YouGov’s first MRP since Burnham became PM projects a hung Parliament, with Labour the largest party on 241 seats. 85 short of a majority and down 170 on 2024…
The Tories take 130, and Reform come third on 123. A year ago, the same model had Reform on 311 and the Tories fourth on 45. A year is an eternity in politics…
Labour’s lead evaporates on vote share, where the party sits on 24% to Reform’s 22% and the Conservatives’ 21%. FPTP can produce wild results when the vote share is so close like this. A few votes here, a few votes there make all the difference…
Asked by Lobby hacks about his past comments on Trump (“any UK politician who gave Trump the time of day should be ashamed right now”) Burnham was blithe:
“Politicians say things throughout their career, but now the important thing is to focus on the moment you are in.”
Were it so easy…