At the time of going to pixel, the bookies think it’s more likely than not that Starmer will be booted from Number 10 this year. Odds have shortened to 1/3 at one high street book, with most of the ring between 2/5 and 1/2. An implied 67–75% chance he’s out by Christmas at the very latest…
Always follow the money. Although if you happen to be a sitting Member of Parliament, think twice about putting a few quid down. Betting on politics has caused trouble before…
Douglas Alexander – a friend of Starmer’s – was asked on Sky News if the PM will be in post at the next election. He wasn’t so sure himself:
“I think he will. There are no certainties but of course I think he will lead and I think he should because, frankly, on the biggest call in this parliament he’s exercised the right judgment, which is to keep us out of someone else’s war.”