The Worst Blog Prediction Ever

Sion Simon MP, Labour Party Conference 2007, Blog for the New Statesman:

Perhaps the magnitude of the moment we face is too great for us collectively to bear. Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority, and in so doing utterly shatter the glass paradigm of cyclical politics which has contained us for the century since 1906. This ought to herald another decade of strong, confident, consensual Labour government. Which will finally and irrevocably transform the nature of politics and civic life in Britain.

That is a frightening responsibility. The young princes who now stride the parade ground with the confidence born of aristocratic schooling can never be afraid. They never have been. Like latter day Pushkins drilled in the elite academy of Brownian blitzkrieg, they are bursting with their sense of destiny. It’s not the Milibands, the Ballses or the Burnhams who are unconsciously nervous. This is the moment for which they were created. They are ready.

But for the rest, the officer class as much as the rank and file, it’s a daunting inheritance. The decade to date has been a long march to sustain. Those who led it have changed and re-changed, been shuffled and sidelined, died and retired from the field. But we – the poor bloody soldiers – are still here. Our boots are fresh and our uniforms re-supplied. We are rested and invigorated. Morale, if it anywhere was, can only be high. Yet still it’s a decade since we have been home. As we prepare to strike out again from our camp, we don’t wonder which army will triumph, but begin to ask what we will do if this march never ends.

Guido is moist-eyed with laughter. Sion Simon really does have exceptional judgement.

Hat-tip : Dominic Fisher

+++ Ed Balls & Yvette Cooper Expense Fiddle Investigation +++

More to follow…

+++ Wendy Alexander Found Guilty Over Donors +++

Labour Plans Collective Punishment of Immigrant Families

In a policy shift which is bound to be applauded by the BNP’s Nick Griffin, Labour intends to drop a plan to make families pay a cash bond for relatives who visit from India and Pakistan, instead there will be heavy fines or the threat of jail if family members overstay.

Liam Byrne has just told the BBC’s Asian Network radio station that “what we want to do is have a new system but punish people if things go wrong.” He was referring to people coming over for family weddings and then disappearing. Byrne said the government now wanted to “make sure that we can just hit people and hit people hard if their family member breaks the rules”.

When French resistance fighters killed German soldiers the Gestapo would round up innocent villagers and shoot ten of them for every dead German soldier. It was called “collective punishment”, this policy works on the same principle.

The Labour Party seems to have given up on the centre-ground triangulation of the Blair era. Remember British jobs, for British workers? They are now triangulating the BNP’s white working class vote. Where is Gordon’s moral compass?

See also : Labour Party found Guilty of Racial Discrimination

When the Going Gets Tough…

A Guardian/ICM poll for tomorrow is reporting a 20% lead for Cameron over Brown. The last time things were this bad for the Labour Party was 1986 when employment was rising, inflation was falling, taxes were being cut and the Tories were on their way to a third out of four terms. Billy Ocean was number 1 at the time with “When the going gets tough, the tough get going” – Gordon is, unfortunately, going nowhere.

Morgan Allen Moore Libel Case Close to Collapse

Readers may or may not know that Peter Hain’s campaign manager’s lobby firm, Morgan Allen Moore, was suing for defamation the person who reported them to the lobby industry’s APPC disciplinary committee over their role in his campaign. Notice that they did not seek to sue Guido for defamation. The whole purpose of the lawsuit was to halt the progress of the disciplinary committee investigation by making it sub judice and quash the complaint by pressurising James Davenport into withdrawing for fear of legal expenses and a lengthy case. To his credit he has refused to back down.
The central allegation made here and repeated in Davenport’s formal complaint was that Steve Morgan and Morgan Allen Moore provided undeclared services to Peter Hain’s campaign in terms of staff and resources in breach of the rules.

In a sworn statement provided to the Court, Richard Moore, Steve Morgan’s co-director denied this was true. Devastating documentary evidence has come to light directly contradicting Richard Moore’s claim. The evidence reveals that donors were instructed to send Hain4Labour campaign donations to the Morgan Allen Moore office where the cheques would be processed by Morgan Allen Moore staff.

So Guido is happy to repeat that Morgan the Organ’s MAM office was effectively Hain’s campaign base and that MAM staff such as Kate Lewis were running the campaign. This clearly breaks the APPC’s Code of Conduct.

Guido is happy to testify and provide the evidence…

Punters Favour Winter Exit for Brown

Punters on Betfair make a post party conference exit for Brown favourite at 5/2, with the odds on him lasting another year lengthening to 9/1. Could he be shown the door under the guise of ill-health? The contempt in which he is held in private by his own party is pitiful.

Guido suspects (hopes) Gordon will last until the general election…

The Most Unlikely Civil Liberties Defender of All!

These David Davis supporters are brilliant, guitar strumming punks for liberty. The band – Billy Ruffian – are very good. Wack up the volume:

Courtesy of www.billyruffian.co.uk

Fantastic lyrics:

I think that maybe I’ve been taking pills,
‘cos David Davis is acting like John Stuart Mills,
And in taking on Brown, Dacre and Murdoch,
The establishment are in a difficult spot.

“I’m making out my political will,
By opposing the anti-terrorism bill,
But the government wish to rid us of Habeas Corpus,
So if you believe in freedom you’ll have to support us.”

The most unlikely civil liberties defender of all
What about Magna Carta? Did she die in vain?

The full lyrics lay into all the liberty stealers…

The Most Unlikely Civil Liberties Defender of All!

Courtesy of www.billyruffian.co.uk

“The Most Unlikely Civil Liberties Defender Of All”

by Billy Ruffian


I think that maybe I’ve been taking pills,
‘cos David Davis is acting like John Stuart Mills,
And in taking on Brown, Dacre and Murdoch,
The establishment are in a difficult spot.

“I’m making out my political will,
By opposing the anti-terrorism bill,
But the government wish to rid us of Habeas Corpus,
So if you believe in freedom you’ll have to support us.”

The most unlikely civil liberties defender of all
What about Magna Carta? Did she die in vain?

“I’m standing in this by-election,
To protest against illegal detention,
Against Gordon Brown who should be sectioned,
To spend six weeks in the house of correction.”

“You should have campaigned for National Health,
Or ban stealth taxes, redistribute wealth,
Reduce the price of bread on the shelf,
Or listen to your party and abolish yourself.”

The most unlikely civil liberties
defender of all
What about Magna Carta? Did she die in vain?

“Canada can detain for just one day,
And it’s two days for Germany and the USA,
Russia has five, Italy has four,
So why do we require 38 more?”

“There’s no argument for it, mine’s the argument against,
I want the voters to come down off the fence,
I’ve gambled my job and my political future,
Mr. Brown debate with me on any day that suits you.”

The most unlikely civil liberties defender of all
What about Magna Carta? Did she die in vain?

“The government’s case won’t be put by The Cabinet,
Or the P.M. or his P.R. instead it’s a journalist
Kelvin McKenzie hated throughout the land,
He hates Labour, he hates Hull, but he’s still going to stand.”

“The most offensive man in Britain is the best they can do,
And if Labour believe in it, then they should stand too,
But if they still have a moral or an ethic between them,
Then remove Gordon Brown and indict him for treason.”

The most unlikely civil liberties defender of all
What about Magna Carta? Did she die in vain?

DD 2.0, Now With Added Diversity

The hastily cobbled together DavidDavisforFreedom site has been revamped over the weekend. Guido is told that Basher will be blogging daily his thoughts. The whole panoply of Facebook links and Twitter feeds are going into place as well.

The thing that struck Guido most though was the addition of diverse faces – the original site was hideously white – this version is multi-cultural. Election day is July 10, turnout is expected to be low. Basher needs to increase his proportion of the vote to justify his campaign – if he reduces his absolute share of the vote he will have humiliated himself.

On the ground the campaign seems a little chaotic, word is that he wants to emphasise advancing a national debate. The trouble is finding someone willing to debate with him…

Despair Force One Lands in Jeddah – “Pump It Up”

Gordon’s grandstanding yesterday, derided even by the usually pliant Lobby as such, was a waste of airline fuel. He told the representatives of the world’s leading oil exporting countries to act against their own interests and invest in competitors. Whereas Cameron flies to the arctic to be pointlessly pictured with a husky, Gordon flies to Arabia to be pointlessly pictured meeting oil sheiks, to be seen to be “doing something”. The head of Opec, Chakib Khelil, dismissed as “irrational and illogical” the call by Gordon for the cartel to pump more oil. They are already pumping at full pelt and the price is rising because of emerging demand from India and China as well as geo-political tensions.

Brown pre-released his speech on Friday, which gave the game away that the target of the speech was the weekend papers rather than the petroleum potentates. The Jonah effect was immediate, oil rose $4 on Friday and is up $1 a barrel this morning.

The only way prices for British consumers will come down is if Gordon stops pumping the car drivers for taxes – Britain’s motorists pay the highest petrol taxes in the G7 – three quarters of the final price is tax. If Gordon wants to “do something” he should stop raising taxes that pump up petrol prices…

UPDATE : Sam Coates is cheesed off at the waste of time and carbon. Even the announcement is a re-hash…

Rich & Mark’s Monday Morning View

Sunday Sleaze

Due to the quantity of political sleaze being reported, Guido has introduced a simple Pigs in Shit rating system for guidance on the misdemeanors of porcine politicians (guide here).
Winterton’s Claim for Electricity for Security Alarm
The Wintertons are a troughing disgrace.
Jacquie Lait Does Primary Residence Fiddle

Dr Fox Declared Donations in Register But Not to Electoral Commission
Technical breach – same as Osborne – forgot to declare them twice. More incompetent than crooked.

UPDATE : Almost missed the best, distracted by Baby Fawkes who is on the verge of walking and requires more chasing after than ever, her older sister and Mrs Fawkes are at baby yoga. Dad is doing lunch..
Expense Scamming Tom Wise MEP Arrested
The first of many we hope. Worth clicking the link for the video confession.

Has Guido missed any sleaze? Answers in the comments please – will update above.

Not in Front of the Voters

Peter Oborne pulled back the curtain showing us a little vignette of the political class on Marr’s show this morning. In the midst of a paper review he deliberately blurted out that Alan Duncan had just a few minutes earlier button-holed Marr in the green room, lobbying him not to ask questions about donations from a dodgy oil trader, citing legal issues. Marr look panicked and said in a revelatory moment “we don’t discuss what is said in the green room”. Actually the political class don’t like to discuss it in front of the voters at all…

Coulson Does Gordon Over Guido-Style

CCHQ have released a very entertaining annual report to coincide with Gordon’s first anniversary as PM next week. Some of it will be very familiar to fans of the “Twat Watch” and the “Jonah Brown” memes from this blog as well as Fraser Nelson’s “Brownies”* meme from the Spectator. It is sort of a “worst of Gordon” annual compilation. 

This is undoubtedly the work of Andy Coulson, when he moved in to CCHQ in May 2007 Guido welcomed it, predicting he would “bowl bodyline. Coulson is a player, not a gentlemen, he could be their Larwood, they have far too many Jardines already.”

Guido suspects this will signal a much needed change in the tone of Tory propaganda. Trying, as Osborne recently did, to frame Gordon Brown as a leftie won’t work. The approach to Gordon has to chime in with the truth that people instinctively sense. He is an unpleasant, difficult to work with, psychologically flawed, malevolent, grudge-bearing control freak. These aspects of his character are even more of a negative than his tax and spend, big government, micro-managing policies. Going with this grain of truth will resonate popularly. 

In January this year Guido advocated (Finishing the Project : Making 2008 Dangerous for Brown) this full-frontal personal assault on Brown because

policy detail was irrelevant, what mattered was character, because Gordon Brown is a deeply flawed personality. Those flaws inform his tactics and political outlook. To defeat Gordon Brown his opponents should focus on him personally, something that Steve Hilton and CCHQ (prior to the arrival of Andy Coulson) were reluctant to do. Now, with the election put off for two years, 2008 should be about irreversibly breaking Brown’s reputation once and for all. 

The Letwin / Gove / Willets policy based approach of 2006-07 was all very well for winning over columnists on the broadsheets, but the Coulson effect reaches the voters. Destroying the reputation of Gordon was easy once they tried – because he had a false reputation. Now the public knows him and his flaws they hate him, as the polls now show.

UPDATE : Labour are whinging that it is character assassination“.

*Brownies as in “he is telling a Brownie” are a form of words which is a statistical or legalistic misrepresentation of the truth involving selectivity or occasionally outright mendacity. It was Fraser Nelson who coined the phrase “Brownie”. It was Andy Coulson who hired Fraser to write a column for the News of the Screws.

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