Rich’s Monday Morning View

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Campaign Report: 13 Days to Go

LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - JUNE 9: (NO ARCHIVE AFTER JUNE 30, 2016) In this handout image provided by ITV, Former Mayor of London Boris Johnson argues for Britain to leave the EU during The ITV Referendum Debate on June 9, 2016 in London, United Kingdom. During the two hour long live debate participants answered questions posed by the audience. Nicola Sturgeon, Angela Eagle and Amber Rudd argued for staying in the EU, whilst Boris Johnson, Andrea Leadsom and Gisela Stuarttake argued for leaving the EU. (Photo by Matt Frost/ITV via Getty Images)

Leave message: John Mann: We can create a more equal society if we Leave.

Remain message: Remain makes travel easier/cheaper.

Cut through: Boris interested in power, not Brexit.

Leave social media count: 474,264 likes, 56,624 followers.

Remain social media count: 465,727 likes, 36,696 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.

Friday Caption Contest (High Stakes Edition)

boris gove farage gambling gamble casino

Entries below…

ITV Debate Vote Leave Highlights

Vote Leave’s best bits from last night. Particularly strong closing statement from Boris…

Friday Caption Contest (Leadership Contest Begins Edition)

gove boris

Entries below…

Voting Leave Does Make Food Cheaper

Boris has proved the Remain spin on food prices is bull – by selling a cow. The neo-Whig MP (only bovine experts will get that one) tried to get the best price he cud for the “beautiful milker”. As the specimen was a dairy Frisian heifer, the owner will be udderly disappointed BoJo only got £960, £110 less than the market price. Proof Leave lowers food prices…

Campaign Report: 22 Days to Go

boris gove

Leave message: £50,000,000 gamification from Vote Leave.

Remain message: EU will create 100,000 future jobs.

Cut through: Australian points based immigration system if we Leave.

Leave social media count: 439,356 likes, 48,785 followers.

Remain social media count: 444,703 likes, 32,285 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave between 14/5 & 3/1

Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51% (-1), Leave 49%.

Gove Leads With ConHome Readers

Screen-Shot-2016-06-01-at-08.17.09

Another boost for those who want to see Gove as Deputy PM – once again he is the firm leadership frontrunner among ConHome readers, eight points ahead of Boris. Gove has led the field for three consecutive months. That said BoJo has had a good month, rising 8 points. May is the highest scoring Remainer, Osborne and Saj are languishing again…

Rich’s Monday Morning View

Immigrants 540

Campaign Report: 27 Days to Go

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Leave message: Take back control over immigration.

Remain message: Sadiq Khan says Europe means jobs.

Cut through: Immigration figures show a huge rise in EU migration – particularly from Romania and Bulgaria.

Leave social media count: 416,091 likes, 46,121 followers.

Remain social media count: 422,498 likes, 30,420 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/9, Leave 4/1

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 38% (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (-2), Leave 47% (+2).

2% Think Osborne “Natural Leader”

George Osborne Boom and Bust

Osborne’s meteoric fall continues, with a YouGov poll for the Times reporting that just 2% of voters think he’s a “natural leader”. Only 11% say he would be up to the PM’s job, with that number plunging to just 7% among Brexit supporters. Sajistic Tories who backed Remain as a career move must be kicking themselves…

Campaign Report: 30 Days to Go

cameron osborne

Leave message: Turkey joining the EU will strain the NHS.

Remain message: Treasury report warns of recession upon Brexit.

Cut through: Brexit recession figures bashed by Sturgeon and Boris.

Leave social media count: 400,404 likes, 44,595 followers.

Remain social media count: 413,164 likes, 29,611 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/6 Leave 7/2

Latest poll: Remain 44% (-8), Leave 40% (-1) (Opinium, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 54% (-1), Leave 46% (+1).

Campaign Report: 35 Days to Go

boris carswell bus

Leave message: New members will cripple the NHS.

Remain message: Independent academics back Remain.

Cut through: None.

Leave social media count: 377,961 likes, 42,637 followers.

Remain social media count: 403,226 likes, 28,614 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/4 Leave 11/4

Latest poll: Remain 44% (+6), Leave 40% (-1) (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (+3), Leave 47% (-3).

Campaign Report: 37 Days to Go

osborne balls

Leave message: Single Market has failed British exporters.

Remain message: PM thinks leaving would be a “national error”.

Cut through: Osborne, Cable and Balls team up to back Remain.

Leave social media count: 370,883 likes, 42,004 followers.

Remain social media count: 398,784 likes, 28,175 followers.

Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 13/5

Latest poll: Remain 43% (-1), Leave 47% (+1) (ICM, online); Remain 47% (-1), Leave 39% (-2) (ICM, Phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 27

banks eu

Leave message: Boris’ Brexit bus tour begins, and the nasty banks back Remain.

boris blunder bus

Remain message: Boris’ bus is foreign and would be more expensive if we leave.

Cut through: Gordon’s intervention.

Leave social media count: 353,842 likes, 40,301 followers.

Remain social media count: 392,261 likes, 27,263 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Campaign Report: Day 25

boris dave

Leave message: Don’t listen to remain snobs – there is a cosmopolitan case for Leave.

Remain message: World War Two Veterans support remain, World War Three might happen with Brexit.

Cut through: Boris vs Dave.

Leave social media count: 348,137 likes, 39,608 followers.

Remain social media count: 389,707 likes, 26,805 followers.

Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4

Latest poll: Remain 44% (+1), Leave 46% (+1) (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

Boris: “We Are Fighting For Freedom!”

Boris shreds the snobbery of the Remainers:

“I can read novels in French and I can sing the Ode to joy in German, and if they keep accusing me of being a Little Englander, I will… So I find if offensive, insulting, irrelevant and positively cretinous to be told – sometimes by people who can barely speak a foreign language – that I belong to a group of small-minded xenophobes; because the truth is it is Brexit that is now the great project of European liberalism, and I am afraid that it is the European Union – for all the high ideals with which it began, that now represents the ancien regime.

It is we who are speaking up for the people, and it is they who are defending an obscurantist and universalist system of government that is now well past its sell by date and which is ever more remote from ordinary voters.

 It is we in the Leave Camp – not they – who stand in the tradition of the liberal cosmopolitan European enlightenment – not just of Locke and Wilkes, but of Rousseau and Voltaire; and though they are many, and though they are well-funded, and though we know that they can call on unlimited taxpayer funds for their leaflets, it is we few, we happy few who have the inestimable advantage of believing strongly in our cause, and that we will be vindicated by history; and we will win for exactly the same reason that the Greeks beat the Persians at Marathon – because they are fighting for an outdated absolutist ideology, and we are fighting for freedom.”

Such a rousing finale that Guido had to put it to music.

Watch BoJo’s speech in full here.

Live: Boris EU Speech

Is it Really Racist to Call Obama Kenyan-American?

Is it racist to refer, as he himself does, to President Obama’s “Kenyan-American heritage”? Apparently so according to John McDonnell

Students at Kings College London withdrew a speaking invitation because they found Boris referring to “President Obama’s Kenyan heritage” inappropriate. Yvette Cooper and Chuka Umunna chimed in. The Guardian spluttered indignantly, because Boris wrote “Some said it was a snub to Britain. Some said it was a symbol of the part-Kenyan president’s ancestral dislike of the British empire – of which Churchill had been such a fervent defender”. Here’s what the Guardian itself wrote in 2009 on the same subject:

guardian

Nobody accused The Guardian of dog-whistling. Yet the Remainers threw their toys out of the pram over Boris mentioning Obama’s Kenyan heritage in his piece for the Sun last Friday, despite the fact this reasoning was widely echoed elsewhere at the time the Churchill bust in question was originally removed. Boris was just repeating what others have said without remark – could it all just have been a referendum-related kerfuffle to bash the Brexiteer-in-Chief?

Rich’s Monday Morning View

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Quote of the Day

Former public schoolboy Chuka Umunna told the  ‘Exit From Brexit Dinner’…

“Remainians, Remoaners, I don’t care what the label is, I’m proud. It’s fashionable to label everyone in this room as the liberal metropolitan elite . . . This caricature is promoted by a bunch of former public schoolboys!” 

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