New polling in Manchester from YouGov:
Manchester uses the SV voting system, which automatically redistributes second-choice votes of all those ballots whose first choice was someone not in the top two. YouGov says:
“YouGov surveyed 2,200 people in Greater Manchester and finds that although Craig is set to fall short of the 50% of the vote needed to be elected after the first count, she holds 38% of first preference votes in our model’s central estimates. Joining Craig in the second round is likely to be her fellow Manchester councillor Sian Astley of Reform UK, who takes 24% of first votes.
Once the second preferences of eliminated candidates’ supporters are accounted for, our model projects that Bev Craig is on course to win on the second count by a margin of 62% to 38%.”
Labour’s changes to the voting system making things a little easier – nothing to see here…
Robert Jenrick on the Today programme:
“Can you now give a guarantee to your listeners this morning that no BBC presenter in the future will be exposed as a paedophile, as a number have been in the recent past? No, of course you can’t…”