Leave message: John Mann: We can create a more equal society if we Leave.
Remain message: Remain makes travel easier/cheaper.
Cut through: Boris interested in power, not Brexit.
Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave 14/5
Latest poll: Remain 43% (+2), Leave 42% (-3) (YouGove, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51%, Leave 49%.
Vote Leave’s best bits from last night. Particularly strong closing statement from Boris…
Boris has proved the Remain spin on food prices is bull – by selling a cow. The neo-Whig MP (only bovine experts will get that one) tried to get the best price he cud for the “beautiful milker”. As the specimen was a dairy Frisian heifer, the owner will be udderly disappointed BoJo only got £960, £110 less than the market price. Proof Leave lowers food prices…
Leave message: £50,000,000 gamification from Vote Leave.
Remain message: EU will create 100,000 future jobs.
Cut through: Australian points based immigration system if we Leave.
Odds: Remain 1/3, Leave between 14/5 & 3/1
Latest poll: Remain 41%, Leave 41% (YouGov, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 51% (-1), Leave 49%.
Another boost for those who want to see Gove as Deputy PM – once again he is the firm leadership frontrunner among ConHome readers, eight points ahead of Boris. Gove has led the field for three consecutive months. That said BoJo has had a good month, rising 8 points. May is the highest scoring Remainer, Osborne and Saj are languishing again…
Leave message: Take back control over immigration.
Remain message: Sadiq Khan says Europe means jobs.
Cut through: Immigration figures show a huge rise in EU migration – particularly from Romania and Bulgaria.
Odds: Remain 2/9, Leave 4/1
Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 38% (Survation, phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (-2), Leave 47% (+2).
Osborne’s meteoric fall continues, with a YouGov poll for the Times reporting that just 2% of voters think he’s a “natural leader”. Only 11% say he would be up to the PM’s job, with that number plunging to just 7% among Brexit supporters. Sajistic Tories who backed Remain as a career move must be kicking themselves…
Leave message: Turkey joining the EU will strain the NHS.
Remain message: Treasury report warns of recession upon Brexit.
Cut through: Brexit recession figures bashed by Sturgeon and Boris.
Odds: Remain 1/6 Leave 7/2
Latest poll: Remain 44% (-8), Leave 40% (-1) (Opinium, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 54% (-1), Leave 46% (+1).
Leave message: New members will cripple the NHS.
Remain message: Independent academics back Remain.
Cut through: None.
Odds: Remain 1/4 Leave 11/4
Latest poll: Remain 44% (+6), Leave 40% (-1) (YouGov, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 53% (+3), Leave 47% (-3).
Leave message: Single Market has failed British exporters.
Remain message: PM thinks leaving would be a “national error”.
Cut through: Osborne, Cable and Balls team up to back Remain.
Odds: Remain 2/7 Leave 13/5
Latest poll: Remain 43% (-1), Leave 47% (+1) (ICM, online); Remain 47% (-1), Leave 39% (-2) (ICM, Phone). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.
Leave message: Boris’ Brexit bus tour begins, and the nasty banks back Remain.
Remain message: Boris’ bus is foreign and would be more expensive if we leave.
Cut through: Gordon’s intervention.
Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4
Latest poll: Remain 44%, Leave 46% (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.
Leave message: Don’t listen to remain snobs – there is a cosmopolitan case for Leave.
Remain message: World War Two Veterans support remain, World War Three might happen with Brexit.
Odds: Remain 1/3 Leave 9/4
Latest poll: Remain 44% (+1), Leave 46% (+1) (ICM, online). Poll of Polls is now Remain 50%, Leave 50%.
Boris shreds the snobbery of the Remainers:
“I can read novels in French and I can sing the Ode to joy in German, and if they keep accusing me of being a Little Englander, I will… So I find if offensive, insulting, irrelevant and positively cretinous to be told – sometimes by people who can barely speak a foreign language – that I belong to a group of small-minded xenophobes; because the truth is it is Brexit that is now the great project of European liberalism, and I am afraid that it is the European Union – for all the high ideals with which it began, that now represents the ancien regime.
It is we who are speaking up for the people, and it is they who are defending an obscurantist and universalist system of government that is now well past its sell by date and which is ever more remote from ordinary voters.
It is we in the Leave Camp – not they – who stand in the tradition of the liberal cosmopolitan European enlightenment – not just of Locke and Wilkes, but of Rousseau and Voltaire; and though they are many, and though they are well-funded, and though we know that they can call on unlimited taxpayer funds for their leaflets, it is we few, we happy few who have the inestimable advantage of believing strongly in our cause, and that we will be vindicated by history; and we will win for exactly the same reason that the Greeks beat the Persians at Marathon – because they are fighting for an outdated absolutist ideology, and we are fighting for freedom.”
Such a rousing finale that Guido had to put it to music.
Is it racist to refer, as he himself does, to President Obama’s “Kenyan-American heritage”? Apparently so according to John McDonnell
Students at Kings College London withdrew a speaking invitation because they found Boris referring to “President Obama’s Kenyan heritage” inappropriate. Yvette Cooper and Chuka Umunna chimed in. The Guardian spluttered indignantly, because Boris wrote “Some said it was a snub to Britain. Some said it was a symbol of the part-Kenyan president’s ancestral dislike of the British empire – of which Churchill had been such a fervent defender”. Here’s what the Guardian itself wrote in 2009 on the same subject:
Nobody accused The Guardian of dog-whistling. Yet the Remainers threw their toys out of the pram over Boris mentioning Obama’s Kenyan heritage in his piece for the Sun last Friday, despite the fact this reasoning was widely echoed elsewhere at the time the Churchill bust in question was originally removed. Boris was just repeating what others have said without remark – could it all just have been a referendum-related kerfuffle to bash the Brexiteer-in-Chief?