Tory MPs Face Deselection

Tory MPs wishing to stand again need a majority of their association’s executive council to support them (or failing that a majority of association members). This means a number of Tory MPs are facing deselection battles. It is somewhat remarkable that Northampton South Tory MP David Mackintosh’s political career has survived this far given the stench emanating from his loans scandal with his local football club. Local Tories were not convinced he was MP material first time round and have been horrified at his refusal to resign. Local BBC reporters say a majority of Mackintosh’s executive council will vote to deselect him – he is in big trouble. 

Also worth keeping an eye on veteran Tory Alan Haselhurst in Saffron Walden. Haselhurst will be 80 in June and has been an MP for 40 years. There have been open calls at association meetings in recent months for him to announce his retirement. Yet Haselhurst wants to stand again. His selection meeting will be lively…

UPDATE: Guido hears a third Tory MP, Jack Lopresti in Filton and Bradley Stoke, is also facing a fight. His local association were deeply unimpressed with his affair with fellow Tory MP Andrea Jenkyns. Another awkward selection meeting ahead…

Gangsta Segue Cracks Up Weather Girl

Drop the mic…

#Clive2017 Strategy: Insult Tory Voters

Leader material right there.

Prezza in Corbynista Three-Way

Red Prince David Prescott, the son of John who has spent the last few months in the Leader’s office advising Jeremy Corbyn, is locked in a vicious Corbynista three-way selection battle in the Hull West seat vacated by Alan Johnson. Labour sources say he is definitely considering a run, he has been eyeing the seat for a while and has been campaigning in Hull a lot despite living in Lincolnshire. Guido has repeatedly asked Prezza Jnr if he plans to stand over the last 48 hours. He has declined to comment. 

One problem: two other Corbynistas want to be the Hull West candidate. Darren Hale is a local councillor who delivered speeches in favour of Jez when he visited the constituency recently. Joe Riches was the Yorkshire organiser for both Corbyn leadership campaigns. The moderate choice is local councillor Emma Hardy. Though she is considered soft and pretty susceptible to Jezza’s charms. 

Will Prezza’s name recognition secure him the nomination? Local sources are caught in two minds as to whether the Prescott brand is a help or a hindrance in Hull. There will be other seats for David if Hull doesn’t go his way…

Campaign Report: 49 Days to Go

The Labour, LibDem, SNP coalition of chaos would endanger Britain.

Britain suffers from a rigged system which only Labour can overturn.

The LibDems are the only genuinely anti-Brexit party.
The only party that can prevent an out of control, unfettered Tory government in Scotland is the SNP.
Immigration is about numbers and UKIP is the only party which will reduce net immigration to a sustainable level.
Progressive parties should work together to defeat the Tories.
Labour campaign launch rails against the establishment and media.

(Overall majority): Con 1/14, Hung Parliament 11/2, Labour 25/1, LibDem 100/1, UKIP 500/1, Green 1000/1

(YouGov/The Times, 19 April): CON 48%(+4), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 7%(-3),  CON lead 24

Dawn Butler: May Trying to Rig Democracy By Holding Election

Dawn Butler on Radio 4 this evening: “This election is Theresa May trying to rig democracy in our country”. Dawn voted for the election yesterday. First car crash interview of the campaign…

Momentum: ‘Put a Tenner on Corbyn to Shorten the Odds’

Signs of an advanced strategy in play on campaign day three from Corbynistas at Momentum:

“The odds are against Labour, but if enough of us bet a tenner on Labour to get the most seats or Corbyn to be the next PM, the odds will shorten and the narrative will begin to change.”

The remarkable plan was formulated by a clueless London Momentum group. More money in the market to lay against…

Len Purges Coyne

On the day the votes in the Unite leadership election are counted, Len McCluskey’s rival Gerard Coyne has been suspended from his role as regional secretary in the West Midlands. He remains a Unite union member in good standing and still eligible to become general secretary. It’s said to be a very tight indeed, there are rumours among Labour moderates that Coyne is ahead in the early counting…

A Coyne spokesman said:

“We can confirm that Gerard has been suspended from his position as West Midlands Regional Secretary of Unite the Union. We will not be commenting further at this stage.

The hard left never changes…

UPDATE: Email sent to Unite members:

Dear Colleagues

This is to advise that Gerard Coyne has been suspended from his duties as Regional Secretary pending an investigation into certain issues which have arisen.  I will be continuing as Acting Regional Secretary whilst this investigation takes place.  The investigation is, of course, being conducted under procedure, and it should not be assumed that any offence has necessarily been committed.  You will appreciate that it is not possible to comment further on this matter.

Yours

Des Quinn
Acting Regional Secretary

Tories Looking at Upminster For McVey

The departure of veteran Tory MP Angela Watkinson in Hornchurch and Upminster means the 16,000 majority seat is the subject of much interest among candidates. Guido’s local co-conspirator says Esther McVey is being linked to the vacancy, with some suggestion that she has already been shown round the constituency by senior Tories. This has not gone down well with some local association members who would prefer a local candidate and do not want a government hack imposed on them by CCHQ. The Tories are determined to find seats for MPs who lost in 2015 including McVey, Lee Scott (he will run in Ilford North) and Mary Macleod.

Tory MEP David Campbell Bannerman is also being tipped to stand in Upminster – he is a big time Brexiter and the area voted 70% to Leave. Former Tory MP Nick de Bois has previously been hotly tipped but could go back to his old Enfield haunt. Former Cameron adviser Shaun Bailey wants it. Syed Kamall has also been turning up to association meetings. Big battle brewing, a lot of feathers would be ruffled if McVey made the CCHQ-imposed shortlist…

6 Tory Policies in Peril

Worth looking at which of David Cameron’s policies Theresa May is going to ditch. Her manifesto is in danger of looking a lot softer than Dave’s on the deficit and immigration. Here are the 2015 Tory policies which could go…

  • Eliminate deficit and run surplus by 2020: A promise Hammond has already said he will break.
  • Net migration to tens of thousands: Cabinet minister Karen Bradley said this morning that immigration is “not about numbers”. Could the target be ditched, or at the very least, further fudged?
  • Pensions triple lock: Damian Green has hinted the promise to guarantee pension rises could go. Most wonks hate it. Old people vote Conservative…
  • 0.7% aid target: Downing Street say “We are meeting our commitments now. In terms of the future manifesto, that’s something which you’ll have to wait for the manifesto for”.
  • No VAT, National Insurance contributions or Income Tax rises: Surely this will go after Hammond’s NICs nightmare. Taxpayers’ Alliance to the barricades
  • Stay in the single market: Well, duh.

Ministers at the moment have no idea which of their current policies will survive. How weak will May be on the deficit and immigration?

UPDATE: May says the “tens of thousands” immigration target will stay. A promise made to be broken…

Corbyn’s Trump Playbook Speech in 30 Seconds

Attacking the media, “failing elites” and the “rigged system” – Corbyn’s campaign launch this morning was straight out of the Trump playbook. Jez had clearly had his Weetabix, he was energetic, punchy, pumped up and even Dan Hodges reckons he did alright. It was better than a Miliband speech…

Carswell Quits, Voting Tory

I have never felt more proud and honoured than when representing my Essex constituents in the House of Commons.

Over the past twelve years I have had great fun working with, and getting to know, many wonderful local people. Together, we ran all sorts of local campaigns, from safeguarding local services to getting a new seafront. Local has always come first.

As I promised in my maiden speech, I have done everything possible to ensure we got, and won, a referendum to leave the European Union – even changing parties and triggering a by election to help nudge things along. Last summer, we won that referendum. Britain is going to become a sovereign country again.

I have decided that I will not now be seeking re-election. I intend to vote Conservative ‪on June 8th and will be offering my full support to whoever the Clacton Constituency Conservatives select as their candidate.

It is sometimes said that all political careers end in failure. It doesn’t feel like that to me today. I have stood for Parliament five times, won four times, and helped win the referendum last June. Job done. I’m delighted.

Having been an MP for about half my adult life, I believe that it is time for me to move on to other things. I look forward to being able to read newspapers without appearing in them.

It has been the highest honour to have represented Clacton in the House of Commons.

A loss to parliament. Will Arron Banks still stand?

Corbyn Crowd Boos and Shouts Down ITV Question

The first Corbynista media boos of the campaign, for ITV’s Libby Weiner who asked Jez if he was part of an “Islington elite”. Corbyn’s response: “I am very proud to represent Islington and it’s true, there are many people who drink cappuccino every day…”

Barry Gardiner Loses It With Adam Boulton

A very squeaky and excitable Barry Gardiner reached for the Trump playbook and piled into Adam Boulton on Sky News this morning, accusing him of letting the Tories off the hook: “Why did you let him of the hook on immigration? If that had been a Labour minister… You’re supposed to be the tough guy on Sky News and you let him off!” Expect a lot more of this MSM-bashing over the next 49 days. Poor Adam is getting it from all sides at the moment… 

UPDATE: Top Corbynistas have dubbed Barry “The People’s Gardiner” after this morning’s outing on Sky.

Labour NEC Swerves Motion for Corbyn ‘Loyalty Pledge’

A motion to require every Labour candidate to pledge allegiance to Jeremy Corbyn was ignored yesterday at Labour’s NEC, Guido can reveal. Corbynista NEC member Pete Willsman proposed that every Labour candidate should sign a formal pledge of allegiance to Jeremy Corbyn during the selection process. A source tells Guido:

“Votes were not taken at the NEC meeting. It kept the Corbynistas down. There will be no requirement for candidates to sign a formal Corbyn pledge of allegiance to Jeremy. The sense is that the left is losing the internal battle for control.”

Can you imagine Wes Streeting and John Woodcock pledging that? They would have refused and made it even more politically embarrassing. Self-defeating mindless Corbynista amateurism…

Coalition of the Others Still Trails Tories

For all the talk of a “coalition of the others” (or “coalition of chaos” © T. May) it is still the case that adding the national vote share of Labour, the LibDems and the Greens gives 45%, 3% behind the Tories on 48% – according to last night’s YouGov survey giving the Tories a whopping 24% lead. Guido’s question is will Jeremy Corbyn do worse than Michael Foot in 1983?

CCHQ Caught on Hop: Not Enough Candidates to Fill Seats

The Tories were quick out of the blocks with their rules for candidate selections yesterday, though CCHQ has been caught on the hop in terms of the actual candidates. The word is the Tories still do not currently have enough names on their candidates list to fill every opposition-held seat. The shortfall came after the list was culled last summer, and the CCHQ candidates department has been painfully slow at processing new applications. As Guido revealed in February CCHQ did begin the search for candidates in Labour strongholds. Yet there remains a deficit between candidates and seats…

Guido has spoken to Tories who applied to join the candidates list last autumn and still haven’t been interviewed. As one Tory insider says of the CCHQ head of candidates: “Gareth Fox has been sleeping for six months”. This means the Tories will likely have to hold emergency PABs (Parliamentary Assessment Board meetings) to appoint new people to the list over the next week. You might end up with a no hoper seat, though this news will excite a lot of ambitious wannabes…

Campaign Report: 50 Days to Go

This is an election to boost Brexit: only we can deliver a strong economy, strong defence and strong, stable leadership.
May broke her word on holding an election and won’t do a leader’s debate, so she can’t be trusted.
We will park yellow tanks on Tory lawns.
 
A Tory win will feel like a UKIP government in Scotland.
Only UKIP can deliver a clean, efficient and genuine Brexit.
We should have votes at 16 so Britain’s future has a voice.
MPs back June 8 poll, the election is on.
(Overall majority): 
Con 1/7, Hung Parliament 9/2, Labour 16/1, LibDem 50/1, UKIP 100/1, Green 300/1

(ICM, 18 April): Con 46%, Lab 25%, LibDem 11%, UKIP 8%, Green 4%, Con lead 21%

Arron Banks: “I Know Nothing About Clacton At All”


Arron Banks, who will stand against Douglas Carswell in Clacton, has admitted in an interview with BBC Radio Essex that he “knows nothing about Clacton at all.Strong start for the Patriotic Alliance…

Kim Jong-Corbyn Says “Debate Me Wu Coward”

Jeremy Corbyn came straight out at PMQs today to demand the PM face him in televised election debates. Brows furrowed throughout the House at a proposition akin to a quadruple amputee breezily strolling up to Usain Bolt and going: “go on, I’ll give you a race, you chubby biped!”.[…] Read the rest

+ READ MORE +



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