat a lady fainted, the Mogg leapt to her side like an ambitious MP in a room full of Tory members…

Aside from the Moggmania, the most interesting comments came from former Brexit minister David Jones. With his old boss looking on, Jones insisted DExEU is making preparations for a no deal scenario, but called on the government to publish the plans. He added that unless the EU agrees to talk about the future trade relationship “we must make it absolutely clear we will terminate negotiations”. Increasing numbers of Tory MPs are resigned to the negotiations failing – it is worrying the government has done so little to talk publicly about its plans for no deal…

Ousted Brexit Minister David Jones Joins Leave Means Leave

Guido hears ousted Brexit minister David Jones is joining the board of Leave Means Leave. Readers will know LML as the group fighting to make sure the government sticks to the mantra of no deal being better than a bad deal – an important negotiating position that is increasingly under threat post-election. Jones says he will “work to ensure that the spirit of confidence and optimism that was behind last year’s historic vote continues to inspire the process of withdrawal from the EU”. Interestingly LML chief Richard Tice says an additional 13 MPs have joined the group. Enough to vote down a bad deal…

Barwell Blamed for Piling Remainers into Government

The latest round of reshuffle appointments has seen Alistair Burt, Alok Sharma, Mark Field and Mark Lancaster promoted to Minister of State level. All of them Remainers…

The penny has dropped this afternoon that the PM’s new chief of staff Gavin Barwell has been slotting in Remainers where ever he can. The replacement of fervent Brexiteer David Jones as Minister of State at the Department for Exiting the European Union was remarkable. Guido understands that Jones – who led the Welsh arm of the Vote Leave campaign – was replaced by Baroness Anelay without reference to his boss David Davis. That raised eyebrows…

Insiders grumble that the charming Barwell, an arch-Remainer, blames the loss of his Croydon seat on Brexit, London being a Remain stronghold. He is taking the opportunity of being restored to the centre of power to put pro-Remain allies into positions of influence. Barwell is also being blamed for the clumsy “end to austerity” spin. Hardly anyone on the Tory backbenches thinks that the loss of a 24 point lead in a 7 week election was due to voters changing their views on fiscal prudence. Britain was not suddenly converted to the merits of harvesting magic money trees…

Tory Concern at Brexit Department Mayhem

When May became PM one of her more sensible appointments was putting staunch Leaver David Jones in the Brexit department. The move allayed concerns among Leavers that May would sell out on Brexit. She has now decided to sack Jones, a knowledgable and competent minister, after just 11 months in the job. He has been replaced by Baroness Anelay, a Remainer…

George Bridges, Brexit minister in the Lords, was widely respected by all sides and quickly gained a reputation as one of the most impressive ministers in the government. He has also now left DexEU. 

This is all going down really badly among Tory Leavers:

“One suspects the table banging would have gone on for a lot less than 25 seconds had she had the guts to complete her reshuffle before going to the 1922.”

Another notes:

“An almost whole new Brexit team. What was that about needing stability because negotiations started 11 days after the election?” 

A pertinent point. Why is May taking the axe to her Brexit team just days before the negotiations start? 

Brexit Minister Welsh Politician of the Year, Owen Smith Loses Again

Brexit minster David Jones has won the annual Welsh politician of the year award, a worthy winner and sensible appointment by Theresa May which helped allay a lot of Eurosceptic doubts about her government. It’s also a reflection of the clear majority of Welsh voters who backed Leave. The vast bulk of Labour-held council areas in Wales backed Brexit, some seats in the Valleys voted to Leave by a huge margin. All round it’s been a terrible year for Labour in Wales, they fell short of a majority on the Welsh Assembly as UKIP surged. Another reminder that Remain Labour MPs in Leave constituencies should be worrying. There were five awards for Welsh politicians at the event held in Cardiff last night. Owen Smith lost to Paul Flynn…

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Boris as Hulk…

‘Banner might be bound in manacles, but when provoked he would explode out of them. Hulk always escaped, no matter how tightly bound in he seemed to be – and that is the case for this country. We will come out on October 31 and we will get it done.’

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